Bony-Novel — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.48K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,007

lifetime

Volume

$135.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-08 01:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

47% — —

Politics

26% 100% +$3,481

Crypto

19% — —

Sports

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

32 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	15	$3.7K	2,100	2,092	+8	open	—	04-25 08:08
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	22	$3.7K	2,445	1,461	+984	open	—	03-25 13:15
will crude oil cl hit high 75 by end of february	11	$3.1K	2,141	1,070	+1,070	open	—	02-27 16:10
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get at least 150m views in its first 7 days	38	$2.6K	1,394	1,524	-130	open	—	02-12 03:36
will silver si hit high 140 by end of january 438 122 492	4	$2.6K	1,312	1,296	+16	open	—	01-29 16:23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	4	$2.4K	2,140	2,140	+0	Yes	+$1,838	05-09 16:43
will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 7 million	19	$2.4K	1,382	1,382	+0	open	—	02-16 02:51
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	16	$2.4K	2,176	2,176	+0	open	—	05-31 15:13
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	33	$2.3K	1,451	1,389	+62	open	—	03-04 01:02
will bitcoin reach 95k in january 2026	17	$2.1K	1,287	1,387	-100	open	—	01-13 22:10
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	8	$2.0K	1,036	1,036	+0	open	—	03-29 15:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	34	$2.0K	2,478	2,478	+0	open	—	05-15 15:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	47	$1.8K	283,692	27,282	+256,410	open	—	06-17 20:45
US recession by end of 2026?	2	$1.7K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-17 18:28
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	11	$1.7K	931	931	+0	open	—	04-04 13:16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	4	$1.7K	1,800	0	+1,800	open	—	06-03 18:42
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$1.6K	740	1,040	-300	open	—	07-10 13:37
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	9	$1.6K	869	869	+0	open	—	03-29 03:45
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	13	$1.6K	915	915	+0	open	—	04-26 21:56
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?	18	$1.6K	1,209	1,209	+0	open	—	04-07 22:33
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	45	$1.6K	1,095	1,044	+51	open	—	04-14 14:52
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	11	$1.6K	923	923	+0	open	—	04-20 10:42
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	22	$1.5K	37,141	19,258	+17,883	open	—	06-03 00:06
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	17	$1.5K	904	904	+0	open	—	04-03 00:01
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	64	$1.5K	2,881	2,790	+90	open	—	04-27 23:43
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	4	$1.5K	767	767	+0	open	—	03-23 13:10
will mrbeast hit 474 million subscribers by march 31 977 964	18	$1.4K	1,619	0	+1,619	open	—	03-31 12:45
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	9	$1.4K	1,095	1,095	+0	open	—	03-25 13:18
will trump sue trevor noah by march 31	13	$1.3K	709	709	+0	open	—	03-22 02:52
nothing ever happens microstrategy	17	$1.3K	2,116	822	+1,294	open	—	03-12 20:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-08 01:25:01	Waymo IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	40	97¢	$39	0x01dd5c…
07-10 13:37:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	1,040	93¢	$967	0x2729c4…
07-09 11:15:20	Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?	No	BUY	60	83¢	$50	0x755e0d…
07-09 11:13:46	Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?	No	BUY	88	83¢	$73	0x3a78fe…
07-09 11:13:20	Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?	No	BUY	176	83¢	$146	0x0e0a8f…
07-09 11:12:22	Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$16	0xbc0d50…
07-09 11:12:22	Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?	No	BUY	29	83¢	$24	0x3d5908…
07-09 11:06:10	Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?	No	BUY	26	83¢	$22	0xddb0ec…
07-08 18:02:47	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	500	55¢	$275	0x752b91…
06-23 22:12:49	Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xde41d7…
06-19 15:07:20	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	500	56¢	$280	0x95161a…
06-19 13:05:31	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	235	76¢	$178	0x6ec16e…
06-19 03:47:55	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	2,720	11¢	$312	0x03b1df…
06-19 03:39:32	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	333	90¢	$300	0x6c852d…
06-19 03:36:58	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	500	53¢	$264	0x0389f0…
06-19 03:36:25	starmer out by july 31 2026	No	SELL	569	25¢	$143	0xee0934…
06-18 22:56:25	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	1,030	80¢	$821	0xb5e75a…
06-17 20:45:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50,000	0¢	$50	0xbdd734…
06-17 19:22:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100,000	0¢	$100	0x942eb2…
06-17 19:06:29	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xa04e76…
06-17 18:37:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	10,000	0¢	$30	0x4ba681…
06-17 18:28:10	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	87¢	$870	0x1951b4…
06-17 16:17:19	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	65	10¢	$7	0x7f3d55…
06-17 15:58:34	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	134	10¢	$14	0x934d1d…
06-17 15:42:47	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	201	10¢	$21	0xe1d4d2…
06-17 15:41:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	30,000	0¢	$30	0x8fe653…
06-17 15:39:41	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0xc5c67a…
06-17 15:05:17	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$10	0x9c4e30…
06-17 11:48:56	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	223	56¢	$125	0xeb7abf…
06-17 11:48:43	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0xae5227…
