Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$13.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$358

Hit rate

77.3%

Resolved

Trades

704

lifetime

Volume

$287.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$408

Open exposure

$18.3K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 10-30 03:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

76% 71% +$12,905

Other

22% 100% +$770

Crypto

2% 100% +$22

Sports

0% 33% -$315

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 242 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	No	+10,289	$9,937	98¢	$10.1K	+$171	10-26 17:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	+3,675	$3,545	97¢	$3.6K	+$17	10-24 13:00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	+2,500	$2,340	97¢	$2.4K	+$84	10-25 18:48
Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	+2,355	$1,038	55¢	$1.3K	+$246	10-28 16:26
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?	Yes	+491	$467	98¢	$482	+$16	10-26 17:49
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+4,143	$289	4¢	$186	-$102	10-27 20:11
Will the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	+2,823	$192	5¢	$140	-$52	10-25 19:20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	+2,500	$98	3¢	$76	-$21	10-25 18:48

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	54	$41.7K	26,000	26,000	+0	Yes	-$2,352	10-30 03:59
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	55	$29.7K	15,000	15,000	+0	No	+$227	10-28 09:06
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	70	$27.1K	19,031	19,031	+0	open	—	10-28 16:27
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	105	$21.1K	30,042	4,000	+26,042	Yes	+$8,500	10-25 23:26
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	103	$20.9K	28,210	1,003	+27,207	No	+$7,004	10-25 23:28
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	24	$17.0K	9,781	8,781	+1,000	No	+$132	10-28 04:41
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	14	$12.0K	10,000	5,000	+5,000	open	—	10-25 18:48
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?	4	$9.9K	10,289	0	+10,289	open	—	10-26 17:54
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	7	$6.1K	5,000	1,325	+3,675	open	—	10-24 13:00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	7	$5.6K	3,000	3,000	+0	No	+$421	10-28 18:17
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	2	$5.5K	5,685	0	+5,685	No	+$142	08-06 20:51
Trump out as President by June 30?	4	$5.5K	5,550	0	+5,550	No	+$61	06-04 18:58
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$5.5K	5,491	0	+5,491	No	+$22	06-03 02:51
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	1	$5.4K	5,470	0	+5,470	No	+$55	05-15 16:08
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5.4K	5,415	0	+5,415	No	+$11	05-04 18:34
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$5.3K	5,405	0	+5,405	No	+$81	04-16 06:30
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$5.3K	5,324	0	+5,324	Yes	+$11	04-05 18:18
netanyahu out by march 31 854	1	$5.1K	5,314	0	+5,314	No	+$202	03-16 15:22
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	1	$5.1K	5,112	0	+5,112	Yes	+$20	03-11 01:07
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	2	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$20	10-19 03:12
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	1	$5.0K	5,036	0	+5,036	No	+$86	01-13 17:36
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$55	02-01 18:02
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	2	$4.9K	4,951	0	+4,951	No	+$15	01-05 21:20
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?	3	$4.7K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	10-20 04:05
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	21	$4.6K	4,501	1,000	+3,501	Yes	-$182	10-29 17:32
Will voter turnout be 74% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	8	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	10-27 20:55
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	19	$2.3K	1,449	1,449	+0	open	—	10-28 17:04
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	33	$1.6K	8,404	0	+8,404	open	—	10-29 17:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	4	$1.6K	1,201	1,201	+0	open	—	10-28 13:12
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	6	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-28 17:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 03:59:21	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	6,485	99¢	$6,440	0x15255a…
10-30 02:19:37	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	385	99¢	$382	0xb1fc20…
10-30 01:37:22	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x4f36c2…
10-30 01:32:19	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	126	99¢	$125	0x93ea56…
10-29 17:52:43	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	248	93¢	$231	0xb56fd6…
10-29 17:52:10	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,752	93¢	$1,629	0xa02089…
10-29 17:43:56	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x821d0a…
10-29 17:32:07	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xa1aa7a…
10-29 17:32:05	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,491	99¢	$2,454	0xb53ac5…
10-29 17:03:05	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	22	19¢	$4	0x3bc998…
10-29 17:03:05	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	75	19¢	$14	0x0ee857…
10-29 16:37:29	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	153	19¢	$29	0x95bdee…
10-29 15:34:56	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x650a74…
10-29 12:27:11	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xec9160…
10-29 12:27:11	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0xaf4f7b…
10-29 12:25:58	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd6a7d3…
10-29 12:25:58	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	43	12¢	$5	0x5125cb…
10-29 09:03:28	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	124	99¢	$123	0x9704ef…
10-29 09:02:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,876	99¢	$4,827	0x8fa233…
10-29 08:36:46	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	88	20¢	$18	0x435b32…
10-29 06:37:35	Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	21	20¢	$4	0xd933c3…
10-29 06:37:35	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$2	0x6a9996…
10-29 06:37:35	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x42d9a7…
10-29 06:37:35	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1c13d3…
