Uneven-Modernity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$58

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 06-25 11:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

43% 0% $-1

Other

34% — —

Tech

15% — —

Sports

4% 0% $-1

Crypto

2% — —

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes		+48	$1	1¢	$1	$-0	06-05 23:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes		-8	$-0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-18 07:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	3	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	05-11 22:21
Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	05-14 12:49
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	10	10	+0	open	—	05-26 14:05
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	2	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	06-20 14:22
Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	4	$4	12	12	+0	open	—	05-16 22:56
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$3	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 22:08
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	2	$3	11	0	+11	open	—	06-02 12:23
Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	05-16 22:12
will trump say migrant crime this week	1	$2	0	10	-10	open	—	06-05 18:55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	05-24 00:13
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 05:57
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2	25	25	+0	open	—	05-09 19:55
Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$2	3	3	+0	open	—	05-14 15:50
cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	1	$2	7	0	+7	open	—	06-20 15:08
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	06-25 11:39
will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	06-07 21:36
Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$1	5	5	+0	open	—	05-16 22:56
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	1	$1	8	0	+8	Yes	$-1	05-07 15:19
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-06 20:33
will mrbeast say fortnite during his next gaming youtube video 20260615190245864	1	$1	6	0	+6	open	—	06-19 23:15
Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$1	2	0	+2	No	$-1	05-06 20:31
Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	1	$1	8	0	+8	open	—	05-13 21:46
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	1	$1	48	0	+48	open	—	06-05 23:57
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	1	$0	0	8	-8	open	—	06-18 07:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-25 11:39:23	Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	4	32¢	$1	0x935579…
06-20 15:08:47	cs2 aur1 furia 2026 06 20	Aurora Gaming	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x5bd8dd…
06-20 14:22:56	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	SELL	4	53¢	$2	0x2e9fe1…
06-19 23:17:19	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xa92996…
06-19 23:15:10	will mrbeast say fortnite during his next gaming youtube video 20260615190245864	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x83acbe…
06-18 07:34:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0xdf10bb…
06-07 21:36:51	will anthropic ipo by september 15 2026 415	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x03bd46…
06-05 23:57:07	Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x2c4720…
06-05 18:55:51	will trump say migrant crime this week	Yes	SELL	10	23¢	$2	0x475b11…
06-02 12:23:38	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	MIBR	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x12f241…
06-02 12:00:42	Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	THUNDER dOWNUNDER	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x36ed97…
05-26 14:05:21	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xd5d5bd…
05-24 00:13:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0xc15473…
05-17 22:08:09	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc1d4fb…
05-16 22:56:29	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x90ddf0…
05-16 22:56:19	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x7368dc…
05-16 22:21:50	Will Israel be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x62821c…
05-16 22:15:32	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x254073…
05-16 22:12:28	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x69be68…
05-16 22:10:59	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x5ec50c…
05-16 22:08:41	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	28¢	$2	0xa06e83…
05-16 21:08:57	Will Norway be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x407da5…
05-15 13:09:26	Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x460006…
05-15 13:08:23	Will Sweden be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x95ae74…
05-15 05:57:23	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x83e4f4…
05-14 23:06:12	Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa6957f…
05-14 15:50:02	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	3	34¢	$1	0x892547…
05-14 12:49:07	Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x829b23…
05-13 21:50:21	Will Trump say "World War II" during Chinese State Banquet?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x119aaa…
05-13 21:46:12	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x7a9fe6…
05-11 22:37:11	Will Ukraine be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x39e047…
05-11 22:29:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x233b27…
05-11 22:21:52	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x582c39…
05-09 20:04:33	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9f81d3…
05-09 19:55:32	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x6446e6…
05-09 19:53:45	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	25	5¢	$1	0x1bb960…
05-07 15:19:36	Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x5e3750…
05-07 15:19:06	Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x4be4cf…
05-06 20:33:04	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x187b50…
05-06 20:31:49	Will Trump say "World Cup" during events with Brazilian president?	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x713cd5…