Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$170

Unrealized P&L

-$21

Hit rate

81.3%

Resolved

176

Trades

471

lifetime

Volume

$15.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$32

Open exposure

$118

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 10-29 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 106 days

Categories

Other

42% 80% -$32

Crypto

27% 85% -$80

Sports

12% 73% -$23

Politics

12% 81% -$52

Tech

7% 86% +$18

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

61 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	+40	$35	95¢	$38	+$3	10-16 13:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+34	$33	96¢	$33	$0	10-29 11:39
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	+22	$21	97¢	$21	+$0	10-28 08:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	+15	$13	88¢	$13	+$0	10-27 13:43
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+82	$38	16¢	$13	-$25	06-22 06:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2300 on april 18	2	$278	140	140	+0	Yes	+$2	04-18 15:37
ethereum above 1900 on april 3	4	$239	120	120	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 15:52
bitcoin above 72k on april 19	2	$239	120	120	+0	Yes	+$1	04-19 12:02
mlb atl ari 2026 04 02	3	$219	110	110	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$0	04-03 04:39
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 14:00 UTC	2	$218	110	110	+0	Down	+$2	04-19 14:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 70000 72000 on march 31	5	$200	100	100	+0	No	+$0	03-31 15:02
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 26?	2	$199	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	04-26 13:42
mlb sea sd 2026 04 16	2	$197	100	100	+0	San Diego Padres	+$3	04-17 03:21
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC	2	$197	100	100	+0	Up	+$3	04-19 13:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	4	$196	102	102	+0	No	$0	05-28 07:04
mlb atl laa 2026 04 06	3	$180	90	90	+0	Los Angeles Angels	+$0	04-07 03:44
bitcoin up or down april 5 2026 7am et	2	$180	90	90	+0	Down	+$0	04-05 12:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-19 13:15 UTC	3	$179	90	90	+0	Up	+$1	04-19 13:26
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?	4	$177	90	90	+0	No	+$1	05-22 13:10
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	18	$175	91	91	+0	Yes	+$0	09-03 07:46
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	7	$160	103	103	+0	open	—	10-02 04:26
nhl sea edm 2026 03 31	2	$157	80	80	+0	Oilers	+$3	04-01 03:30
mlb col hou 2026 04 15	2	$157	80	80	+0	Houston Astros	+$3	04-16 02:50
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	4	$153	78	78	+0	No	+$0	07-25 10:10
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	7	$149	77	77	+0	No	$0	08-20 07:03
bitcoin up or down march 31 2026 10pm et	5	$148	75	75	+0	Down	+$1	04-01 03:00
cbb arz mich 2026 04 04	2	$140	70	70	+0	Michigan Wolverines	+$0	04-05 03:22
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	5	$139	71	71	+0	open	—	10-08 05:24
mlb sea sd 2026 04 15	4	$137	70	70	+0	San Diego Padres	+$1	04-16 03:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-17 03:15 UTC	5	$136	70	70	+0	Up	-$1	04-17 03:29
Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	4	$125	63	63	+0	open	—	10-13 05:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	3	$121	80	46	+34	open	—	10-29 11:39
highest temperature in seoul on april 24 2026 16c	2	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-24 00:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-13 13:30 UTC	4	$117	60	60	+0	Down	+$3	04-13 13:44
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	2	$116	60	60	+0	No	+$2	03-24 07:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 11:39:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0xb0fb82…
10-29 09:08:29	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	80¢	$22	0x3c9a40…
10-28 08:23:43	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x4433f6…
10-27 18:11:36	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	SELL	35	100¢	$35	0xe97e80…
10-27 13:43:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0xf5b364…
10-25 17:13:21	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in October?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0x1d20ca…
10-24 16:37:50	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	40	95¢	$38	0xb823fe…
10-24 07:12:08	Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0x5196ec…
10-23 11:29:12	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	33	95¢	$31	0x82a424…
10-23 02:54:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x6ff41c…
10-22 06:23:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0xc47c1d…
10-22 06:19:56	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x0d268d…
10-21 17:06:08	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x0ac109…
10-20 16:09:56	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x14026b…
10-20 03:12:36	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x204271…
10-20 03:02:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0xc24860…
10-20 00:57:32	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x5b1efe…
10-19 02:29:44	Will Bitcoin reach $102,500 in October?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xfa8251…
10-17 10:50:17	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0x414262…
10-16 13:32:43	Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in October?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x7157ae…
10-15 12:47:47	Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x880724…
10-13 05:55:00	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x7baf65…
10-13 05:06:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	BUY	46	95¢	$44	0x33e2af…
10-12 15:32:03	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	42	96¢	$40	0x17196d…
10-12 06:06:50	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	33	96¢	$32	0x2e9294…
10-12 05:45:39	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x6e51a3…
10-11 01:47:38	US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	33	96¢	$32	0x1b5d0d…
10-09 09:01:18	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	35	95¢	$33	0x2b9ebd…
