Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
88.2%
Resolved
460
Trades
650
lifetime
Volume
$19.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$19
26 positions
First seen
2026-08-24
last 11-12 20:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 78 days
Categories
Other
100% 92% -$29
Politics
0% 0% -$11
Tech
0% — —
Crypto
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 81 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +40 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-24 11:33
Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:34
Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $1 3¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:34
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will Donald Trump visit Pakistan in 2026? Yes +40 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:33
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:35
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:33
US strike on Mexico by December 31? Yes +40 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:33
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +40 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will Indonesia recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +31 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will Syria recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +40 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:35
Will North Korea recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:35
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 2¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Yes +40 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:35
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in another European country by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:34
Will Cuba recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:33
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +30 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-24 11:35
Will Trump meet with Lai Ching-te in 2026? Yes +40 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:35
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +40 $2 1¢ $1 -$1 10-24 11:35
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +33 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-24 11:33
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-24 11:35
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31? Yes +40 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Yes +39 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-24 11:35
Will the next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place in Italy by December 31, 2026? Yes +30 $1 0¢ $0 -$1 10-24 11:34
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +4 $0 0¢ $0 $0 10-24 11:43