Realized P&L
-$368
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
67.8%
Resolved
7,068
Trades
16,102
lifetime
Volume
$31.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$304
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-11
last 10-27 15:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 117 days
Categories
Crypto
66% 69% -$221
Other
33% 26% -$153
Politics
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$5
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +50 $38 64¢ $32 -$6 08-31 15:08
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31? No +20 $14 74¢ $15 +$0 10-21 02:00
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by December 31, 2026? No +20 $14 70¢ $14 +$0 10-25 11:37
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$1 10-15 15:18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +10 $9 99¢ $10 +$1 09-08 09:15
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$1 09-22 12:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $6 96¢ $10 +$4 06-24 12:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +10 $8 96¢ $10 +$1 09-11 09:46
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 09-02 17:49
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 No +10 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 09-11 14:40
Will MGM Resorts be acquired before 2027? No — +10 $7 93¢ $9 +$2 09-15 10:03
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$1 09-21 08:28
Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 10-06 14:04
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 09-24 16:03
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 10-13 09:42
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 10-13 08:40
Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31? No +10 $8 90¢ $9 +$1 10-12 09:06
Will Papertrade launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $5 89¢ $9 +$4 10-18 13:03
Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 89¢ $9 +$1 09-08 11:22
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 10-16 17:53
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$0 10-19 13:53
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 10-20 21:30
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 09-21 21:47
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$0 10-16 19:12
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? No +10 $9 86¢ $9 $0 10-14 09:06
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 10-16 15:46
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 10-15 11:22
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 09-10 15:56
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 10-20 14:21
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31? No +10 $8 82¢ $8 +$0 10-13 09:48