Small-Rib — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$246

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

40.6%

Resolved

Trades

4,312

lifetime

Volume

$502.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$117

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 05-25 00:34

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

57% 50% $-246

Other

43% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 921 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$161.9K	162,360	0	+162,360	open	—	04-07 09:46
netanyahu out by march 31 854	220	$100.0K	104,515	0	+104,515	open	—	03-17 16:01
will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	90	$30.0K	30,413	0	+30,413	open	—	03-17 13:55
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	213	$27.7K	28,095	0	+28,095	open	—	04-23 14:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	159	$20.0K	22,194	0	+22,194	open	—	04-21 00:09
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	184	$15.8K	17,096	0	+17,096	open	—	04-23 13:47
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	79	$11.5K	11,724	0	+11,724	open	—	03-18 00:45
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	73	$10.0K	11,034	0	+11,034	open	—	04-21 08:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	134	$8.5K	12,704	0	+12,704	open	—	04-21 20:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	63	$8.5K	10,501	0	+10,501	open	—	04-21 07:40
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	121	$8.4K	10,573	0	+10,573	open	—	04-22 04:16
Iran leadership change by April 30?	116	$8.3K	8,940	0	+8,940	open	—	04-23 13:52
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	230	$8.2K	13,633	0	+13,633	open	—	04-21 20:44
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	33	$7.0K	7,116	0	+7,116	open	—	03-17 19:44
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	5	$6.0K	5,990	0	+5,990	open	—	03-17 22:58
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	115	$5.4K	6,152	0	+6,152	open	—	04-21 11:23
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	107	$5.1K	2,829	2,829	+0	open	—	04-21 18:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	116	$4.4K	4,541	0	+4,541	open	—	04-21 13:42
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	133	$4.3K	5,028	0	+5,028	open	—	04-23 13:27
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	184	$3.7K	8,300	0	+8,300	open	—	04-21 14:49
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	44	$3.5K	4,014	0	+4,014	open	—	04-23 10:45
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	167	$3.1K	8,184	0	+8,184	open	—	04-21 18:56
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	71	$3.0K	3,047	0	+3,047	open	—	04-15 12:33
will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	37	$2.6K	2,707	0	+2,707	open	—	04-19 19:43
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	36	$2.3K	2,509	0	+2,509	open	—	04-22 17:09
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	27	$1.8K	1,968	0	+1,968	open	—	03-21 12:00
GTA VI released before June 2026?	36	$1.7K	1,766	0	+1,766	open	—	03-18 01:30
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	123	$1.5K	5,462	0	+5,462	open	—	04-21 14:13
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?	15	$1.4K	1,456	0	+1,456	open	—	03-21 10:11
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	40	$1.2K	1,231	0	+1,231	open	—	04-23 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 00:34:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$5	0xd81327…
05-25 00:13:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x536e6e…
05-24 02:19:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x5606c2…
05-22 02:58:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	93¢	$9	0x2cff57…
05-22 02:33:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xb3f204…
05-22 02:25:47	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xb6070a…
05-22 01:53:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x524828…
05-22 01:45:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x7489d0…
05-22 01:43:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0xf3a491…
05-22 01:23:36	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x6a7130…
05-22 01:05:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0x24979d…
05-22 00:53:37	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0xe5ec30…
05-22 00:26:26	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xa78300…
05-21 23:21:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xc70fe8…
05-21 23:21:51	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x3f2156…
05-21 22:48:10	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xa32d7b…
05-21 22:10:52	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x7f0cd8…
05-21 21:37:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0xf2c10d…
05-21 20:19:50	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x895cfd…
05-21 19:41:34	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x4b3d10…
05-21 19:24:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x524d51…
05-21 19:07:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xc75b73…
05-21 18:55:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x091016…
05-21 18:34:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	69¢	$14	0x5ca760…
05-21 18:31:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	0	69¢	$0	0xbf5099…
05-21 17:58:27	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	18	75¢	$13	0x039b16…
05-21 17:56:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	73¢	$2	0x58f6b9…
05-21 17:51:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xa7e304…
05-21 17:25:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$8	0x8f0638…
05-21 17:25:04	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	8	72¢	$6	0xed7950…
05-21 17:21:44	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xb81c85…
05-21 16:51:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x128712…
05-21 16:21:43	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfa7cb8…