10-29 01:19:02	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	257	12¢	$31	0xb25482…
10-29 01:18:59	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x9f4b65…
10-29 01:18:59	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	22	12¢	$3	0x8235ab…
10-28 23:54:32	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	9,500	100¢	$9,471	0x08f94d…
10-28 18:17:46	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,267	100¢	$1,263	0xea336e…
10-28 17:27:38	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	856	73¢	$625	0xb951d9…
10-28 17:08:17	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	752	66¢	$496	0xef63a8…
10-28 17:04:37	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	73¢	$730	0x405d7f…
10-28 16:53:01	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	144	73¢	$105	0x480d1f…
10-28 16:29:20	Will La Bola Negra win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	300	15¢	$44	0x7ef854…
10-28 16:27:49	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	31	57¢	$18	0x9df8d9…
10-28 16:26:40	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	66¢	$20	0xb26037…
10-28 16:26:13	Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Yes	BUY	500	49¢	$245	0xf54636…
10-28 16:24:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	66¢	$90	0xf50b08…
10-28 16:24:44	Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	81	66¢	$53	0x44bbc7…
10-28 13:12:29	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	No	SELL	1,201	65¢	$781	0x38f408…
10-28 12:38:10	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,500	97¢	$2,418	0xe44fe3…
10-28 10:44:14	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x33f227…
10-28 10:40:25	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xa744de…
10-28 10:31:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,687	100¢	$1,681	0xd3c6ac…
10-28 09:06:50	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	899	100¢	$895	0xaa5c69…
10-28 08:52:37	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	4,000	100¢	$3,984	0xca3c6e…
10-28 08:46:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xc7a352…
10-28 08:46:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0x5bef1b…
10-28 08:46:46	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8b0d9e…
10-28 08:45:10	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd6cd8f…
10-28 08:45:10	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x1f09bc…
10-28 08:43:56	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xf2f0be…
10-28 08:43:56	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	278	100¢	$277	0x9b330a…
10-28 08:43:56	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$548	0x62eae8…
10-28 08:43:56	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	550	100¢	$548	0x234028…
10-28 08:43:56	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0x16b2b3…
10-28 08:43:28	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	514	100¢	$512	0x6a2bb7…
10-28 08:03:43	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x7bbbee…
10-28 08:03:41	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x89871d…
10-28 08:03:41	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	80	100¢	$80	0x421d72…
10-28 07:48:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	853	100¢	$850	0x136c0d…
10-28 07:47:10	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x88573f…
10-28 07:41:31	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xd95451…
10-28 07:41:31	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x160b9c…
10-28 07:41:29	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xd3c7d0…
10-28 07:41:29	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x152488…
10-28 07:38:52	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xb69a36…
10-28 07:38:52	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0xa6f215…
10-28 07:38:52	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x1c282c…
10-28 07:38:28	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x8e24b0…
10-28 07:38:28	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	400	100¢	$398	0x7ff942…
10-28 07:38:26	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe0ba4f…
10-28 07:38:26	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0xcddf07…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	900	100¢	$896	0xd7c081…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	585	100¢	$583	0xb206e6…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0xa37800…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	1,000	100¢	$996	0xa13ce5…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	180	100¢	$179	0x9cda73…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	648	100¢	$645	0x479230…
10-28 07:38:01	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0x222676…
10-28 07:37:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xe2c023…
10-28 07:37:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8857cc…
10-28 07:37:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1e6bfb…
10-28 07:37:47	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x11dfcf…
10-28 07:37:26	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x1e1791…
10-28 07:37:22	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xcb3fa9…
10-28 07:37:22	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xc158e1…
10-28 07:37:20	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	178	100¢	$177	0x82292f…
10-28 07:36:20	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	996	100¢	$992	0xf74699…
10-28 07:36:20	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	397	100¢	$395	0x35509c…
10-28 07:36:20	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x108bb3…
10-28 06:06:19	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0x5a9453…
10-28 04:41:26	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$945	0x91575a…
10-28 04:27:08	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	349	94¢	$328	0x11179b…
10-28 04:23:10	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x7943f2…
10-28 04:19:20	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	55	94¢	$51	0x604da5…
10-28 04:17:01	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x7271e0…
10-28 00:14:06	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	55	68¢	$37	0x14b4a6…
10-27 23:49:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,910	0x097076…
10-27 23:33:05	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	2,500	57¢	$1,425	0x20bdd6…