10-08 05:24:01	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x0e0ec3…
10-07 02:06:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	15	45¢	$7	0x6b59da…
10-07 01:54:47	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in October?	No	BUY	60	57¢	$34	0x085f4d…
10-06 15:08:59	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0x4513fb…
10-06 08:08:25	Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x0c6f2b…
10-04 17:32:02	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0xd5acd9…
10-04 13:37:29	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$11	0x5539b0…
10-04 12:38:35	Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	24	96¢	$23	0xd42e42…
10-04 09:55:28	Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x568cce…
10-02 13:54:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0x10d6eb…
10-02 04:26:30	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	61	81¢	$49	0x36cb44…
10-02 03:47:32	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	29	99¢	$29	0xa539af…
10-01 18:28:12	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x57c067…
10-01 12:40:47	Will Ofer Winter be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x2a1d3e…
09-30 00:52:02	Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$23	0xe2dc11…
09-28 06:20:50	Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	97¢	$41	0xd7fc35…
09-27 11:53:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	16	94¢	$15	0x315c58…
09-27 11:53:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	9	94¢	$9	0xd91897…
09-27 11:53:09	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xa009a1…
09-27 10:21:33	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6eb4bb…
09-25 07:56:47	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	27	99¢	$27	0x66431a…
09-25 07:55:56	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0x9568fb…
09-25 07:54:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 24 to September 26, 2026?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe77717…
09-24 18:10:41	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	30	85¢	$26	0x203010…
09-24 15:21:47	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	27	98¢	$26	0x145977…
09-24 15:21:21	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?	No	BUY	36	94¢	$34	0xdd2985…
09-24 02:18:23	Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0x12510e…
09-21 04:15:39	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0xfd6268…
09-21 03:45:46	Will Branimir Jovanović be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x68839c…
09-19 02:27:57	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x9f17a1…
09-16 06:22:31	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xaeded5…
09-14 11:34:48	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x829e47…
09-13 14:52:16	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x01063f…
09-13 07:24:25	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x93391e…
09-12 09:25:01	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x7d119f…
09-11 11:10:42	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x8842cb…
09-10 06:06:51	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x23f2d2…
09-08 04:22:13	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	35	86¢	$30	0xdcd06b…
09-07 08:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x90d497…
09-07 08:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x52d469…
09-07 08:08:18	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x4c47ff…
09-06 08:32:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xc9de32…
09-06 08:30:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0xb5cca7…
09-06 08:30:10	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x4bec75…
09-05 09:20:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	34	79¢	$26	0x60a66e…
09-05 08:58:51	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x5ddbce…
09-04 10:46:57	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x486b12…
09-04 09:07:54	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xc9e1c9…
09-04 07:55:52	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	100¢	$45	0xd3b9e4…
09-03 22:38:34	Will Tottenham win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd170e7…
09-03 07:46:46	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x2d4663…
09-03 04:50:42	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x2aa0e5…
09-03 04:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	42	64¢	$27	0x36ec17…
09-03 04:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	28	64¢	$18	0x0481c2…
09-03 00:30:12	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	23	78¢	$18	0x064f2f…
09-02 19:52:12	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0xf051f0…
09-02 16:31:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	78¢	$15	0x57a679…
09-02 06:58:34	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8d4e0a…
09-01 06:24:40	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	SELL	32	92¢	$29	0x7ccd9c…
08-30 18:44:43	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x23840d…
08-30 10:02:33	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xf3af7a…
08-30 09:07:37	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	BUY	42	76¢	$32	0x5fe761…
08-29 13:13:54	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xa8763c…
08-29 12:10:51	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x503d1f…
08-29 11:25:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x8ac515…
08-29 08:01:51	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa94785…
08-29 05:34:57	Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?	Yes	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xf204e2…
08-27 18:13:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in August?	No	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xbd01bc…
08-27 09:14:19	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	SELL	30	99¢	$30	0xaba6e2…
08-26 16:15:03	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?	Yes	BUY	32	89¢	$28	0xa96c1b…
08-26 02:07:24	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0xef4e5c…
08-25 07:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$29	0x5e24be…