Realized P&L (7d)
+$1.25K
Unrealized P&L
+$964
Hit rate
73.9%
Resolved (7d)
55
Trades (7d)
158
748 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$4.82K
$15.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$1.80K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-04 23:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 42 days
Categories
Politics
48% 56% +$1,064
Other
38% 45% -$1,495
Sports
14% 48% -$101
Crypto
0% 100% +$222
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
28 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party hold below 190 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +680 $238 100¢ $680 +$442 11-03 19:41
Will Republicans hold ≤46 Senate seats and ≤192 House seats after the 2026 midterms? Yes +600 $199 100¢ $597 +$398 11-03 23:10
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +440 $54 26¢ $116 +$62 07-10 16:31
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -100 -$86 86¢ $-86 $0 11-04 23:46
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +80 $49 79¢ $63 +$14 06-01 04:24
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,170 -$94 4¢ $-53 +$41 10-22 20:58
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-01 House seat? Yes +50 $24 99¢ $50 +$26 11-03 17:22
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 Under +100 $50 50¢ $50 $0 11-04 04:23
Jaguars vs. Ravens: O/U 40.5 Over +100 $47 46¢ $46 -$2 11-04 16:35
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$26 15¢ $-30 -$4 06-29 21:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +240 $27 6¢ $14 -$13 11-03 19:58
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $14 3¢ $14 +$0 11-03 18:51
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $4 1¢ $4 +$1 10-11 14:22