Spectacular-Markup — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

598

lifetime

Volume

$6.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

$35

3 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 06-14 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 100% +$0

Politics

33% 100% +$1

Crypto

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	+39	$30	82¢	$31	+$1	06-10 23:50
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$10	16¢	$3	$-7	05-29 16:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	+23	$10	0¢	$0	$-10	05-29 16:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will a new country join the abraham accords by march 31	8	$494	251	251	+0	open	—	04-01 12:11
will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	5	$430	616	0	+616	open	—	06-14 05:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	3	$402	225	225	+0	open	—	06-10 23:32
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	4	$353	276	154	+122	open	—	05-24 14:47
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	3	$249	141	141	+0	open	—	05-26 17:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	9	$204	124	124	+0	open	—	03-24 21:10
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	4	$187	98	98	+0	open	—	03-22 02:04
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	3	$170	102	102	+0	open	—	05-20 02:44
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	10	$164	131	130	+1	open	—	03-30 01:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$161	85	84	+0	open	—	04-23 20:24
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	18	$135	131	18	+113	open	—	04-26 14:24
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	5	$135	71	71	+0	open	—	05-31 21:46
will the bank of brazil decrease the selic rate after march 2026 meeting	7	$133	78	78	+0	open	—	03-17 01:46
will the us invade iran by march 31	5	$118	69	69	+0	open	—	03-25 14:35
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$104	55	55	+0	open	—	05-13 01:47
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	2	$95	53	53	+0	open	—	03-21 21:54
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	6	$93	52	52	+0	open	—	04-22 22:44
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	5	$90	96	0	+96	open	—	05-29 12:38
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April?	4	$86	90	0	+90	open	—	04-26 14:23
us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	10	$82	47	47	+0	open	—	04-24 00:29
sp 500 all time high by march 31 2026	8	$79	41	41	+0	open	—	03-19 23:49
iran leadership change by march 31	7	$62	37	37	+0	open	—	03-22 19:39
us forces in venezuela again by march 31 2026	4	$62	32	32	+0	open	—	04-07 17:52
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	2	$61	32	32	+0	open	—	06-10 23:49
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,450 (HIGH) in June?	2	$60	33	33	+0	Yes	+$0	04-10 16:28
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	5	$60	66	0	+66	open	—	04-24 00:29
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	6	$57	72	0	+72	open	—	04-21 17:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$51	81	50	+32	open	—	04-21 17:06
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	6	$51	58	0	+58	open	—	04-26 14:23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	4	$50	61	26	+35	open	—	04-26 14:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-14 05:18:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	43	70¢	$30	0x932e24…
06-14 02:40:45	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x8aa3fa…
06-14 02:36:04	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xebadda…
06-14 02:34:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xc8e3e6…
06-14 02:33:31	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0xc822c9…
06-14 02:33:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	20	56¢	$11	0x6b1ded…
06-14 02:32:25	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xdd091e…
06-14 01:15:21	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	No	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x27e1ed…
06-10 23:52:57	flavio bolsonaro charged or arrested by september 30 20260609144215531	No	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x915c6f…
06-10 23:51:01	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x35a3e2…
06-10 23:50:09	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x942228…
06-10 23:49:51	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	SELL	32	97¢	$31	0xc5c66e…
06-10 23:32:37	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	225	90¢	$202	0x16aaea…
06-10 23:32:18	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xcb446d…
06-05 01:40:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	3	37¢	$1	0x45baad…
06-05 01:39:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xb64509…
06-05 01:38:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0xb1ce17…
06-05 01:38:13	will trump designate brazils pcc or cv as a terrorists by december 31	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x66f0fc…
06-02 17:28:34	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x5e7edc…
06-02 02:07:12	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xfc871f…
06-02 02:06:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf552c1…
06-02 02:03:22	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0xcba1c6…
05-31 23:55:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x93a8d6…
05-31 23:55:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xde7655…
05-31 23:54:07	Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x9b92b0…
05-31 23:52:15	Will Trump designate Brazil's PCC or CV as a terrorists by December 31?	Yes	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x7aa4bc…
05-31 23:51:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x300bb0…
05-31 23:51:24	Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xd693b0…
05-31 23:51:10	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x529785…
05-31 21:46:12	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	65	100¢	$65	0x6f0df0…
05-29 16:27:38	Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0xda824b…
