Realized P&L
-$3
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
128
lifetime
Volume
$685
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$121
16 positions
First seen
2026-01-03
last 06-09 15:58
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
39%
Politics
31% 0% $-0
Sports
21% 0% $-3
Crypto
7%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No +59 $51 86¢ $51 +$0 06-06 04:13
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -25 $-10 44¢ $-11 $-1 06-01 03:02
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes -10 $-10 98¢ $-10 $-0 06-09 15:18
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? No -13 $-8 74¢ $-10 $-2 05-31 22:52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes +56 $10 15¢ $8 $-2 05-27 23:15
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No -10 $-6 60¢ $-6 $-0 06-01 00:18
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -10 $-6 56¢ $-6 +$0 06-01 00:14
OpenAI IPO before 2027? No -23 $-5 23¢ $-5 +$0 06-01 03:03
Discord IPO before 2027? No -10 $-4 41¢ $-4 $-0 05-31 23:44
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No -14 $-3 26¢ $-4 $-0 06-01 03:29
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No -3 $-2 55¢ $-2 $-0 05-29 03:23
Will Donald Trump visit Turkey in 2026? No -23 $-4 $-2 +$2 05-31 20:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? Yes +21 $4 $1 $-2 05-27 21:02
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -13 $-3 10¢ $-1 +$2 05-31 23:15
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -2 $-1 44¢ $-1 +$0 05-31 20:39
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +5 $1 $0 $-1 05-28 23:28