Realized P&L
+$275
Unrealized P&L
-$319
Hit rate
19.0%
Resolved
15
Trades
50
lifetime
Volume
$959
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$81
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-20 09:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Politics
52% 25% +$298
Other
48% 33% -$22
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +490 $74 3¢ $16 -$58 06-21 16:00
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +410 $80 4¢ $15 -$65 05-19 12:15
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +100 $32 8¢ $8 -$24 05-09 20:01
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +490 $30 2¢ $8 -$22 05-09 19:59
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5,029 $40 0¢ $8 -$33 06-22 10:19
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +500 $42 1¢ $5 -$37 05-19 09:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +200 $36 2¢ $5 -$31 05-09 20:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes +158 $28 3¢ $4 -$24 05-14 13:06
Will James Comey be arrested before 2027? Yes +50 $10 8¢ $4 -$6 05-09 22:09
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? Yes — +30 $11 12¢ $4 -$8 05-09 19:52
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +230 $6 1¢ $3 -$3 05-14 08:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +40 $10 3¢ $1 -$9 05-09 20:00