05-29 16:25:46	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x73f623…
05-29 16:25:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x349f51…
05-29 16:24:52	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x572c85…
05-29 12:38:26	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x872bd3…
05-26 17:54:24	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	SELL	141	99¢	$139	0x1251d4…
05-26 01:50:11	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x9b7fa9…
05-25 01:15:50	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x33f634…
05-24 14:47:51	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0xb011d5…
05-20 02:46:33	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x857a06…
05-20 02:46:12	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x3da1fb…
05-20 02:44:35	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	SELL	102	98¢	$100	0x192aea…
05-18 15:45:02	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbc38e9…
05-17 12:35:17	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	31	64¢	$20	0xb16648…
05-17 05:43:57	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x4e91a4…
05-17 00:03:03	Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xfe733e…
05-15 09:36:06	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	66	92¢	$61	0x45bb61…
05-15 09:33:52	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x599a90…
05-15 09:33:46	Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb648f6…
05-15 09:30:48	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	79¢	$1	0x67ad1d…
05-14 02:30:59	Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xc54352…
05-14 02:30:14	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0158c8…
05-14 02:29:56	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x1fe63e…
05-13 08:46:12	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd9961a…
05-13 08:44:20	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x9c4401…
05-13 08:42:54	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x1d039a…
05-13 01:49:02	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	19	70¢	$13	0xddeec0…
05-13 01:48:21	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	SELL	154	92¢	$142	0xe8036c…
05-13 01:47:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x801cd4…
05-12 01:24:08	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x350ffc…
05-01 13:55:28	Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?	No	BUY	34	88¢	$30	0x80a7d4…
05-01 13:55:06	Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	No	BUY	71	71¢	$50	0x7c7fca…
05-01 13:52:52	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x10fa84…
05-01 13:52:36	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0xf61655…
05-01 13:31:28	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,200 in May?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x5628ad…
05-01 13:30:50	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,800 in May?	Yes	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xf439dd…
05-01 13:29:42	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in May?	No	BUY	154	65¢	$100	0x9174e6…
05-01 01:04:04	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x1f6c71…
04-27 01:11:52	Will 10 or more ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xd53f61…
04-26 14:25:34	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x3cd49f…
04-26 14:24:50	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xb5e822…
04-26 14:24:14	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4da7da…
04-26 14:24:08	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x007ce6…
04-26 14:24:00	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x5a56c5…
04-26 14:23:36	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in April?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xe326d6…
04-26 14:23:26	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xc6c711…
04-26 13:24:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in April?	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x04c179…
04-26 13:21:52	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x30afec…
04-26 04:57:24	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc3470…
04-26 04:55:38	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x42f70d…
04-24 11:45:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xbd8908…
04-24 11:44:04	Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?	No	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xcf71dd…
04-24 11:43:50	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8c1c66…
04-24 11:43:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa4cf68…
04-24 11:42:46	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x55c6b5…
04-24 11:42:16	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x516e6a…
04-24 09:15:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $5,200 in April?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3dad4c…
04-24 09:14:30	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x49315a…
04-24 09:13:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x9736fa…
04-24 09:11:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xef610c…
04-24 09:11:36	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0x3ef74f…
04-24 09:10:18	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xe81176…
04-24 09:09:44	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0xb4b3f9…
04-24 00:29:46	us escorts commercial ship through hormuz by april 30 894	No	SELL	44	94¢	$42	0x358414…
04-24 00:29:14	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8a6576…
04-23 22:59:08	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,400 in April?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xc28f0d…
04-23 22:57:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x0f1319…
04-23 22:57:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0x7f9c80…
04-23 22:55:32	Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x865972…
04-23 20:24:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	No	SELL	84	96¢	$81	0x8c129e…