Spectacular-Mercury 0x637f14…37f1f8 Create alert
bot 11W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$304
Unrealized P&L
-$76
Hit rate
89.4%
Resolved
986
Trades
2,083
lifetime
Volume
$30.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$15
Open exposure
$120
15 positions
First seen
2026-05-19
last 11-12 02:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 125 days
Categories
Other
91% 89% -$167
Crypto
7% 38% -$92
Politics
1% 46% -$47
Tech
0% 38% $0
Sports
0% 100% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 12? No +51 $50 100¢ $51 +$0 11-11 21:23
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on November 12? No +40 $40 99¢ $40 +$0 11-12 02:24
Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 48-49°F on November 11? Yes +17 $17 97¢ $16 $0 11-11 23:42
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? No +55 $41 7¢ $4 -$37 09-27 06:59
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +256 $17 1¢ $3 -$14 06-08 12:56
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +19 $8 8¢ $1 -$6 08-12 07:47
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? Yes +38 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 06-08 13:01
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12 $3 10¢ $1 -$2 06-06 14:58
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +33 $7 2¢ $1 -$6 07-07 11:52
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? Yes +344 $9 0¢ $1 -$8 08-30 20:14
Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? Yes +3 -$1 8¢ $0 +$1 09-28 07:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $2 1¢ $0 -$1 07-13 17:28
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes +10 -$3 2¢ $0 +$3 09-18 17:05
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-20 08:05
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $1 8¢ $0 -$1 05-20 21:47