06-17 11:45:52	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x69d473…
06-17 08:58:55	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$88	0x6c6a73…
06-17 08:58:22	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	406	97¢	$394	0x13c61c…
06-17 04:56:08	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	94	56¢	$53	0x8d4fba…
06-17 03:38:57	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xe9185d…
06-17 03:29:13	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$20	0xb827e3…
06-17 02:46:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	300	91¢	$273	0xe7c726…
06-17 02:08:15	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	0¢	$30	0xd0f7ab…
06-16 22:58:10	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	6	56¢	$3	0x308622…
06-16 21:45:26	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	1¢	$60	0xf449b2…
06-16 21:12:17	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0xc6e823…
06-16 21:12:16	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x6aa034…
06-16 20:57:35	tsla up or down on june 17 2026	Down	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0xcfc3e0…
06-16 20:48:25	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	23	80¢	$18	0xdd5902…
06-16 15:25:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	5,749	1¢	$40	0xb31557…
06-16 15:24:47	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x486031…
06-16 15:24:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0xfe0f77…
06-16 15:24:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	21	1¢	$0	0x7cbede…
06-16 15:24:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x197dbc…
06-16 15:24:35	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	4,038	1¢	$28	0x8d6ef6…
06-16 13:06:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,243	1¢	$19	0x8cddd7…
06-16 13:06:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	6,757	1¢	$41	0x38973f…
06-16 12:15:54	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	92¢	$276	0x52c762…
06-16 12:14:46	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	91¢	$18	0x695973…
06-16 12:12:40	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	91¢	$182	0xf36074…
06-16 12:11:54	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0xf5dc48…
06-16 12:08:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	1¢	$120	0xb07e37…
06-16 12:06:58	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0xa97fea…
06-16 12:05:24	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	122	90¢	$110	0x7bfab8…
06-16 12:05:00	Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?	Yes	BUY	224	89¢	$200	0x4775a3…
06-16 10:46:19	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	10,000	2¢	$200	0x376bb9…
06-16 05:39:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	7,000	3¢	$203	0x37c43a…
06-16 04:19:25	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	7,000	2¢	$147	0xce0270…
06-16 04:08:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	440	91¢	$400	0x84fd3f…
06-16 03:52:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,000	2¢	$60	0xae63ed…
06-16 03:51:49	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$20	0x2d4ba7…
06-16 03:36:33	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	833	2¢	$17	0x264476…
06-16 03:36:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x634337…
06-16 03:34:31	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x34e974…
06-16 03:34:30	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd844df…
06-16 03:34:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x21f913…
06-16 03:34:01	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	147	2¢	$3	0x456bb9…
06-16 02:39:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	58	80¢	$46	0xaaf22a…
06-16 01:55:06	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	SELL	656	63¢	$416	0xe6999a…
06-16 01:54:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	2,320	17¢	$400	0xa2cfe7…
06-16 00:50:36	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	131	78¢	$102	0x333314…
06-16 00:37:55	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xbf0d9b…
06-15 22:01:33	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	154	80¢	$122	0xe49ff5…
06-15 21:22:06	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x2aa13b…
06-15 21:20:42	will trump agree to iranian enrichment of uranium by june 30	No	BUY	30	78¢	$24	0x473425…
06-15 19:59:13	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x27e0f2…
06-15 19:32:33	US recession by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	85¢	$850	0xb8cc04…
06-15 19:28:22	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	BUY	14	80¢	$11	0xcf5aef…
06-15 14:26:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	495	7¢	$34	0x6bf187…
06-15 14:26:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xf0165b…
06-15 14:19:51	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	500	6¢	$32	0x592d8c…
06-15 11:57:34	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	SELL	24	77¢	$19	0x4b8d8d…
06-15 09:28:36	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	15	72¢	$11	0x49b945…
06-15 09:27:55	Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?	No	BUY	30	72¢	$22	0x35fc76…
06-15 08:05:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xe9f753…
06-15 08:05:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	110	12¢	$13	0x91b9da…
06-15 03:23:06	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	200	81¢	$162	0x608cfc…
06-15 03:05:34	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	11	12¢	$1	0xb114ea…
06-15 03:05:03	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x3be938…
06-15 03:04:58	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	39	12¢	$5	0xe18bbd…
06-15 02:55:10	amzn up or down on june 15 2026	Up	SELL	20	83¢	$17	0xe0caed…
06-15 02:54:49	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	119	79¢	$94	0x5ea389…
06-15 02:52:51	spacex ipo open updown on second day 20260608180600456	Up	SELL	146	90¢	$131	0x297c55…
06-15 01:26:57	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	21	17¢	$4	0x94f99e…
06-15 01:26:45	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x92a134…