Separate-Eicosanoid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.5%

Resolved

Trades

179

lifetime

Volume

$735

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 07-19 17:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

48% 67% +$4

Crypto

27% 0% $-5

Other

13% — —

Tech

8% — —

Sports

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$44	34	34	-0	Yes	+$4	05-06 09:59
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	1	$30	0	37	-37	open	—	05-28 13:38
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$30	19	19	+0	open	—	04-05 17:50
spacex starship fully reusable before 2028	3	$29	107	0	+107	open	—	07-19 17:05
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$29	0	100	-100	open	—	05-28 13:18
will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	2	$28	50	50	+0	open	—	07-16 23:26
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	05-18 18:54
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	2	$21	314	314	+0	open	—	03-13 07:47
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	2	$20	52	0	+52	open	—	04-14 12:19
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$19	25	25	+0	Yes	$-1	01-28 13:23
btc updown 5m 1772131200	2	$17	17	17	+0	open	—	02-26 18:45
ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	04-02 05:23
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$16	63	0	+63	open	—	04-01 14:03
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	1	$15	41	0	+41	open	—	04-10 06:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$13	8	8	+0	open	—	04-23 16:23
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$12	43	0	+43	open	—	04-10 06:42
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	2	$11	31	31	+0	Yes	+$1	04-29 23:20
tesla launches unsupervised full self driving fsd by march 31	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	01-28 13:19
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by march 31 214	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	01-09 15:38
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	2	$10	66	0	+66	open	—	04-07 07:55
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	12	12	+0	open	—	04-05 17:50
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	2	$8	38	38	+0	open	—	04-27 12:06
btc updown 5m 1773326100	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 14:37
btc updown 5m 1772736300	2	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-05 18:46
btc updown 5m 1773326400	2	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-12 14:45
btc updown 5m 1772875500	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-07 09:27
btc updown 5m 1773827100	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-18 09:45
btc updown 5m 1773492000	3	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-14 12:42
btc updown 5m 1772738400	4	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	03-05 19:21
btc updown 5m 1772806800	2	$7	20	0	+20	open	—	03-06 14:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-19 17:05:58	spacex starship fully reusable before 2028	No	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0xc8c177…
07-17 05:08:00	spacex starship fully reusable before 2028	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbfbe3e…
07-16 23:26:35	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	SELL	50	27¢	$14	0xf9a415…
07-03 18:00:01	will two spacex starships dock together by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xa2d1ff…
07-01 07:51:56	spacex starship fully reusable before 2028	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x657bd5…
06-01 09:23:15	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x7fc680…
06-01 09:22:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x37f7a2…
05-28 13:38:53	Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027?	No	SELL	37	82¢	$30	0x73582d…
05-28 13:18:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	58¢	$6	0xd6bdc2…
05-28 13:18:07	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	SELL	100	29¢	$29	0xa94171…
05-18 18:54:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	92¢	$14	0xf061b3…
05-14 13:55:42	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x879408…
05-14 13:54:29	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x49c612…
05-14 13:54:25	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?	No	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xa894c8…
05-14 13:54:22	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x927cac…
05-14 13:51:39	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0xfc9719…
05-06 11:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x5e4dc4…
05-06 11:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd740be…
05-06 10:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xe48654…
05-06 10:53:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x42ff01…
05-06 10:53:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x98476f…
05-06 09:59:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	34	69¢	$24	0xccc58f…
04-29 23:20:02	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	SELL	31	19¢	$6	0xd3a9ea…
04-27 12:06:50	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	SELL	38	9¢	$3	0x134da4…
04-25 09:37:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xd90dad…
04-23 16:24:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?	No	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x0e4771…
04-23 16:23:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0xfabc53…
04-15 15:29:24	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x9443db…
04-14 12:19:57	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xc34017…
04-10 06:44:11	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	No	BUY	33	46¢	$15	0xc8bea4…
04-10 06:43:19	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	41	36¢	$15	0xf0558a…
04-10 06:42:59	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	No	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x221ba6…
04-10 06:42:37	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xee8b2e…
04-10 06:42:31	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xd85039…
04-08 10:03:29	will trump praise allah again by april 15	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x1944f1…
04-07 07:55:15	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x9a389c…
