Troubled-Tussle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,811

lifetime

Volume

$30.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 05-26 03:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

50% 33% $-128

Politics

20% 0% $-10

Crypto

18% — —

Sports

11% 60% $-2

Tech

1% 100% +$20

Pop-Culture

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

48 active days in 12wk • peak 415 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	13	$2.2K	1,083	1,083	+0	open	—	02-09 02:04
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	11	$1.8K	896	896	+0	open	—	02-09 02:03
will china win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	8	$1.4K	716	716	+0	open	—	02-09 02:08
nba hou phx 2026 04 07	7	$1.3K	1,579	1,579	+0	open	—	04-08 03:47
btc updown 15m 1773054900	6	$829	614	614	+0	open	—	03-09 11:28
will bangladesh jamaat e islami win the most seats in the bangladesh parliamentary election	34	$811	534	534	+0	open	—	02-12 13:10
btc updown 15m 1773041400	4	$602	324	323	+1	open	—	03-09 07:40
another us government shutdown by february 14	22	$583	984	984	+0	open	—	02-13 14:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 50 and 53 million views on day 2	16	$480	420	330	+90	open	—	03-23 13:43
will less than 5000 us flights be delayed on march 24	15	$453	566	647	-81	open	—	03-25 14:06
btc updown 15m 1773930600	21	$434	422	420	+2	open	—	03-19 14:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	4	$413	400	400	+0	open	—	03-07 03:05
will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	4	$406	400	400	+0	open	—	03-09 02:53
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	3	$366	184	184	+0	open	—	02-08 12:56
will moonshot have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	02-08 13:05
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	3	$360	180	180	+0	open	—	02-09 02:04
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	3	$360	181	181	+0	open	—	02-09 02:04
will the seattle seahawks win super bowl 2026	2	$360	264	264	+0	open	—	02-08 12:57
btc updown 15m 1773929700	5	$342	238	235	+3	open	—	03-19 14:27
btc updown 15m 1773059400	7	$334	230	230	+0	open	—	03-09 12:41
spx opens up or down on february 9 2026	2	$328	304	304	+0	open	—	02-09 10:02
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$316	200	200	+0	open	—	03-06 05:10
jesus christ return before 2027 odds 5 monday night 12 1 am	2	$286	200	200	+0	open	—	02-09 09:28
btc updown 15m 1773042300	4	$265	167	166	+1	open	—	03-09 07:56
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$256	305	305	+0	open	—	03-30 03:57
will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	13	$249	300	300	+0	open	—	03-12 04:23
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	7	$247	200	200	+0	Up	+$13	05-04 20:06
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 0 99	4	$184	100	100	+0	open	—	03-12 00:37
will the number of us flights delayed on march 30 be between 5000 and 5500	5	$183	100	100	+0	open	—	03-31 15:31
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?	13	$174	240	240	+0	open	—	03-13 06:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 03:49:11	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	27¢	$54	0xa6b42f…
05-26 03:43:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	27¢	$54	0xfbfdce…
05-25 12:45:04	Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - CIS LAN Championship Group A	SPARTA	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x0b8ffd…
05-25 10:54:37	LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	HANJIN BRION Challengers	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xec92c5…
05-25 10:45:43	Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs 2007 (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C	Lazer Cats	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x8c4541…
05-25 10:41:45	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	Dplus KIA	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xe425ad…
05-21 14:33:25	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	SELL	20	31¢	$6	0xf6fc5f…
05-21 14:30:39	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xff4f53…
05-21 14:04:45	Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x28d4ad…
05-21 14:01:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 21?	Up	BUY	20	72¢	$14	0xad748d…
05-21 14:00:59	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0x619f2c…
05-21 14:00:41	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xd09b90…
05-21 14:00:40	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x85ada0…
05-21 14:00:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 21?	Down	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x207502…
05-21 06:45:09	Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group B	NIP	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x729bb4…
05-14 06:35:47	LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	BNK FearX Youth	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x560b80…
05-14 03:09:08	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	19	60¢	$11	0xcd9e62…
05-14 02:45:52	Chicago Sky vs. Golden State Valkyries	Golden State Valkyries	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x25045c…
05-14 02:45:38	St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x64148f…
05-14 02:43:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xd5a57b…
05-14 02:43:02	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	18	60¢	$11	0x2b9f10…
05-14 02:43:00	Seattle Mariners vs. Houston Astros	Houston Astros	BUY	1	60¢	$1	0xc45b32…
05-14 02:41:54	San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	20	70¢	$14	0x3527db…
05-14 02:41:33	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers	Texas Rangers	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x57b517…
05-12 11:57:13	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x5cd1bc…
05-12 11:57:05	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	21¢	$10	0x6b66ec…
05-12 11:56:51	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0x9f2391…
05-12 11:56:37	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	SELL	100	9¢	$9	0x33396a…
05-12 10:33:55	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	SELL	50	31¢	$16	0x5b2a7d…
05-12 09:36:33	Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x6334ae…
05-12 07:09:30	Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x0d4118…
05-12 06:20:54	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x7262fd…
05-12 06:11:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	34	35¢	$12	0xf6d84e…
05-12 06:10:05	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x346a46…
05-12 06:03:31	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xfd97cc…
05-12 06:02:26	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0x04a43e…
05-12 05:56:45	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Up	BUY	50	41¢	$20	0x26985a…
05-12 05:53:01	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0x85a9b7…
05-12 05:47:50	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	65	38¢	$25	0x4df9cb…
05-12 05:41:21	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xe769e9…
05-12 05:40:25	Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc85dd6…
05-12 05:40:13	Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0xd7f38b…
05-12 04:01:17	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xee18db…
