Realized P&L
-$297
Unrealized P&L
-$141
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
7
Trades
27
lifetime
Volume
$7.25K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$5.72K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-28 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
59% 67% -$163
Crypto
23% — —
Politics
18% 0% -$134
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,222 -$1,176 98¢ $-1199 -$23 09-21 21:23
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,004 $940 93¢ $933 -$7 10-28 10:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -805 -$692 98¢ $-786 -$95 05-12 10:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -647 -$622 97¢ $-628 -$6 09-16 13:57
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -556 -$533 96¢ $-531 +$2 10-05 14:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -437 -$327 96¢ $-418 -$91 05-12 10:31
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +262 $248 98¢ $258 +$10 10-08 20:17
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +221 $200 99¢ $219 +$19 10-08 05:58
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +238 $200 86¢ $206 +$6 09-18 10:34
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +183 $165 97¢ $176 +$11 09-21 22:39
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +154 $134 92¢ $142 +$8 10-07 19:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +146 $127 84¢ $123 -$4 10-08 13:29
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +130 $75 78¢ $101 +$26 10-07 18:20