Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
60.1%
Resolved
90
Trades
151
lifetime
Volume
$304
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$14
9 positions
First seen
2026-04-06
last 11-04 07:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 44 days
Categories
Sports
46% 43% -$6
Politics
32% 62% +$11
Other
21% 57% -$5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? Yes +8 $2 91¢ $7 +$5 10-31 06:12
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -2 -$2 99¢ $-2 $0 05-11 04:39
New pandemic in 2026? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 06-10 15:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -6 -$1 15¢ $-1 $0 10-31 06:09
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -3 -$1 31¢ $-1 +$0 10-22 00:47
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -3 -$1 22¢ $-1 +$1 05-11 04:37
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +4 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 05-25 04:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-04 18:19