(anonymous) 0x7e7c36…54fa1d Create alert
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Realized P&L (24h)
-$7
Unrealized P&L
+$415
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
10
Trades (24h)
0
1,215 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$27.0K lifetime
Avg / trade
$22
Open exposure
$4.52K
30 positions
First seen
2026-10-18
last 10-25 02:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
48% 10% -$29
Other
34% 12% -$39
Tech
9% 0% -$1
Sports
8% 0% -$11
Crypto
1% — —
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$4
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 559 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +400 $340 94¢ $374 +$34 10-24 20:26
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028? No +432 $365 84¢ $360 -$4 10-24 20:50
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? No +400 $324 80¢ $322 -$2 10-24 21:00
Will Brock Purdy win the 2026 NFL MVP? No +250 $190 85¢ $214 +$24 10-18 17:27
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Israeli Minister of Finance? No +250 $220 85¢ $212 -$8 10-19 11:52
Anthropic IPO before 2027? Yes +200 $156 98¢ $195 +$39 10-24 18:05
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +200 $170 97¢ $194 +$24 10-24 16:12
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Yes +200 $130 95¢ $190 +$60 10-24 19:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +205 $166 92¢ $190 +$24 10-24 18:59
Will Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? No +250 $200 76¢ $189 -$11 10-18 20:05
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? No +200 $176 92¢ $183 +$7 10-25 02:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +200 $176 92¢ $183 +$7 10-24 19:01
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? No +190 $166 96¢ $182 +$16 10-25 02:43
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $172 88¢ $175 +$3 10-24 16:24
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? No +200 $85 58¢ $116 +$31 10-25 01:36
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? No +149 $102 70¢ $104 +$2 10-18 21:56
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by November 30, 2026? No +100 $77 94¢ $94 +$17 10-19 08:31
Will Anthropic be the third-best AI lab at the end of December 2026? No +100 $90 88¢ $88 -$2 10-19 11:24
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? No +100 $63 87¢ $87 +$24 10-18 21:04
Will Ivar Stenberg win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? No +100 $82 87¢ $87 +$5 10-19 12:27
Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +200 $118 42¢ $84 -$34 10-24 17:21
Will the median home value in Miami be between $809,000 and $830,000 on December 31? No +100 $72 82¢ $82 +$10 10-19 10:27
Will the Atlanta Falcons make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? No +100 $67 81¢ $81 +$14 10-18 17:25
Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +100 $50 80¢ $80 +$30 10-18 16:49
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? Yes +82 $60 98¢ $80 +$20 10-24 21:07
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? No +90 $70 87¢ $78 +$8 10-19 09:17
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? Yes +400 $76 20¢ $78 +$2 10-24 20:54
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1530 by June 30, 2027? No +100 $74 74¢ $74 +$0 10-18 17:05
Will Brighton finish in the top 5 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? Yes +100 $56 74¢ $74 +$18 10-18 20:37
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NJ-12 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +76 $17 97¢ $74 +$56 10-19 11:19