Flimsy-Handicap — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$11

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

72.8%

Resolved

767

Trades

5,799

lifetime

Volume

$20.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$19

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 07-08 22:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% +$11

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

31 active days in 12wk • peak 336 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+10	$6	80¢	$8	+$2	06-24 12:45
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$4	90¢	$4	+$0	06-27 08:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+5	$2	68¢	$3	+$1	06-24 21:23
Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+5	$3	60¢	$3	+$0	07-08 22:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
eth updown 5m 1776892800	2	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	04-22 21:23
eth updown 5m 1776949200	3	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 13:04
btc updown 5m 1776944700	2	$53	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 11:49
btc updown 5m 1776933900	3	$52	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 08:48
eth updown 5m 1776974100	3	$52	56	0	+56	open	—	04-23 19:58
btc updown 5m 1776975000	1	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	04-23 20:13
eth updown 5m 1776894000	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-22 21:44
btc updown 5m 1777012200	4	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 06:34
eth updown 5m 1776894300	1	$48	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 21:47
btc updown 5m 1777011900	2	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	04-24 06:28
btc updown 5m 1776934200	2	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 08:54
btc updown 5m 1776936300	2	$46	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 09:28
btc updown 5m 1776894600	3	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 21:53
btc updown 5m 1776937200	1	$45	50	0	+50	open	—	04-23 09:44
eth updown 5m 1776893700	1	$42	50	0	+50	open	—	04-22 21:37
btc updown 5m 1776437100	4	$21	25	0	+25	open	—	04-17 14:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	2	$20	10	10	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-16 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 21:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	6	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-18 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-14 11:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	04-29 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-15 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$19	24	0	+24	open	—	05-16 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	5	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	05-16 05:50
btc updown 5m 1776446100	4	$18	24	0	+24	open	—	04-17 17:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 09:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 09:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	05-14 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-08 22:18:49	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.06 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x3ae9ba…
06-29 19:03:07	will xrp dip to 0pt8 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x17d5fb…
06-29 17:26:55	will tsla reach 450 in june 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2d7671…
06-29 11:58:17	xrp above 1 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1f6fd5…
06-29 08:39:28	spy closes above 745 on june 29 2026	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x80f532…
06-27 20:51:07	will ethereum reach 1800 june 22 28 2026	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x55e84b…
06-27 19:28:50	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 27	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x2a90ff…
06-27 08:10:38	hok we sygami 2026 06 27	Team WE	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x1690d1…
06-27 08:01:46	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x4d1040…
06-27 07:48:40	dota2 dfam mental 2026 06 27	Mentality Monster	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcd8725…
06-26 21:05:43	val sad evi 2026 06 26	SaD Esports	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc17d09…
06-26 21:05:14	val adg nrga 2026 06 26	NRG Academy	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x479c32…
06-26 21:04:37	dota2 4ancho the 2026 06 26	4 Anchors and Ilmeria	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xed1e99…
06-26 19:41:29	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x507fea…
06-26 14:07:58	will ethereum reach 1600 on june 26	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xc0fccd…
06-26 10:54:05	will bitcoin reach 62k on june 26	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x35aee0…
06-26 08:53:32	bitcoin above 60k on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x6bd8f5…
06-26 04:56:43	will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 22 2026	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xd5a920…
06-25 19:43:16	will bitcoin dip to 57k on june 25	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xbc9b2c…
06-25 18:26:08	will xauusd dip to 3900 by june 22 2026	No	SELL	5	88¢	$4	0x5ac51f…
06-25 05:31:10	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 25	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa1394…
06-25 05:17:02	will ethereum reach 1800 june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x3e4d6d…
06-25 05:06:35	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	Yes	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x69a19e…
06-25 00:55:17	will bitcoin reach 66k june 22 28 2026	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x627bbf…
06-24 21:23:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x2d0228…
06-24 21:22:23	will bitcoin dip to 50k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8d5f5a…
06-24 21:10:16	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 24	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x933759…
06-24 21:02:13	will bitcoin dip to 58k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfc62cf…
06-24 12:45:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x0cd294…
06-24 12:19:04	will bitcoin reach 80000 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc4bcfc…
06-24 10:13:28	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 24	Yes	SELL	43	2¢	$1	0x8f2cd3…
06-24 09:35:35	will bitcoin dip to 60k on june 24	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0xcac59f…
06-24 09:30:37	will bitcoin dip to 60k june 22 28 2026	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x85bc32…
06-10 12:03:46	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xba2797…
06-10 12:02:39	spx opens up or down on june 10 2026	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xcdd637…
05-25 12:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x3abc6f…
05-25 12:30:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x711c16…
05-25 12:09:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x45dbb0…
05-25 12:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x5aa29c…
05-25 11:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0x4d27d8…
05-25 11:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x8574fe…
05-25 10:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xc0726f…
05-25 10:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x288a70…
05-25 10:00:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x2b99f2…
05-25 09:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa660bc…
05-25 09:13:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x2f565d…
05-25 09:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xaa8d1a…
05-22 15:55:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x899795…
05-20 20:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x85662d…
05-20 19:14:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xa19895…
05-20 17:02:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x1174d8…
05-20 11:36:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x943d74…
05-20 11:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x51e018…
05-20 11:04:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x31a61f…
05-20 10:54:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x28f490…
05-20 10:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x57e1ab…
05-20 10:31:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xff8bd8…
05-20 09:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x17a856…
05-20 09:19:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x5a967d…
05-20 09:16:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb76a4c…
05-20 09:02:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xfc0e47…
05-20 08:57:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x93ec93…
05-20 08:30:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x2f86da…
05-20 08:08:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x8cd59a…
05-20 07:52:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2a89c0…
05-20 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xeb08f4…
05-20 07:12:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x5bfc82…
05-20 06:15:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf07741…
05-20 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x3e3b7e…
05-20 05:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x970492…
05-20 04:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x143122…
05-20 04:37:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xe59bd4…
05-20 04:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x35bfa6…
05-20 04:08:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x45972e…
05-20 03:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x47b9e9…
05-20 03:24:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x588bf0…
05-20 03:21:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xef766c…
05-20 02:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xf3bacb…
05-20 01:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x4ecd20…
05-20 01:09:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x1748de…
05-20 01:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfd0159…
05-19 23:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x9c7382…
05-19 22:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0x562c8f…
05-19 20:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x3b1614…
05-19 20:18:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xa14c94…
05-19 20:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xcc22f4…
05-19 20:01:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x8ffce2…
05-19 19:58:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x80b8f6…
05-19 19:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x659809…
05-19 19:52:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xae40e0…
05-19 19:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xeb598c…
05-19 19:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xd2e80d…
05-19 19:11:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x50e338…
05-19 19:07:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x08493d…
05-19 18:52:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x524496…
05-19 18:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x36d6d6…
05-19 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0xf1f260…
05-19 17:58:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0xc2b537…
05-19 17:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xb6b121…
05-19 17:42:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xd3cd11…