Realized P&L (7d)
+$78
Unrealized P&L
-$43
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved (7d)
22
Trades (7d)
120
6,067 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$1.84K
$53.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$393
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 10-29 12:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Politics
74% 54% +$188
Other
24% 45% +$55
Sports
1% 63% -$100
Crypto
1% 40% +$47
Tech
0% 50% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 50% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
26 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No -157 -$115 84¢ $-133 -$18 10-20 22:02
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No -102 -$92 92¢ $-93 -$2 10-20 22:02
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +105 $36 86¢ $91 +$54 10-20 22:02
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -36 -$30 94¢ $-34 -$4 05-29 05:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -118 $34 14¢ $-16 -$50 10-20 22:02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +5 $2 100¢ $5 +$3 10-19 16:06
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes -102 -$1 4¢ $-4 -$3 10-20 20:44
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes -60 -$10 6¢ $-4 +$6 05-21 05:38
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? Yes +18 $26 16¢ $3 -$23 10-29 12:41
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -79 -$3 4¢ $-3 +$0 10-20 20:44
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -78 -$2 4¢ $-3 -$1 10-20 20:44
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? Yes -46 -$2 5¢ $-2 $0 10-20 20:44
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? Yes -36 -$8 6¢ $-2 +$6 05-29 05:18
Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? Yes +1 -$4 32¢ $0 +$4 10-24 18:28
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? No +5 $2 6¢ $0 -$2 10-19 16:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +0 $0 86¢ $0 +$0 05-27 00:10
Will exactly 1 Israeli legislative election occur before a government is formed? Yes +0 $13 46¢ $0 -$13 10-28 03:01
Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? Yes +1 -$1 4¢ $0 +$1 05-27 01:59
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +0 $1 28¢ $0 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $1 28¢ $0 -$1 10-21 11:29
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 29¢ $0 $0 10-22 06:12
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +0 $0 18¢ $0 $0 10-20 22:00