True-Supernatural — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

226

lifetime

Volume

$5.22K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 03:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Crypto

58% 34% -$479

Sports

33% 15% +$32

Other

7% 18% -$108

Politics

2% 10% -$12

Tech

0% 0% -$6

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-09).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$582	819	819	+0	No	-$8	02-17 14:51
solana up or down january 28 6am et	5	$495	504	504	+0	Up	+$62	01-28 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 14:55 UTC	2	$494	1,441	1,432	+9	Down	-$70	02-17 14:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:00 UTC	2	$474	2,139	2,125	+14	Up	-$389	02-17 15:03
solana up or down january 28 11am et	8	$275	377	331	+45	Up	+$95	01-28 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:25 UTC	2	$246	384	381	+4	Up	+$50	02-17 11:28
nfl det chi 2026 01 04	12	$230	305	223	+82	Lions	+$65	01-05 00:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 11:30 UTC	2	$197	299	295	+4	Down	-$3	02-17 11:34
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$146	1,162	1,162	+0	No	-$4	02-17 15:00
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$145	2,056	2,056	+0	No	-$5	02-17 15:00
solana up or down january 28 1pm et	5	$140	175	175	+0	Down	-$20	01-28 18:51
solana up or down january 28 2pm et	5	$125	63	152	-89	Down	+$49	01-28 19:52
solana up or down january 28 5pm et	5	$118	295	86	+209	Up	-$30	01-28 22:38
nba okc phx 2026 01 04	2	$107	87	87	+0	Suns	+$67	01-05 04:36
solana up or down january 28 6pm et	1	$100	256	0	+256	Down	-$100	01-28 23:02
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$96	385	385	+0	No	-$4	02-17 15:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:05 UTC	2	$86	85	84	+1	Down	+$2	02-17 15:06
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$68	1,842	1,842	+0	No	-$2	02-17 15:00
dota2 navi pi 2026 01 04	2	$63	60	60	+0	Natus Vincere	+$16	01-04 21:01
cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	4	$63	214	62	+152	TheMongolz	-$22	02-17 15:10
solana up or down january 28 12pm et	6	$56	162	162	+0	Up	-$11	01-28 17:59
nba mem lal 2026 01 04	4	$51	88	44	+44	Lakers	-$10	01-05 04:43
solana up or down january 28 5am et	1	$50	132	0	+132	Down	-$50	01-28 10:07
nfl cle cin 2026 01 04	4	$49	238	38	+200	Browns	+$1	01-04 20:55
nba chi bos 2026 01 05	2	$39	100	100	+0	Celtics	-$1	01-05 11:06
nba den phi 2026 01 05	2	$39	111	111	+0	Nuggets	-$1	01-05 11:06
nba cha okc 2026 01 05	2	$36	182	182	+0	Hornets	-$4	01-05 11:06
us forces in venezuela again by january 10 2026	4	$35	150	150	+0	No	-$20	01-05 00:37
cs2 g2 hero 2026 02 17	2	$32	167	167	+0	G2	-$8	02-17 15:40
nba phx hou 2026 01 05	2	$30	57	57	+0	Rockets	$0	01-05 10:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 03:23:31	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:20 UTC	Up	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x2e3f9b…
06-09 03:19:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:15 UTC	Down	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x93dc16…
06-09 03:16:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xbc35ca…
06-09 03:11:00	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x252c04…
06-09 03:10:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xb5a356…
06-09 03:09:46	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:05 UTC	Down	SELL	11	3¢	$0	0x6b3e85…
06-09 03:07:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:05 UTC	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x5281ce…
06-09 03:06:04	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:05 UTC	Up	SELL	6	70¢	$4	0xf82ada…
06-09 03:05:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:05 UTC	Up	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x996eb8…
06-09 03:04:25	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:00 UTC	Up	BUY	35	6¢	$2	0x38a7e9…
06-09 03:03:43	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:00 UTC	Down	SELL	17	91¢	$15	0xd3af41…
06-09 03:00:39	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1f06dc…
06-09 03:00:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xd50186…
06-09 03:00:16	SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-09 03:00 UTC	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x60bdc9…
06-09 02:56:28	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	SELL	11	73¢	$8	0x30b217…
06-08 21:10:04	will bitcoin reach 65000 in june 2026 from june 4	Yes	BUY	11	84¢	$9	0xe88b4e…
06-08 19:10:33	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	33¢	$4	0xc1a41e…
06-08 19:10:33	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	SELL	7	73¢	$5	0x8a4bee…
06-08 19:10:30	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?	Yes	SELL	13	29¢	$4	0xce673d…
06-08 19:10:30	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	SELL	13	31¢	$4	0x5908ff…
06-08 19:10:28	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	SELL	17	19¢	$3	0x80d246…
06-08 19:10:27	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	25	16¢	$4	0x2829cf…
06-08 19:10:25	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	8¢	$3	0xfffa18…
06-08 19:10:24	Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x9206d0…
06-08 19:10:22	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	40	8¢	$3	0x72375a…
06-08 19:10:21	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	41	6¢	$2	0x72068c…
06-08 19:10:19	Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	56	8¢	$5	0xd604e8…
06-08 19:10:18	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	SELL	61	6¢	$3	0xa3b15c…
06-08 19:10:16	Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?	Yes	SELL	70	6¢	$4	0xa3a893…
06-08 19:10:15	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	85	4¢	$3	0x788664…
06-08 19:10:13	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	SELL	98	4¢	$4	0x96255a…
06-08 19:10:12	will spy reach 810 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	118	1¢	$1	0x64c8fc…
06-08 19:10:09	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	126	4¢	$5	0xba0c4e…
06-08 19:10:07	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	Yes	SELL	169	1¢	$1	0x9f3678…
