Unruly-Button — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.8%

Resolved

Trades

2,021

lifetime

Volume

$7.94K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 07-26 04:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

59% 50% $-44

Politics

39% 100% +$12

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	24	$393	500	500	+0	open	—	06-27 22:27
italy nordio reform referendum passes	17	$247	905	905	+0	open	—	03-24 05:56
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	15	$185	1,669	369	+1,300	open	—	05-26 00:30
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	5	$148	197	200	-3	open	—	06-15 10:17
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	3	$146	100	100	+0	open	—	03-19 15:44
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	17	$130	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	03-01 19:51
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	5	$114	134	134	+0	Yes	+$12	05-08 18:02
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?	4	$103	70	70	+0	open	—	05-01 18:38
will us gdp growth in q4 2025 be between 1pt0 and 1pt5	8	$102	142	142	+0	open	—	02-20 13:52
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?	10	$99	170	111	+59	open	—	04-29 21:27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	6	$94	80	80	+0	open	—	05-22 04:10
elon musk of tweets february 10 february 17 440 459	17	$93	1,250	1,250	+0	open	—	02-15 11:23
military action against iran ends by march 31 2026	12	$92	200	200	+0	open	—	03-23 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$89	100	100	+0	open	—	06-11 19:34
israel strikes iran by january 16 2026 418	2	$89	125	125	+0	open	—	01-13 19:35
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$83	230	230	+0	open	—	03-23 15:12
will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	2	$81	50	50	+0	open	—	07-07 15:56
will italy join the board of peace	4	$75	40	40	+0	open	—	02-06 17:52
will france uk or germany strike iran by january 31	4	$74	714	714	+0	open	—	01-14 20:33
Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?	9	$73	200	187	+13	open	—	04-29 06:03
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 65 89	3	$72	200	200	+0	open	—	02-14 07:07
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	2	$71	100	100	+0	open	—	04-12 15:25
will russia join the board of peace	2	$68	40	40	+0	open	—	02-07 03:12
will trump talk to vladimir putin in january	2	$67	60	60	+0	open	—	01-30 10:02
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$66	188	188	+0	open	—	01-18 22:34
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	2	$65	30	40	-10	open	—	06-20 03:18
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	2	$65	46	46	+0	open	—	01-17 14:02
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?	4	$65	100	100	+0	open	—	04-30 06:37
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	2	$64	80	80	+0	open	—	04-07 17:30
will player 191 win beast games season 2 619	19	$63	1,892	892	+1,000	open	—	02-22 20:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-26 04:55:04	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	43	11¢	$5	0x46235d…
07-24 09:01:52	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	58	14¢	$8	0x11dbf6…
07-24 08:31:04	will wti reach 105 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	69	14¢	$10	0x1262c4…
07-22 19:11:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc8c9b7…
07-20 20:21:37	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x68661e…
07-20 16:01:34	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x9521d0…
07-20 15:55:42	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	500	1¢	$4	0xa8b10a…
07-18 14:25:54	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xcaa10f…
07-16 13:45:22	bab el mandeb strait effectively closed by august 31	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xaa65e5…
07-09 16:32:46	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0xde7b74…
07-09 11:13:58	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xa3183f…
07-08 18:42:35	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x7ff602…
07-08 18:30:31	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x8e7f87…
07-08 18:21:07	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x4f352a…
07-08 10:06:20	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	70	35¢	$25	0x91a9c3…
07-08 09:59:07	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0xad14e4…
07-08 09:59:05	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	0	35¢	$0	0x6da883…
07-07 15:56:52	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	SELL	50	83¢	$42	0xfa8ee1…
07-07 07:05:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	50	79¢	$40	0x7bd467…
07-04 05:39:32	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0x38792c…
07-03 14:05:50	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0xd0f106…
07-03 13:52:20	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xe17f46…
07-03 09:08:34	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x73ed62…
07-03 04:53:58	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0x245a56…
07-02 06:51:35	Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?	Yes	SELL	95	2¢	$2	0x3e7812…
06-29 08:57:50	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x4aa84c…
06-27 22:27:28	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	2	25¢	$1	0x1fb2b3…
06-26 22:48:01	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd6861f…
06-26 21:44:14	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x6e1a69…
06-26 04:56:16	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xca4528…
06-25 20:58:10	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	23	25¢	$6	0xc1a43a…
06-25 01:58:49	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x91cdde…
06-25 01:05:07	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	0	25¢	$0	0x4f5d89…
06-25 00:30:19	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	9	55¢	$5	0xe3fac6…
06-25 00:30:02	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0xa589a1…
