Realized P&L (30d)
-$5
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
6.2%
Resolved (30d)
5
Trades (30d)
13
13 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$17
$17 lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$10
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Sports
55% 0% $-6
Politics
33%
Other
12% 50% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? Yes +12 $2 40¢ $5 +$3 05-05 01:04
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026? Yes +6 $2 29¢ $2 +$0 05-06 23:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +7 $1 20¢ $1 $-0 05-06 17:23
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 22¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 23:43
Iran closes its airspace by May 31? Yes -3 $-1 20¢ $-1 +$0 05-06 19:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 8? Yes -3 $-0 $-0 +$0 05-06 19:30