Well-Informed-Capon 0x793ed2…3643bf
new
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Realized P&L (90d)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$2
Hit rate
—
Resolved (90d)
0
Trades (90d)
48
48 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$943
$943 lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$808
11 positions
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 16:17
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
55% — —
Sports
34% — —
Politics
12% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May? No -333 $-326 99¢ $-328 $-2 05-05 10:11
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -210 $-206 98¢ $-206 $-0 05-05 12:41
Trump out as President by May 31? No -88 $-87 99¢ $-87 $-0 05-05 14:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? No -42 $-41 97¢ $-41 +$0 05-05 01:34
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -39 $-38 99¢ $-38 +$0 05-05 04:44
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? No -28 $-27 98¢ $-27 $-0 05-05 14:00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? No +25 $25 99¢ $25 $-0 05-05 13:15
Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -24 $-24 99¢ $-24 +$0 05-05 12:02
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? No -18 $-18 99¢ $-18 $-0 05-05 16:17
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? No +8 $8 98¢ $8 $-0 05-05 09:50
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No -5 $-5 99¢ $-5 +$0 05-05 05:30