Realized P&L
+$144
Unrealized P&L
+$589
Hit rate
49.4%
Resolved
220
Trades
920
lifetime
Volume
$20.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$3.76K
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-15 10:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 52 days
Categories
Other
45% 46% -$1,604
Politics
42% 56% +$1,870
Sports
13% 44% -$345
Crypto
0% 100% +$222
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? Yes +1,283 $1,147 99¢ $1.3K +$128 11-06 22:14
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? No +647 $425 93¢ $604 +$179 11-15 10:43
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +500 $365 99¢ $496 +$131 11-07 07:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -300 -$262 90¢ $-269 -$7 11-08 23:19
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +194 $76 98¢ $189 +$113 11-07 07:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +640 $106 26¢ $168 +$62 11-12 16:43
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -200 -$138 84¢ $-167 -$29 11-06 11:04
Spread: Rams (-9.5) Cardinals +200 $100 48¢ $97 -$3 11-14 18:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +100 $24 95¢ $95 +$71 11-03 18:19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +150 $25 54¢ $80 +$55 11-03 19:23
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +600 $126 12¢ $75 -$51 11-14 14:48
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? No +400 $103 16¢ $64 -$39 11-12 01:46
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +80 $49 72¢ $57 +$8 06-01 04:24
US recession by end of 2027? Yes +100 $32 30¢ $30 -$1 10-31 00:21
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$26 15¢ $-29 -$4 06-29 21:49
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,170 -$94 2¢ $-29 +$65 10-22 20:58
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $14 4¢ $15 +$2 11-03 18:51
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $4 2¢ $7 +$3 10-11 14:22
New Zealand Election: Any Bloc Wins a Majority? No +20 $5 26¢ $5 $0 11-15 08:23
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) National +100 $32 4¢ $4 -$28 11-06 21:41
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +240 $27 0¢ $1 -$26 11-03 19:58
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +100 $40 1¢ $1 -$39 11-06 23:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? Yes +20 $2 1¢ $0 -$2 10-26 01:50