(anonymous) 0x5653fb…cee1ad
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$63
Unrealized P&L
+$165
Hit rate
55.7%
Resolved
107
Trades
334
lifetime
Volume
$2.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$188
23 positions
First seen
2026-09-19
last 10-27 20:40
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Other
72% 25% -$18
Crypto
16% 53% -$40
Politics
11% 25% -$6
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 50 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +162 $16 14¢ $22 +$6 10-19 17:56
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027? Yes +570 $47 3¢ $20 -$28 10-23 00:43
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in October? No +20 $18 98¢ $20 +$2 10-16 09:59
Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting? Yes +25 -$5 60¢ $15 +$20 10-21 02:29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30? Yes +75 $12 20¢ $15 +$2 10-19 12:47
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +27 $12 49¢ $13 +$1 10-07 07:28
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +14 $9 94¢ $13 +$4 10-25 16:54
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027? Yes +100 -$187 13¢ $13 +$199 10-25 16:13
Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? No +10 $5 93¢ $9 +$4 10-27 18:18
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +50 $10 13¢ $6 -$3 10-27 20:25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +500 $5 1¢ $6 +$1 10-25 22:41
Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting? No +200 $18 3¢ $6 -$12 10-14 19:22
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? Yes +499 $5 1¢ $6 +$0 10-27 12:26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +50 $5 12¢ $6 +$1 10-23 08:25
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 $0 10-23 09:59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +100 $4 4¢ $4 $0 10-23 08:15
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? No +40 $4 8¢ $3 -$1 10-26 13:42
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +50 $0 4¢ $2 +$2 10-14 12:42
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +100 $11 2¢ $1 -$9 10-20 08:43
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? Yes +25 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 10-07 07:11
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +50 $10 2¢ $1 -$9 10-14 07:28
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? Yes +20 $4 3¢ $1 -$4 10-16 09:20
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +25 $13 1¢ $0 -$13 10-14 07:28