Elated-Niche — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$198

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

351

lifetime

Volume

$12.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-21

last 07-11 20:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

59% 100% +$187

Other

36% — —

Crypto

5% 100% +$12

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

22 active days in 12wk • peak 71 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes		-18	$-4	16¢	$-3	+$1	05-27 19:59

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	4	$5.0K	2,769	2,736	+33	open	—	05-20 11:04
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	5	$2.2K	2,351	4	+2,347	open	—	05-18 10:35
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	4	$2.0K	2,147	40	+2,107	open	—	05-14 11:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$664	738	0	+738	open	—	04-24 17:07
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	3	$596	535	301	+235	open	—	04-27 08:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	2	$513	563	17	+546	open	—	04-22 21:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$129	100	100	+0	Yes	+$69	05-09 15:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	2	$128	245	5	+240	Yes	+$118	05-06 11:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$49	58	0	+58	open	—	05-13 20:51
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	3	$47	65	0	+65	open	—	05-14 13:06
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	3	$44	32	32	+0	open	—	04-28 16:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	8	$31	49	42	+6	open	—	04-29 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	1	$30	83	0	+83	open	—	04-29 14:13
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$30	36	0	+36	open	—	05-13 20:46
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	2	$27	160	0	+160	open	—	05-18 11:53
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$26	71	19	+53	open	—	05-02 13:41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	3	$24	207	0	+207	open	—	04-19 21:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	5	$24	42	42	+0	open	—	04-28 17:02
btc updown 5m 1782109800	9	$22	32	16	+15	open	—	06-22 06:33
Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$20	23	0	+23	open	—	05-13 20:46
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$20	53	0	+53	open	—	05-13 20:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	04-28 16:59
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$19	38	0	+38	open	—	05-13 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	5	$18	30	23	+7	open	—	04-27 10:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	7	$18	23	20	+3	open	—	04-27 19:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$18	12	12	+0	open	—	04-28 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	6	$17	30	24	+6	open	—	04-27 19:49
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	4	$16	45	45	+0	open	—	05-27 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	4	$16	26	26	+0	open	—	04-28 17:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	4	$15	12	11	+1	open	—	04-27 20:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-11 20:43:11	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x1b9e70…
07-11 20:42:43	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xb6c7ec…
07-11 20:42:10	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 extra time	No	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0xd6fb72…
07-11 20:41:56	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 team total home 0pt5	Over	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xa71cc2…
07-11 20:41:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 btts	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x11560d…
07-11 20:22:46	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x6ee220…
07-11 20:21:56	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 btts	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xe54a88…
07-11 20:21:49	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x5e54ef…
06-23 16:13:31	fifwc eng gha 2026 06 23 btts	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x747767…
06-22 06:48:31	btc updown 5m 1782110700	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9d45fc…
06-22 06:48:13	btc updown 5m 1782110700	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7b9e94…
06-22 06:47:52	btc updown 5m 1782110700	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xbe2ce2…
06-22 06:43:47	btc updown 5m 1782110400	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9233c5…
06-22 06:43:40	btc updown 5m 1782110400	Down	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0x5716b0…
06-22 06:42:59	btc updown 5m 1782110400	Down	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x984ee9…
06-22 06:33:13	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x8ccd79…
06-22 06:33:04	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Down	SELL	16	39¢	$6	0xa39049…
06-22 06:32:22	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xfc5c3f…
06-22 06:32:04	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xfa1529…
06-22 06:31:44	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x5b1d8f…
06-22 06:31:20	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Down	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc4f7a4…
06-22 06:31:17	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe27dd6…
06-22 06:30:53	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xac4496…
06-22 06:30:46	btc updown 5m 1782109800	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x85738e…
06-22 06:25:20	btc updown 5m 1782109500	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe6224c…
06-22 06:25:14	btc updown 5m 1782109500	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xc0f8d5…
06-22 06:24:56	btc updown 5m 1782109200	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x10f215…
06-22 06:24:49	btc updown 5m 1782109200	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0xade73b…
06-21 22:30:13	btc updown 5m 1782081000	Up	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0xd9a910…
06-21 22:29:52	btc updown 5m 1782080700	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x003e06…
