Realized P&L
+$79
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
96.9%
Resolved
7
Trades
484
lifetime
Volume
$33.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$68
Open exposure
$2.33K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-22 12:11
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
60% 100% +$28
Politics
40% 80% +$51
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 24 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -875 $-809 94¢ $-827 $-17 07-22 12:11
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +500 $441 92¢ $458 +$16 07-02 02:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No -349 $-328 97¢ $-339 $-11 06-06 10:47
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +200 $188 91¢ $182 $-6 07-11 08:04
US recession by end of 2026? No +200 $182 88¢ $176 $-6 07-05 13:34
US strike on Mexico by December 31? No -100 $-90 88¢ $-88 +$2 06-02 18:50
Trump declares election interference national emergency? No +105 $77 80¢ $83 +$6 07-06 09:59
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? No +89 $64 84¢ $75 +$11 06-03 18:49
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +100 $89 74¢ $74 $-16 07-08 13:37
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No +17 $12 91¢ $15 +$3 06-25 13:14
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? Yes -20 $-12 42¢ $-8 +$4 06-15 01:56
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? Yes +60 $5 $5 +$0 07-09 06:19