Realized P&L
+$14
Unrealized P&L
+$59
Hit rate
82.3%
Resolved
380
Trades
797
lifetime
Volume
$3.88K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$198
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 09-26 14:13
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 89 days
Categories
Other
37% 82% -$5
Crypto
36% 51% +$14
Politics
17% 86% +$27
Tech
6% 100% +$10
Sports
4% 38% -$32
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -49 -$46 97¢ $-48 -$2 07-03 07:22
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? Yes -40 -$39 97¢ $-39 +$0 07-03 07:22
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No -40 -$24 96¢ $-38 -$14 07-03 07:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -23 -$16 97¢ $-22 -$7 07-03 07:22
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -37 -$25 56¢ $-21 +$4 07-03 07:22
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -18 -$16 97¢ $-17 -$1 07-03 07:23
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -65 -$29 12¢ $-7 +$22 09-26 14:13
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -220 -$62 2¢ $-5 +$57 06-09 14:58