Realized P&L (30d)
+$128
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
77.1%
Resolved (30d)
49
Trades (30d)
279
6,109 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$4.09K
$54.3K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$394
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-30 23:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Politics
73% 55% +$188
Other
24% 50% +$112
Sports
1% 63% -$100
Crypto
1% 40% +$47
Tech
0% 50% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -157 -$115 84¢ $-131 -$16 10-20 22:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -102 -$92 92¢ $-94 -$3 10-20 22:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +105 $36 86¢ $90 +$54 10-20 22:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -36 -$30 94¢ $-34 -$4 05-29 05:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -118 $34 16¢ $-18 -$52 10-20 22:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 10-19 16:06
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes -60 -$10 8¢ $-5 +$5 05-21 05:38
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -102 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 10-20 20:44
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -79 -$3 4¢ $-3 $0 10-20 20:44
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -78 -$2 4¢ $-3 -$1 10-20 20:44
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -46 -$2 6¢ $-3 -$1 10-20 20:44
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -36 -$8 6¢ $-2 +$6 05-29 05:18
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +5 $2 11¢ $1 -$2 10-19 16:08
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1 -$4 28¢ $0 +$4 10-24 18:28
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 05-27 00:10
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +0 $13 50¢ $0 -$13 10-30 13:31
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +1 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 05-27 01:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +0 $16 100¢ $0 -$16 10-30 08:13
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 30¢ $0 $0 10-22 06:12
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $1 24¢ $0 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 20¢ $0 $0 10-20 22:00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? No +0 -$1 1¢ $0 +$1 10-21 21:18