Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
420
lifetime
Volume
$28.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$69
Open exposure
$1.95K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 15:45
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
58% 100% +$28
Politics
41% 80% +$51
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -727 $-669 94¢ $-680 $-11 07-01 15:45
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +500 $441 88¢ $442 +$2 07-02 02:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -349 $-328 96¢ $-336 $-9 06-06 10:47
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No -350 $-292 86¢ $-303 $-10 06-21 13:24
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -100 $-90 83¢ $-83 +$7 06-02 18:50
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +89 $64 86¢ $76 +$12 06-03 18:49
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No +17 $12 91¢ $15 +$3 06-25 13:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -20 $-12 47¢ $-9 +$3 06-15 01:56