04-07 07:54:59	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x1c54f4…
04-05 17:50:39	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x92ba0b…
04-05 17:50:23	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x2b83c3…
04-05 17:48:55	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x64b52c…
04-05 17:48:49	US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xda1ce3…
04-05 17:48:45	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x57291b…
04-05 17:48:43	US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x57915e…
04-04 13:50:47	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x337242…
04-02 05:23:33	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$11	0x888d1a…
04-01 14:04:07	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x8f0cb5…
04-01 14:03:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd435ba…
03-30 08:58:42	btc updown 5m 1774860900	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd5107f…
03-27 23:39:11	btc updown 5m 1774654500	Down	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x629410…
03-27 23:32:17	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xb3cebc…
03-27 14:46:13	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd27d7e…
03-26 08:06:03	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x4d0b07…
03-25 12:07:41	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 27 387	Yes	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x6311b2…
03-24 22:59:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xe18b70…
03-22 10:40:03	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xf1389f…
03-22 10:39:47	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	Yes	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x3eb273…
03-22 08:21:43	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xd3fac5…
03-20 16:45:09	Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xeb254d…
03-20 16:24:01	btc updown 5m 1774023600	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9a62d1…
03-19 16:51:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x51af6c…
03-19 16:51:49	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xfe01b5…
03-19 16:51:41	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xf98bd0…
03-19 16:51:35	US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	No	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x9d1075…
03-18 22:18:37	ukraine strikes another tanker in black sea by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0xe2b93b…
03-18 09:55:09	btc updown 5m 1773827700	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xafcb24…
03-18 09:51:15	btc updown 5m 1773827400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe8474d…
03-18 09:45:45	btc updown 5m 1773827100	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xbfc2ba…
03-18 09:45:29	btc updown 5m 1773827100	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x86a675…
03-18 09:45:29	btc updown 5m 1773827100	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$3	0x74dd89…
03-18 09:40:13	btc updown 5m 1773826800	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x0a2686…
03-18 09:32:39	russia military action against kyiv municipality by march 20	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x500cb5…
03-18 08:34:33	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 21 2026 151	No	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x0a6d19…
03-18 08:34:27	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 20 2026 353	No	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xbe7d69…
03-18 08:34:21	will iran conduct a military action against israel on march 19 2026 486	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x03fd4e…
03-18 08:33:15	hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x82a821…
03-18 08:32:43	will iran successfully target shipping on march 21 2026 588	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x41445a…
03-18 08:32:31	will iran successfully target shipping on march 20 2026 221	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x5d4261…
03-18 08:32:25	will iran successfully target shipping on march 19 2026 397	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4aea3b…
03-18 08:32:19	will iran successfully target shipping on march 18 2026 783	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb1c9ba…
03-14 12:42:11	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x306c20…
03-14 12:41:37	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xf93f62…
03-14 12:40:09	btc updown 5m 1773492000	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x65a81f…
03-14 09:27:29	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe9f208…
03-14 09:27:13	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5fdad4…
03-13 10:06:35	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xc0f8d0…
03-13 10:06:23	will leonardo dicaprio win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x6a36cf…
03-13 10:05:51	will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x23436c…
03-13 07:47:09	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	Yes	SELL	314	3¢	$11	0x6c40b9…
03-13 07:46:49	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	Yes	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0xf94859…
03-12 14:45:01	btc updown 5m 1773326400	Down	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8325d3…
03-12 14:40:51	btc updown 5m 1773326400	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x16531e…
03-12 14:37:23	btc updown 5m 1773326100	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x4618dc…
03-12 14:35:13	btc updown 5m 1773326100	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa6d5b7…
03-12 14:35:13	btc updown 5m 1773326100	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x572963…
03-12 13:39:05	btc updown 5m 1773322500	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0bed77…
03-12 09:04:57	btc updown 5m 1773306000	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x35e581…
03-12 08:59:55	btc updown 5m 1773305700	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x0f7b7c…
03-12 08:35:03	btc updown 5m 1773304200	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc69f2d…
03-11 17:02:49	btc updown 5m 1773248400	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xdf6378…
03-11 16:58:03	btc updown 5m 1773248100	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xde8a4d…