Realized P&L (30d)
+$607
Unrealized P&L
+$1.12K
Hit rate
58.2%
Resolved (30d)
113
Trades (30d)
384
786 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$10.9K
$15.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$4.40K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-05 19:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 43 days
Categories
Politics
47% 56% +$1,064
Other
40% 45% -$1,495
Sports
13% 52% +$3
Crypto
0% 100% +$222
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? Yes +1,783 $1,639 96¢ $1.7K +$77 11-04 18:41
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +680 $238 100¢ $679 +$441 11-03 19:41
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? Yes +600 $199 100¢ $599 +$400 11-03 23:10
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -200 -$173 87¢ $-175 -$2 11-05 16:30
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +440 $54 26¢ $116 +$62 07-10 16:31
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +150 $25 70¢ $105 +$80 11-03 19:23
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +100 $24 99¢ $99 +$75 11-03 18:19
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) Cardinals +134 $62 56¢ $75 +$13 11-04 13:58
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +80 $49 76¢ $61 +$12 06-01 04:24
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,170 -$94 4¢ $-53 +$41 10-22 20:58
Rutgers vs. Wisconsin: O/U 45.5 Over +100 $49 52¢ $52 +$3 11-05 01:10
Sam Houston vs. Jacksonville State: O/U 47.5 Over +100 $51 51¢ $51 +$0 11-05 09:42
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +50 $24 99¢ $50 +$26 11-03 17:22
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 Under +100 $50 50¢ $50 $0 11-04 04:23
Charlotte vs. UAB: O/U 47.5 Over +100 $49 48¢ $48 $0 11-05 14:06
Spread: Tulsa (-1.5) Tulane +100 $49 48¢ $48 -$2 11-05 08:24
Spread: Jaguars (-9.5) Ravens +200 $96 24¢ $47 -$49 11-04 10:56
BYU vs. Utah: O/U 49.5 Over +100 $47 47¢ $47 +$0 11-05 19:59
Spread: Oklahoma State (-5.5) Kansas State +100 $49 47¢ $47 -$2 11-05 08:38
Spread: North Carolina (-6.5) UConn +100 $47 47¢ $47 +$0 11-05 13:27
Spread: Utah (-5.5) Utah +100 $48 46¢ $46 -$1 11-05 13:31
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5 Over +100 $47 42¢ $42 -$4 11-04 16:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$26 17¢ $-34 -$9 06-29 21:49
US recession by end of 2027? Yes +100 $32 30¢ $30 -$1 10-31 00:21
Air Force vs. Army: O/U 45.5 Over +63 $30 46¢ $29 -$1 11-05 15:05
Spread: James Madison (-14.5) James Madison +100 $48 24¢ $24 -$24 11-05 10:02
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $14 4¢ $15 +$1 11-03 18:51
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +240 $27 4¢ $9 -$18 11-03 19:58
Texas State vs. Oregon State: O/U 71.5 Under +9 $4 52¢ $5 +$0 11-05 00:25
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $4 2¢ $4 +$1 10-11 14:22