Realized P&L
+$2
Unrealized P&L
+$32
Hit rate
53.9%
Resolved
6
Trades
3,414
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$8
Open exposure
$468
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 06-07 20:07
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Politics
86% 33% +$2
Other
13%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -235 $-195 92¢ $-215 $-20 05-29 02:53
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +76 $63 94¢ $71 +$8 05-29 14:57
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +195 $55 29¢ $56 +$1 05-28 15:03
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No -40 $-38 98¢ $-39 $-1 05-28 23:58
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes -93 $-66 36¢ $-34 +$32 05-29 03:42
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +26 $11 62¢ $16 +$5 05-29 14:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes -235 $-29 $-15 +$14 05-29 02:53
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +26 $14 40¢ $10 $-4 05-29 14:47
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? Yes +76 $13 $6 $-6 05-29 14:57
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026? Yes +458 $5 $4 $-1 06-05 19:16
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes -40 $-2 $-1 +$1 05-28 23:58
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +0 $-2 $0 +$2 06-07 20:07
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +0 $0 $0 $-0 05-28 20:12