Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$184
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,971
lifetime
Volume
$380.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$3.09K
12 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-09 18:42
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
54%
Crypto
28%
Other
17%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
29 active days in 12wk • peak 660 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +1,780 $911 52¢ $935 +$23 06-10 00:53
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No -473 $-462 98¢ $-465 $-4 06-10 01:03
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -526 $-425 82¢ $-434 $-9 06-09 23:11
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? Yes -1,705 $-470 20¢ $-332 +$137 06-09 22:20
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes +297 $248 94¢ $278 +$30 06-09 15:15
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -253 $-248 99¢ $-251 $-3 06-08 06:08
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -232 $-196 88¢ $-203 $-7 06-05 05:48
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -120 $-106 86¢ $-104 +$2 06-07 10:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -321 $-51 10¢ $-31 +$21 06-01 21:10
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +27 $32 98¢ $27 $-5 06-08 18:10
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +26 $24 95¢ $24 $-0 06-03 23:01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes +53 $10 18¢ $10 $-0 06-09 16:28