Realized P&L (30d)
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
1.3%
Resolved (30d)
2
Trades (30d)
71
71 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$962
$962 lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$299
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-09 12:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
90% 50% +$0
Other
10%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? Yes +110 $73 73¢ $80 +$8 05-09 12:29
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -60 $-57 96¢ $-57 $-0 05-07 19:21
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? No -65 $-53 76¢ $-49 +$4 05-09 03:18
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026? Yes +100 $33 24¢ $24 $-9 05-09 12:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No -90 $-19 27¢ $-24 $-5 05-09 03:18
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes -21 $-20 96¢ $-20 $-0 05-07 11:03
Russian strike on Poland by June 30? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 +$0 05-09 10:39
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? No +15 $10 74¢ $11 +$1 05-06 17:58
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No -5 $-4 82¢ $-4 +$0 05-08 02:07
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31, 2026? Yes +15 $5 26¢ $4 $-1 05-06 17:58
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No -60 $-4 $-2 +$1 05-07 19:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes -21 $-1 $-1 $-0 05-07 11:03
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 17¢ $-1 $-0 05-08 02:07
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 05-09 10:39