Realized P&L
+$11
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
67.4%
Resolved
91
Trades
154
lifetime
Volume
$327
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$22
10 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 11-05 08:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 45 days
Categories
Sports
43% 45% +$6
Politics
37% 62% +$11
Other
20% 57% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +46 $10 21¢ $9 -$1 11-05 08:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +18 $5 27¢ $5 $0 11-05 08:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 05-11 04:39
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -3 -$1 38¢ $-1 +$0 05-11 04:37
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3 -$1 40¢ $-1 +$0 10-22 00:47
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6 -$1 12¢ $-1 $0 10-31 06:09
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-04 18:19
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 4¢ $0 -$1 05-25 04:16