Realized P&L (30d)
-$48
Unrealized P&L
-$145
Hit rate
83.9%
Resolved (30d)
6
Trades (30d)
3
27 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$1.19K
$7.25K lifetime
Avg / trade
$268
Open exposure
$5.54K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-06
last 10-28 10:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
59% 62% -$239
Crypto
23% — —
Politics
18% 0% -$134
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -1,222 -$1,176 98¢ $-1200 -$24 09-21 21:23
US recession by end of 2026? No +1,004 $940 96¢ $959 +$18 10-28 10:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -805 -$692 98¢ $-789 -$97 05-12 10:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -647 -$622 98¢ $-636 -$15 09-16 13:57
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No -556 -$533 98¢ $-545 -$12 10-05 14:09
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -437 -$327 97¢ $-424 -$97 05-12 10:31
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +221 $200 98¢ $217 +$17 10-08 05:58
Will Bayern Munich be the 2026-27 Bundesliga champion? Yes +238 $200 88¢ $208 +$8 09-18 10:34
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? No +183 $165 98¢ $179 +$13 09-21 22:39
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +154 $134 97¢ $150 +$16 10-07 19:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? No +146 $127 82¢ $119 -$8 10-08 13:29
Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31? No +130 $75 84¢ $110 +$35 10-07 18:20