Realized P&L
+$187
Unrealized P&L
-$5
Hit rate
71.3%
Resolved
199
Trades
6,022
lifetime
Volume
$53.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$390
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-27 07:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
75% 54% +$184
Other
23% 44% +$50
Sports
1% 63% -$100
Crypto
1% 40% +$47
Tech
0% 50% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -157 -$115 84¢ $-133 -$18 10-20 22:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -102 -$92 90¢ $-92 -$1 10-20 22:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +105 $36 86¢ $90 +$54 10-20 22:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -36 -$30 96¢ $-34 -$4 05-29 05:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -118 $34 14¢ $-16 -$50 10-20 22:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $2 96¢ $5 +$2 10-19 16:06
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -102 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 10-20 20:44
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -79 -$3 5¢ $-4 $0 10-20 20:44
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -78 -$2 4¢ $-3 -$1 10-20 20:44
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -46 -$2 6¢ $-3 -$1 10-20 20:44
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes -60 -$10 4¢ $-3 +$7 05-21 05:38
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -36 -$8 6¢ $-2 +$6 05-29 05:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +5 $2 12¢ $1 -$2 10-19 16:08
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1 -$4 34¢ $0 +$4 10-24 18:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 05-27 00:10
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +1 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 05-27 01:59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +0 -$2 100¢ $0 +$2 10-21 21:18
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $1 32¢ $0 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 26¢ $0 $0 10-22 06:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 16¢ $0 $0 10-20 22:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +0 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 10-21 21:18