Realized P&L
-$9.11K
Unrealized P&L
+$201
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
64
Trades
14,823
lifetime
Volume
$824.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$56
Open exposure
$1.93K
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-13
last 06-15 18:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 27 days
Categories
Politics
51%
54%
-$9,003
Other
19%
56%
-$392
Crypto
18%
80%
+$732
Sports
12%
32%
-$450
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-15).
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | No | +973 | $636 | 96¢ | $934 | +$297 | 06-14 22:57 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | -654 | -$516 | 82¢ | $-533 | -$17 | 06-15 18:58 | |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | -343 | -$288 | 94¢ | $-324 | -$35 | 06-11 03:13 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | -120 | -$106 | 96¢ | $-115 | -$9 | 06-13 22:32 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +27 | $25 | 98¢ | $26 | +$1 | 06-03 23:01 | |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | +0 | $36 | 86¢ | $0 | -$36 | 06-12 20:13 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | 1,305 | $65.8K | 33,887 | 33,751 | +136 | No | +$3 | 06-15 06:04 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 651 | $56.9K | 40,235 | 40,165 | +70 | No | +$42 | 06-03 23:18 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 617 | $48.6K | 30,762 | 31,416 | -654 | open | — | 06-15 18:58 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | 1,512 | $48.2K | 72,585 | 73,100 | -516 | Yes | -$461 | 06-14 20:24 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | 623 | $36.9K | 99,204 | 97,573 | +1,631 | No | -$1,259 | 05-29 21:58 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | 411 | $35.1K | 18,495 | 17,585 | +910 | No | +$19 | 05-31 13:40 |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 769 | $35.0K | 66,123 | 66,123 | +0 | No | -$107 | 06-13 06:56 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 478 | $32.9K | 20,581 | 20,581 | +0 | Yes | +$23 | 06-15 18:58 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | 979 | $31.9K | 28,768 | 26,323 | +2,445 | Yes | +$762 | 06-01 11:31 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | 301 | $30.7K | 16,180 | 16,180 | +0 | No | +$47 | 06-14 23:12 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129 | 811 | $30.4K | 147,612 | 155,064 | -7,453 | Yes | -$6,717 | 06-14 22:55 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | 271 | $22.4K | 12,385 | 12,385 | +0 | No | +$13 | 06-13 18:41 |
| Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? | 189 | $21.2K | 12,478 | 12,518 | -40 | No | +$86 | 05-21 03:13 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | 261 | $20.1K | 11,737 | 12,098 | -361 | Yes | -$94 | 06-01 11:56 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026 | 735 | $16.8K | 182,146 | 177,781 | +4,365 | No | -$601 | 06-07 19:12 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | 185 | $15.4K | 8,824 | 9,167 | -343 | open | — | 06-11 03:13 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | 226 | $15.3K | 54,372 | 15,002 | +39,370 | No | -$572 | 05-31 02:48 |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | 652 | $14.9K | 23,286 | 22,989 | +297 | Yes | +$213 | 06-14 15:32 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | 193 | $14.5K | 8,644 | 7,580 | +1,064 | No | +$96 | 06-01 12:35 |
| Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | 217 | $13.7K | 7,725 | 7,725 | +0 | Yes | +$136 | 05-27 00:01 |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | 265 | $13.2K | 6,909 | 6,769 | +140 | No | -$11 | 06-08 18:10 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? | 82 | $13.0K | 6,860 | 6,373 | +487 | No | +$5 | 05-21 17:40 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 308 | $12.8K | 9,243 | 9,243 | +0 | open | — | 06-12 20:13 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | 230 | $12.7K | 13,499 | 13,446 | +53 | Yes | -$13 | 06-14 22:38 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | 102 | $12.3K | 6,564 | 6,164 | +400 | No | +$20 | 05-30 20:05 |
| Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? | 289 | $12.2K | 14,213 | 13,240 | +973 | open | — | 06-14 22:57 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | 109 | $11.8K | 5,795 | 6,136 | -341 | No | -$3 | 05-24 14:33 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | 115 | $10.6K | 6,266 | 5,431 | +835 | No | +$90 | 06-01 04:55 |
| Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? | 67 | $10.3K | 5,356 | 5,018 | +337 | No | +$1 | 05-21 17:41 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | 92 | $9.7K | 4,747 | 4,942 | -196 | Yes | +$0 | 05-30 02:18 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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