Realized P&L
+$76
Unrealized P&L
+$614
Hit rate
49.3%
Resolved
196
Trades
918
lifetime
Volume
$20.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$4.33K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-14 18:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 51 days
Categories
Other
45% 44% -$1,672
Politics
42% 56% +$1,870
Sports
13% 44% -$345
Crypto
0% 100% +$222
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
38 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? Yes +1,283 $1,147 99¢ $1.3K +$128 11-06 22:14
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? No +700 $475 93¢ $653 +$178 11-12 01:46
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +500 $365 99¢ $496 +$130 11-07 07:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -300 -$262 90¢ $-270 -$8 11-08 23:19
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +194 $76 98¢ $189 +$113 11-07 07:47
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +640 $106 26¢ $167 +$61 11-12 16:43
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -200 -$138 83¢ $-166 -$28 11-06 11:04
Spread: Rams (-9.5) Cardinals +200 $100 50¢ $101 +$1 11-14 18:06
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +100 $24 95¢ $95 +$71 11-03 18:19
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +600 $126 12¢ $75 -$51 11-14 14:48
Michigan vs. Oregon: O/U 39.5 Over +100 $48 68¢ $68 +$20 11-10 02:50
Spread: West Virginia (-2.5) Kansas +100 $48 68¢ $68 +$20 11-12 16:47
Spread: Georgia Southern (-5.5) Georgia State +100 $50 66¢ $66 +$16 11-12 01:19
Spread: Virginia (-10.5) Virginia +100 $47 59¢ $59 +$12 11-09 23:27
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +80 $49 68¢ $54 +$5 06-01 04:24
Florida Atlantic vs. Tulsa: O/U 73.5 Under +100 $48 52¢ $52 +$4 11-09 17:41
Spread: Penn State (-9.5) Penn State +98 $48 52¢ $50 +$2 11-10 23:32
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? No +400 $103 12¢ $50 -$53 11-12 01:46
Texas Tech vs. Oklahoma State: O/U 73.5 Under +100 $50 50¢ $50 $0 11-13 02:55
Minnesota vs. Penn State: O/U 43.5 Over +100 $50 46¢ $46 -$4 11-09 20:05
Spread: Notre Dame (-30.5) Notre Dame +100 $46 46¢ $46 +$0 11-10 16:05
Spread: Auburn (-2.5) Mississippi State +83 $38 46¢ $39 +$0 11-09 19:17
Kansas vs. West Virginia: O/U 65.5 Under +100 $45 33¢ $33 -$12 11-12 22:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$26 15¢ $-30 -$4 06-29 21:49
US recession by end of 2027? Yes +100 $32 28¢ $28 -$4 10-31 00:21
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,170 -$94 2¢ $-26 +$67 10-22 20:58
Spread: East Carolina (-11.5) East Carolina +100 $50 24¢ $24 -$26 11-13 15:43
UAB vs. Temple: O/U 49.5 Over +100 $47 22¢ $22 -$25 11-10 18:12
Oregon State vs. Boise State: O/U 65.5 Over +45 $23 46¢ $21 -$2 11-10 00:17
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $14 4¢ $15 +$2 11-03 18:51