Realized P&L
-$2.53K
Unrealized P&L
-$736
Hit rate
71.6%
Resolved
356
Trades
2,649
lifetime
Volume
$173.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$5.89K
15 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-17 17:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 101 days
Categories
Other
49% 65% -$1,337
Politics
23% 64% +$1,507
Crypto
18% 65% -$1,035
Sports
6% 45% -$1,355
Tech
3% 44% -$315
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -3,353 -$2,962 96¢ $-3221 -$259 07-10 13:37
Trump out as President before 2027? No -902 -$812 96¢ $-865 -$53 05-23 02:41
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? No -638 -$400 89¢ $-568 -$167 10-09 13:52
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? No +538 $445 88¢ $476 +$31 05-11 19:18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -1,988 -$1,062 16¢ $-328 +$734 08-23 16:36
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026? No -200 -$190 86¢ $-171 +$19 10-17 17:16
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +130 $100 94¢ $122 +$22 05-16 01:52
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No -109 -$106 95¢ $-104 +$2 10-17 17:16
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? Yes -535 $1,317 3¢ $-14 -$1,331 10-17 17:17
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes -4,513 -$99 0¢ $-11 +$88 05-20 11:47
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record? Yes +3,509 $107 0¢ $5 -$102 05-10 10:58
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes -2,049 -$6 0¢ $-3 +$3 05-20 11:47
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower? Yes -1,411 -$31 0¢ $-2 +$29 05-20 11:47
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? No -33 -$24 2¢ $-1 +$24 04-30 21:16
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +0 -$225 86¢ $0 +$225 05-27 05:42