Realized P&L
-$4
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
49.9%
Resolved
4
Trades
41
lifetime
Volume
$168
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$41
7 positions
First seen
2026-03-29
last 06-17 06:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
54% 50% $-4
Other
44%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
16 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +14 $10 100¢ $14 +$4 06-16 18:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -10 $-7 99¢ $-10 $-2 06-01 08:00
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +15 $5 50¢ $7 +$2 06-01 04:17
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +11 $5 36¢ $4 $-1 06-17 05:27
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No -4 $-3 70¢ $-3 +$0 06-16 17:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $1 14¢ $1 +$1 06-17 05:25
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No +3 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 06-17 05:38