Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
-$36
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,415
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$410
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-18 16:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
86% 33% +$2
Other
13%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
39 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -235 $-195 100¢ $-234 $-39 05-29 02:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +76 $63 99¢ $76 +$13 05-29 14:57
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -40 $-38 100¢ $-40 $-2 05-28 23:58
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +195 $55 16¢ $32 $-23 05-28 15:03
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +26 $11 58¢ $15 +$4 05-29 14:47
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +26 $14 41¢ $11 $-3 05-29 14:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes -235 $-29 $-2 +$28 05-29 02:53
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? Yes +458 $5 $0 $-5 06-05 19:16
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +76 $13 $0 $-12 05-29 14:57
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -40 $-2 $-0 +$2 05-28 23:58
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +0 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 20:12
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +0 $-2 $0 +$2 06-07 20:07