Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

49.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$206

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$27

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-29

last 07-12 14:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Other

52% — —

Politics

45% 50% $-4

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+41	$15	44¢	$18	+$3	07-02 13:43
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	+11	$5	46¢	$5	+$0	06-17 05:27
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	-4	$-3	76¢	$-3	$-0	06-16 17:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+11	$1	8¢	$1	$-0	06-17 05:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	4	$36	58	17	+41	open	—	07-02 13:43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$22	11	17	-6	open	—	06-16 17:28
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	06-09 19:53
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	1	$10	0	10	-10	open	—	06-01 04:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	1	$10	14	0	+14	open	—	06-16 18:16
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	06-01 16:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	05-30 14:41
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-27 10:56
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-01 16:00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	1	$7	0	10	-10	open	—	06-01 08:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	05-15 05:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-16 17:28
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	06-17 05:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	7	0	+7	Yes	$-5	04-01 20:35
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-29 06:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-27 10:56
Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	07-12 14:36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-13 03:52
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	05-11 05:09
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	05-24 15:13
will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	06-17 06:30
will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	1	$3	4	0	+4	open	—	06-17 05:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	1	$3	6	0	+6	Yes	+$3	04-13 14:02
5kt meteor strike in 2026?	1	$3	0	4	-4	open	—	06-16 17:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-18 12:34
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$2	0	7	-7	open	—	06-01 08:00
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	07-01 07:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	1	$2	3	0	+3	Yes	$-2	04-13 06:05
will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	06-17 05:29
Will Putin visit China by May 31?	1	$1	9	0	+9	open	—	05-13 19:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 14:36:05	Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xc96cb6…
07-02 13:43:10	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	39¢	$10	0x58d76e…
07-02 13:42:58	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	62¢	$10	0x223e89…
07-02 13:27:22	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	63¢	$11	0xf77719…
07-01 07:46:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	3	53¢	$1	0xca57eb…
06-17 06:30:19	will a nation that has never won the world cup win in 2026 20260605003149811	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x4fa994…
06-17 05:38:20	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8b6bd1…
06-17 05:31:52	will russia capture all of chasiv yar by september 30	No	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xce8bbb…
06-17 05:29:08	will ukraine re enter myrnohrad by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x824ae5…
06-17 05:27:49	Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x2f780e…
06-17 05:25:56	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x96fa24…
06-16 18:16:34	Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x066b9f…
06-16 17:29:44	5kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	4	75¢	$3	0x7ab2fa…
06-16 17:28:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x6d7814…
06-16 17:28:29	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	96¢	$17	0xd0b86a…
06-11 18:38:36	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0xa91057…
06-09 19:53:54	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	SELL	7	82¢	$6	0xe6828a…
06-01 16:37:17	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?	No	BUY	15	63¢	$10	0x63b6a6…
06-01 08:00:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x20c5b6…
06-01 08:00:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	36¢	$2	0x1ed1c1…
06-01 04:19:02	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by June 30?	No	BUY	7	64¢	$4	0x49e46d…
06-01 04:17:02	Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc16d02…
06-01 04:12:41	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xe89ee2…
05-30 14:41:31	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xad7a85…
05-27 10:56:47	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xd6f5b6…
05-27 10:56:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x15a878…
05-24 15:15:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x67afde…
05-24 15:13:53	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x023ac2…
05-18 12:35:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x22422b…
05-18 12:34:48	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x1fc561…
05-15 05:34:07	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf3d67f…
05-13 19:05:19	Iran closes its airspace by May 18?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0x9e0911…
05-13 19:04:35	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x580200…
05-13 03:52:43	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x1abf47…
05-11 05:09:55	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9ea6c1…
05-08 13:45:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xa78fe5…
05-08 13:45:13	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xf55820…
05-08 13:44:37	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x2c3c09…
05-01 16:04:38	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x42e430…
05-01 16:00:16	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xfd3349…
04-30 08:26:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x266dc4…
04-13 14:02:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xbcff44…
04-13 06:05:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x5d78aa…
04-13 05:57:13	Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x63be09…
04-01 20:35:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x476c92…
03-29 06:04:42	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x8fb9a7…