06-25 00:28:05	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	22	25¢	$5	0x3fef71…
06-24 09:14:26	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	80	50¢	$40	0xbc81a7…
06-24 09:13:50	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0xba2432…
06-23 01:54:26	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	146	25¢	$36	0xc6497f…
06-22 12:04:11	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb04a81…
06-21 21:02:17	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	3¢	$29	0xfb3545…
06-21 15:11:49	Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	2¢	$17	0xeba940…
06-21 04:49:10	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	82	55¢	$45	0xb31e90…
06-20 22:48:02	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	18	55¢	$10	0x300e4e…
06-20 14:45:32	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	BUY	150	26¢	$39	0xea9cef…
06-20 11:21:13	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	36	55¢	$20	0xf34058…
06-20 07:38:17	will the republic of the congo have an ebola case in 2026	Yes	SELL	46	45¢	$21	0x067e10…
06-20 03:18:11	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	SELL	40	96¢	$38	0x764e9f…
06-19 07:40:44	Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027?	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0x35662f…
06-16 02:31:42	Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by June 30?	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xffc4cb…
06-16 00:32:55	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	26	9¢	$2	0x21d6c7…
06-15 21:20:33	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?	Yes	SELL	171	3¢	$5	0xc56a34…
06-15 10:17:30	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	100	45¢	$45	0xe2d54b…
06-15 06:15:37	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x4a9f01…
06-14 22:16:28	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x0bed23…
06-14 14:59:12	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0xf00d70…
06-14 11:48:42	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	Yes	BUY	97	0¢	$0	0x6410a6…
06-14 11:06:37	Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?	No	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x361639…
06-14 10:34:31	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	86	45¢	$39	0x08930f…
06-14 10:27:10	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	Yes	SELL	14	45¢	$6	0x94c104…
06-13 17:11:33	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	BUY	30	80¢	$24	0xa367f0…
06-13 14:43:45	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	SELL	30	94¢	$28	0x5afb8d…
06-13 13:54:09	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0xaa0804…
06-13 13:13:18	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x6051e6…
06-13 12:20:52	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt45t by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0x5d7d23…
06-13 10:13:30	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x7788af…
06-13 08:01:15	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0xcf31bd…
06-13 07:58:36	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x1118fa…
06-12 08:49:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	50	26¢	$13	0x59d719…
06-12 08:11:36	will wti crude oil wti hit low 75 in june 987	No	BUY	40	65¢	$26	0xa282c7…
06-11 19:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0x1a7376…
06-11 19:23:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x5f43ea…
06-08 07:18:03	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x787552…
06-07 11:24:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	32	30¢	$9	0x3ce74f…
06-07 11:23:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	68	30¢	$21	0x26bc0c…
06-04 12:23:39	will wti dip to 70 in june 2026 532 385 742	No	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0x628365…
06-02 02:23:33	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in June?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x5360be…
05-31 17:03:03	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	64	30¢	$19	0xb2936e…
05-31 14:02:30	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	BUY	36	30¢	$11	0x16f66e…
05-31 11:09:41	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?	Yes	BUY	97	29¢	$28	0x5f2f44…
05-30 10:17:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?	No	BUY	20	80¢	$16	0x97b219…
05-30 06:46:58	Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	60¢	$57	0x3875f4…
05-29 21:24:00	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x2cf34c…
05-27 22:04:30	Ebola pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	400	7¢	$28	0xcac788…
05-27 22:04:25	New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xf5c846…
05-26 18:57:10	Nothing Ever Happens: May	Nothing	BUY	15	70¢	$11	0x9623e4…
05-26 00:30:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$5	0x8ab645…
05-25 16:46:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xa21479…
05-24 20:20:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	100	15¢	$15	0xaba26d…
05-24 11:03:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x541c03…
05-24 08:07:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	91	10¢	$9	0xf88800…
05-24 08:03:44	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xce15e7…
05-24 06:58:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	158	15¢	$24	0x483b23…
05-24 06:46:01	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	52	15¢	$8	0x4587e8…
05-24 05:40:42	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x70fe13…
05-24 05:40:18	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	9	10¢	$1	0xc54f7a…
05-24 05:37:02	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	120	8¢	$10	0x09822a…
05-23 11:48:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	30	69¢	$21	0xd117c6…
05-23 06:42:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x419ea4…
05-23 06:40:43	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x636db6…