06-21 22:29:40	btc updown 5m 1782080700	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x0c7c66…
06-21 22:28:46	btc updown 5m 1782081000	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x76db0e…
06-21 22:25:08	btc updown 5m 1782080700	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x427512…
06-21 22:24:58	btc updown 5m 1782080700	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa832f6…
06-21 21:52:29	starmer out by june 22 2026	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x07b88e…
05-27 19:59:35	Will OpenAI announce glasses in 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	23¢	$4	0x48fba2…
05-27 19:59:31	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0xfed37a…
05-27 19:59:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xa4768b…
05-27 19:59:26	Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?	Yes	SELL	62	0¢	$0	0x54ab04…
05-22 21:42:58	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x1029a5…
05-22 11:54:20	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	Yes	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x054305…
05-20 11:20:24	Will "I Love Boosters" score at least 91 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x22c92d…
05-20 11:04:15	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0xbbf640…
05-20 11:04:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	No	BUY	33	9¢	$3	0x5fe9d4…
05-20 11:03:54	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1,368	91¢	$1,245	0xee1b09…
05-20 11:01:18	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xff4a8d…
05-20 10:59:08	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	SELL	1,368	91¢	$1,245	0xc39eef…
05-20 10:42:38	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?	Yes	BUY	2,736	91¢	$2,500	0x676c90…
05-18 11:53:46	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xb4b80b…
05-18 11:53:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 19-25?	Yes	BUY	100	17¢	$17	0x87bb3f…
05-18 10:35:15	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	1,531	97¢	$1,487	0x022b94…
05-17 19:29:41	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xf86191…
05-17 15:08:19	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Something	BUY	42	12¢	$5	0x0e5e8e…
05-17 13:43:11	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	441	91¢	$400	0xbf1fd3…
05-14 13:39:38	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x3ffc07…
05-14 13:06:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$7	0x02264b…
05-14 13:05:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x9e1bc7…
05-14 11:37:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?	No	BUY	37	81¢	$30	0x934655…
05-14 11:32:58	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	34	87¢	$30	0x4c6665…
05-14 11:32:30	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	No	BUY	345	87¢	$300	0x1fe80c…
05-14 11:32:02	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	2,009	95¢	$1,900	0xcbe74f…
05-13 21:01:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0x8fa232…
05-13 20:51:12	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	34	84¢	$29	0x108729…
05-13 20:50:42	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	30	96¢	$29	0x4c209b…
05-13 20:49:09	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	19	49¢	$9	0xa87b1f…
05-13 20:48:27	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0xdad0f6…
05-13 20:47:29	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xbcb5f6…
05-13 20:46:58	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xe75f2a…
05-13 20:46:39	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xabc6d9…
05-13 20:46:14	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x1089d3…
05-13 20:46:05	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xc1eca6…
05-13 20:46:02	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe9317e…
05-13 20:45:46	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe598fc…
05-13 20:45:06	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x6bb58b…
05-13 20:44:59	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xd5afd2…
05-13 20:44:50	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0xe7894c…
05-13 20:44:03	Will Trump say "Ship" or "Chip" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x873605…
05-13 20:43:40	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7b8e18…
05-13 20:43:09	Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x4f69f6…
05-13 20:42:07	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xd51c70…
05-13 20:36:45	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x64e738…
05-13 20:33:49	Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xa43ef9…
05-13 20:29:26	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	54	4¢	$2	0xf6d8b8…
05-13 11:00:52	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	Yes	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0x03411e…
05-13 10:31:01	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x49fd1b…
05-12 09:18:40	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0x0a47c8…
05-12 08:49:36	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x5eff03…
05-12 08:49:01	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0x05eef7…
05-09 15:10:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0xcf9c9f…
05-06 11:43:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xf0c907…
05-02 13:41:10	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	19	84¢	$16	0xa71bc2…
04-29 21:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Down	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0xdbafe6…
04-29 21:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x5221c7…
04-29 21:07:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x3258ea…
04-29 21:04:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x39e2e2…
04-29 21:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc7b4f0…
04-29 21:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x57592c…
04-29 18:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	66¢	$5	0xf1930d…
04-29 18:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x4f1a50…
04-29 18:22:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x08b1d0…