Realized P&L
-$17
Unrealized P&L
-$15
Hit rate
76.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,026
lifetime
Volume
$8.89K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$83
9 positions
First seen
2026-02-21
last 07-20 16:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
57% 40% $-14
Politics
34% 33% $-2
Tech
6%
Sports
2%
Crypto
1%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +43 $38 70¢ $30 $-8 07-05 20:47
Remote IPO before 2027? No -17 $-14 82¢ $-14 $-1 07-06 15:43
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No -15 $-6 70¢ $-11 $-4 06-30 17:52
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No -11 $-8 88¢ $-10 $-2 06-23 16:17
Ben Pasternak jailed? No -7 $-7 99¢ $-7 $-0 07-06 15:41
Will Uber ask Travis Kalanick back by June 30, 2027? No -6 $-5 94¢ $-5 +$0 07-04 15:58
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes -5 $-4 100¢ $-5 $-1 06-16 05:14
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +5 $1 13¢ $1 $-0 07-20 04:51
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -0 $-0 58¢ $-0 $-0 06-10 20:48