Realized P&L (90d)
+$1.36K
Unrealized P&L
+$500
Hit rate
56.6%
Resolved (90d)
147
Trades (90d)
416
792 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$13.0K
$17.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$3.82K
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 11-08 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Politics
46% 56% +$1,870
Other
41% 43% -$1,727
Sports
12% 48% -$140
Crypto
0% 100% +$222
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
32 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Mississippi Senate election? Yes +1,283 $1,147 98¢ $1.3K +$112 11-06 22:14
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green? No +990 $731 79¢ $781 +$49 11-08 04:40
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +500 $365 98¢ $489 +$124 11-07 07:15
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -250 -$218 89¢ $-224 -$6 11-07 13:45
Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +194 $76 99¢ $192 +$116 11-07 07:47
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? No -200 -$138 70¢ $-140 -$2 11-06 11:04
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +440 $54 26¢ $115 +$61 07-10 16:31
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 0%-3%? Yes +100 $24 94¢ $94 +$70 11-03 18:19
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Ohio gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? Yes +150 $25 61¢ $91 +$67 11-03 19:23
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections? No +528 $121 16¢ $82 -$39 11-08 10:25
Spread: Seahawks (-10.5) Cardinals +134 $62 56¢ $74 +$13 11-04 13:58
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? Yes +80 $49 66¢ $53 +$4 06-01 04:24
Bengals vs. Falcons: O/U 52.5 Under +100 $50 52¢ $52 +$2 11-04 04:23
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -1,170 -$94 4¢ $-43 +$50 10-22 20:58
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes -200 -$26 17¢ $-33 -$8 06-29 21:49
US recession by end of 2027? Yes +100 $32 32¢ $31 $0 10-31 00:21
Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF? No +100 $56 29¢ $29 -$27 11-07 08:25
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +400 $14 4¢ $16 +$2 11-03 18:51
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) National +100 $32 8¢ $8 -$24 11-06 21:41
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +300 $4 2¢ $6 +$2 10-11 14:22
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +240 $27 1¢ $3 -$24 11-03 19:58
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +100 $40 2¢ $2 -$38 11-06 23:57
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 0%-4%? Yes +20 $4 8¢ $2 -$2 10-25 11:39
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election by 4%-8%? Yes +20 $2 2¢ $0 -$1 10-26 01:50