(anonymous) 0x5231bc…40ca59
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$525
Hit rate
66.8%
Resolved
33
Trades
318
lifetime
Volume
$17.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$54
Open exposure
$4.56K
26 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 10-22 12:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
73% 67% -$161
Politics
24% 86% +$146
Tech
2% 0% -$4
Crypto
1% 100% +$18
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +506 $499 99¢ $500 +$1 10-10 09:09
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +501 $499 100¢ $499 $0 10-10 09:09
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +550 $420 90¢ $492 +$72 09-21 12:45
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +364 $149 76¢ $275 +$126 08-02 06:00
will indiana enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2027 No +281 $200 84¢ $235 +$35 10-01 02:03
tyler robinson convicted of homicide No +230 $112 90¢ $206 +$94 08-24 22:04
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +204 $200 98¢ $200 +$0 10-10 09:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +204 $198 98¢ $199 +$1 10-10 09:10
Trump out as President before 2027? No +208 $199 95¢ $198 -$1 10-10 09:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +206 $197 96¢ $198 +$1 10-10 09:09
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +205 $197 96¢ $196 $0 10-10 09:09
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $53 76¢ $175 +$122 10-05 13:45
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 No +197 $150 88¢ $172 +$23 08-10 01:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +189 $149 82¢ $154 +$5 08-03 12:04
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +156 $99 73¢ $114 +$15 10-01 07:59
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +115 $111 98¢ $113 +$2 09-29 06:22
skin cancer vaccine fda approved by december 31 2027 No +303 $100 36¢ $111 +$11 08-21 13:45
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? No +105 $100 97¢ $102 +$3 08-25 15:15
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +272 $68 34¢ $94 +$26 10-11 14:45
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +76 $73 99¢ $75 +$2 10-06 01:50
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +80 $69 92¢ $74 +$5 08-06 12:11
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +101 $71 70¢ $71 $0 10-12 14:10
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? Yes +364 $66 18¢ $65 -$1 08-03 02:18
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +300 $42 8¢ $25 -$17 08-03 23:30
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +364 $23 4¢ $13 -$9 08-02 03:17
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No +0 -$11 88¢ $0 +$11 08-07 21:30