Realized P&L (90d)
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$0
Hit rate
61.5%
Resolved (90d)
15
Trades (90d)
32
147 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$94
$293 lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$25
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 11-01 23:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Sports
48% 44% -$2
Politics
29% 55% +$2
Other
22% 57% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes -26 -$7 24¢ $-6 +$0 10-22 00:46
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +4 $3 72¢ $3 +$0 10-30 05:13
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +8 $2 32¢ $3 +$1 10-31 06:12
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2 -$2 98¢ $-2 $0 05-11 04:39
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +3 $2 72¢ $2 +$0 10-30 05:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-30 05:14
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? No +2 $2 94¢ $2 +$0 10-30 05:14
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 -$1 96¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6 -$1 16¢ $-1 $0 10-31 06:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3 -$1 36¢ $-1 +$0 10-22 00:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -3 -$1 20¢ $-1 +$1 05-11 04:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-25 04:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-04 18:19