06-08 19:10:07	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	SELL	218	2¢	$4	0x2af554…
06-08 19:10:04	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	324	1¢	$2	0xc52ac5…
06-08 19:10:03	Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	SELL	396	1¢	$2	0x94c7f9…
06-08 19:10:03	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	SELL	491	0¢	$2	0x09afd3…
06-08 19:10:01	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	Yes	SELL	566	1¢	$6	0x086894…
06-07 21:14:55	will the next claude opus 4pt8 model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score between 1480 and 1490	Yes	BUY	553	1¢	$4	0xbda97d…
06-07 21:14:54	Will Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?	Yes	BUY	70	7¢	$5	0x40e612…
06-07 21:14:52	will xauusd reach 5200 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	169	3¢	$5	0x491539…
06-07 21:14:49	Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?	No	BUY	61	6¢	$4	0x676feb…
06-07 21:14:46	Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?	Yes	BUY	13	25¢	$3	0x7e2d77…
06-07 21:14:45	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	41	11¢	$5	0x847dd7…
06-07 21:14:43	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?	Yes	BUY	17	20¢	$3	0xfd2785…
06-07 21:14:42	Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x8e27e3…
06-07 21:14:40	Will Linus Ullmark win the 2026 NHL Conn Smythe Trophy?	Yes	BUY	686	0¢	$3	0xed7979…
06-07 21:14:37	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	218	2¢	$4	0x4b14e6…
06-07 21:14:36	Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?	No	BUY	491	1¢	$5	0xaf7125…
06-07 21:14:34	will spy reach 810 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	118	3¢	$4	0x29c95b…
06-07 21:14:33	Will India win?	No	BUY	267	2¢	$4	0x89a6e5…
06-07 21:14:30	Will Alberta join the US?	Yes	BUY	98	5¢	$5	0x11c830…
06-07 21:14:28	Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?	No	BUY	13	32¢	$4	0x05631d…
06-07 21:14:27	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	40	9¢	$4	0x5340e6…
06-07 21:14:25	wta gormaz grant 2026 06 07	Tyra Caterina Grant	BUY	3,060	0¢	$3	0x57dd0f…
06-07 21:14:22	Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" be the May film with the highest domestic gross on June 30?	No	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x57781f…
06-07 21:14:21	Will Scotland win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	56	8¢	$5	0xb5366d…
06-07 21:14:19	israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	No	BUY	4,860	0¢	$5	0xda7acd…
06-07 21:14:18	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	5¢	$4	0x3455e7…
06-07 21:14:15	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x009b13…
06-07 21:14:13	Will Atlanta United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	BUY	396	1¢	$4	0x249a9b…
06-07 21:14:12	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	Yes	BUY	566	1¢	$4	0xadec38…
06-07 21:14:10	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	9¢	$3	0xb48a53…
06-07 21:14:09	Will annual inflation be 3.3% or less in May?	Yes	BUY	3,686	0¢	$4	0x0052c9…
06-07 21:14:06	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	Yes	BUY	324	1¢	$3	0xdc10ce…
06-07 21:14:04	Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	3,880	0¢	$4	0x6e6c24…
06-07 21:14:03	Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	25	16¢	$4	0x59c762…
06-07 21:14:00	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	126	4¢	$5	0x0ce099…
05-09 16:16:56	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0x6a6e62…
05-09 16:16:54	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	SELL	6	31¢	$2	0xfd53cf…
05-09 16:16:54	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xe2ebc1…
05-09 16:16:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x91fce6…
05-09 16:16:52	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0xa60980…
05-09 16:16:51	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x94a8fd…
05-09 16:16:51	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	9¢	$1	0x03ea7d…
05-09 16:16:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	6¢	$1	0x9ebce6…
05-09 16:16:49	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x407070…
05-09 16:16:47	Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	SELL	31	3¢	$1	0x899bf1…
05-09 16:16:47	Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8817fe…
05-06 18:23:41	Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xff8736…
05-06 18:23:39	Epstein client list released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xa07b5e…
05-06 18:23:36	Will Lars Løkke Rasmussen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x5b00c6…
05-06 18:23:34	Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xba0109…
05-06 18:23:32	2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x4efe74…
05-06 18:23:30	Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x5d24f2…
05-06 18:23:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x7cd051…
05-06 18:23:25	Iran leadership change by December 31?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x7712f6…
05-06 18:23:23	Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x28ec6a…
05-06 18:23:22	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xc4bd55…
05-06 18:23:18	Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xcdbe23…
02-17 15:40:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x87e39a…
02-17 15:40:25	cs2 g2 hero 2026 02 17	Heroic	SELL	167	7¢	$12	0xdd7068…
02-17 15:13:25	cs2 g2 hero 2026 02 17	Heroic	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x5cc805…
02-17 15:10:15	cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	Natus Vincere	SELL	46	35¢	$16	0xc2121a…
02-17 15:08:49	cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	Natus Vincere	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x07b4e5…
02-17 15:08:45	cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	Natus Vincere	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x06a275…
02-17 15:07:07	cs2 navi mglz 2026 02 17	Natus Vincere	BUY	214	20¢	$42	0xd40196…
02-17 15:06:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:05 UTC	Down	SELL	84	51¢	$43	0x922b90…
02-17 15:05:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-02-17 15:05 UTC	Down	BUY	85	50¢	$42	0xd7abf1…