05-21 15:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x3ab2e9…
05-21 15:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x956c46…
05-21 15:11:09	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x21095d…
05-21 15:10:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x35288e…
05-21 15:07:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x6d2a9f…
05-21 15:07:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xfd086a…
05-21 14:51:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xfb34d4…
05-21 14:31:49	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xf01be8…
05-21 14:31:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x30449e…
05-21 14:30:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0xace8f3…
05-21 14:30:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xe5e2db…
05-21 14:30:33	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	4	65¢	$2	0x02f17c…
05-21 14:21:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x432750…
05-21 13:58:55	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x479162…
05-21 13:54:55	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x214ba5…
05-21 13:53:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x6fce7e…
05-21 13:51:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xf22b97…
05-21 13:21:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x0b0125…
05-21 13:19:30	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x45860a…
05-21 13:15:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xa7edff…
05-21 12:46:19	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x7f4941…
05-21 11:30:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	14	60¢	$9	0x7bc09a…
05-21 11:30:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x3d3503…
05-21 11:30:11	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x35de8d…
05-21 10:57:10	Netanyahu out by May 31?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x06b3a9…
05-21 10:51:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xd9522f…
05-15 19:24:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc7b91e…
05-15 17:32:22	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc72e4d…
05-15 15:55:13	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xf655ba…
05-15 15:55:11	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xa2233b…
05-15 15:41:09	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x1f3d91…
05-15 15:16:20	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x082077…
05-15 15:09:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x61e9ae…
05-15 15:08:57	Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xc324b2…
05-15 15:04:07	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x691a65…
05-15 14:43:14	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x97a8e2…
05-15 14:33:19	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x344ae8…
05-15 14:24:46	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x27b4bf…
05-15 14:15:26	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xf10064…
05-15 13:58:22	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x357867…
05-15 13:44:36	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0x461bf4…
05-15 13:37:43	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0x35aa4f…
05-15 13:30:57	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0xb21f24…
05-15 13:12:51	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xc725d1…
05-15 13:07:46	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0xd7f140…
05-15 13:01:42	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xff5d1e…
05-15 12:54:09	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xb5725b…
05-15 12:50:21	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	4	95¢	$4	0x723d2a…
05-15 12:36:16	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0xfc5fdd…
05-15 12:11:16	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xed3aab…
05-15 12:04:58	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe2073f…
05-15 12:00:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x0c0317…
05-15 12:00:08	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x42a2fc…
05-15 12:00:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb727e2…
05-15 12:00:06	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0925ec…
05-15 12:00:03	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	59¢	$12	0x988be0…
05-15 11:17:12	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0xb7fe0a…
05-15 11:02:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x7f4d9a…
05-15 10:59:59	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 16?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x42b13d…
05-15 10:55:32	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of May 11 2026?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x61cda7…
05-15 10:46:17	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x803882…
05-15 10:33:04	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x20b301…
05-15 10:32:40	Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3eef33…
05-15 10:26:27	Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x300460…
05-15 09:27:20	Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 17?	No	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x820f07…
05-14 23:35:34	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x31c762…
05-14 23:35:29	Will Trump say "Hong Kong" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0x3d5967…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	112	$1.58M	24,728	06-01 06:21
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	111	$37.0M	50,492	06-02 17:53
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	110	$200.7K	1,730	05-30 20:33
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	108	$645.6K	46,938	06-01 03:24
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	97	$488.6K	34,629	06-01 03:47
(anonymous) 0x22f1…6415	94	$254.2K	27,962	05-30 20:18
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	93	$77.3K	7,645	05-29 22:06
Fragrant-Dandelion 0x1408…b4f8	92	$72.1K	15,093	05-07 01:50