05-04 20:06:54	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	69	98¢	$67	0x1bb69d…
05-04 20:06:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xb7228b…
05-04 20:04:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xaed98e…
05-04 16:10:36	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0xd7b54f…
05-04 09:04:10	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0xc7a944…
05-04 09:02:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	100	32¢	$32	0xc9001a…
05-04 07:48:52	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	SELL	40	81¢	$32	0xf5da0a…
05-04 01:10:22	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xd1fb94…
05-04 01:08:58	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 4?	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$3	0x41c02c…
05-03 23:12:00	Will Bhavitha Mandava be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	79¢	$16	0xf7898a…
05-03 23:05:12	Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1490?	No	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xbc2e75…
05-03 16:11:22	Will Travis Kelce be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	83¢	$17	0xe794d7…
05-03 15:04:12	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	SELL	20	82¢	$16	0x5f60e9…
05-03 13:49:36	Will Alex Consani be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0x0b52d8…
05-03 13:46:18	Will Ice Spice be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x00998d…
05-03 13:41:18	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0xed449a…
05-03 13:40:54	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0x508f38…
05-03 12:33:34	Trump approval Up or Down this week?	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x4da690…
05-03 09:14:44	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x63dca3…
05-03 07:40:18	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	1	74¢	$0	0xcbbe94…
05-03 07:40:06	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xea33e1…
05-03 07:40:06	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xaee546…
05-03 07:40:06	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x7a93e8…
05-03 07:40:04	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x453339…
05-03 07:40:02	Huzhou: Veronika Erjavec vs Katarzyna Kawa	Katarzyna Kawa	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x6dc029…
05-03 04:43:54	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman	United Arab Emirates	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x18bf09…
05-03 04:26:04	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman	United Arab Emirates	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf7887e…
05-03 04:20:32	ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: United Arab Emirates vs Oman	United Arab Emirates	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8571ec…
05-03 04:06:46	Jiujiang: Adam Walton vs Coleman Wong	Coleman Wong	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x1e0129…
05-03 04:02:12	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Kansas City Royals	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xfc4a2b…
05-03 03:30:22	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x121ad1…
05-02 16:15:10	Will Anna Wintour be on Vogue's Best-Dressed list?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x93b9ba…
05-02 15:14:16	Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?	Yes	BUY	20	64¢	$13	0xeb76a2…
05-02 10:06:04	Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Abyssal (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Oceania Cup #4 Playoffs	Ground Zero	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x329e06…
05-02 10:02:20	Dota 2: MODUS vs Aim Possible (BO3) - European Pro League Group B	MODUS	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x9676cd…
05-02 09:41:00	Saint-Malo: Jessika Ponchet vs Moyuka Uchijima	Moyuka Uchijima	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x5a5ac8…
05-02 09:38:56	La Bisbal: Daria Kasatkina vs Sara Sorribes Tormo	Daria Kasatkina	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x17ef64…
05-02 09:38:46	Counter-Strike: GenOne vs INOX Division (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage	GenOne	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xa422c9…
05-02 09:37:50	Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs L1ga Team (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B	L1ga Team	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x2b1eba…
05-02 09:37:22	Valorant: T1 vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Omega	T1	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0xad263f…
05-02 09:36:54	Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Resilience (BO3) - ACL X ESL Challenger China Playoffs	Team Resilience	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc3f497…
05-02 09:36:42	Valorant: All Gamers vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs	All Gamers	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x5541fe…
05-02 09:35:32	Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs FOKUS (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Gentle Mates	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xac91c8…
05-02 09:35:28	LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x4ab8bf…
05-02 09:35:16	LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming (BO3) - LCP Regular Season	MVK Esports	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x2f12a0…
05-02 09:35:04	Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Zdenek Kolar	Zdenek Kolar	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xeed4e9…
05-02 09:35:04	Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Zdenek Kolar	Zdenek Kolar	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6b47a6…
05-02 09:35:04	Ostrava: Raul Brancaccio vs Zdenek Kolar	Zdenek Kolar	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x28cfa2…
05-02 09:33:38	UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)	Colby Thicknesse	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0xeb8ed9…
05-02 08:06:56	Andy Burnham out as Mayor of Greater Manchester by May 31?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0x240af2…
04-28 09:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0x4e2f9a…
04-28 08:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6a4f10…
04-28 08:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x676126…
04-28 08:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x4aaa0e…
04-28 08:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0x687c51…
04-28 06:58:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on April 28?	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x6c65d3…
04-28 05:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C or higher on April 28?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xbc598c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	447	$297.8K	25,750	05-04 13:05
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	420	$311.6K	26,115	05-31 17:26
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	359	$182.0K	16,506	05-23 16:44
White-Donkey 0x993f…35cb	320	$37.4K	5,297	04-27 14:20
Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f	311	$6.63K	6,617	04-28 10:16
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	306	$15.0K	7,446	04-28 01:58
Thrifty-Original 0xc34f…7d2e	294	$59.8K	9,997	04-28 11:00
Fuzzy-Tog 0x356b…1c3f	288	$2.56K	1,955	05-07 02:46