Blind-Being — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.9%

Resolved

Trades

418

lifetime

Volume

$3.31K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-22

last 05-25 21:35

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

53% 75% $-2

Other

37% 100% +$1

Pop-Culture

6% — —

Crypto

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	9	$336	314	105	+209	open	—	05-25 21:35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	15	$249	344	95	+248	open	—	03-08 23:29
Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	6	$187	210	0	+210	open	—	05-15 02:06
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	2	$168	191	0	+191	open	—	05-16 13:37
will google have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 941	2	$161	188	0	+188	open	—	03-10 02:26
will trump say sleepy joe this week march 15	4	$131	95	95	+0	open	—	03-11 17:32
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	6	$115	135	0	+135	open	—	04-22 20:31
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$103	59	59	+0	open	—	05-14 20:56
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 21:41
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	8	$97	80	80	+0	open	—	03-31 10:35
will trump say kharg or island during address to the nation	4	$73	100	0	+100	open	—	04-01 16:42
Will Trump's remarks not air?	1	$62	70	0	+70	open	—	05-13 17:16
Will the Virginia constitutional amendment referendum pass by less than 3%?	3	$58	116	26	+90	open	—	04-24 12:35
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	5	$52	36	21	+15	open	—	04-05 14:57
will timothe chalamet win best actor at the 98th academy awards	5	$49	54	40	+14	open	—	03-12 21:46
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in April?	7	$47	135	15	+120	open	—	04-06 22:38
Will Trump talk to Maria Corina Machado in April?	3	$46	65	0	+65	open	—	04-01 15:32
Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	1	$45	47	0	+47	open	—	04-02 14:35
Will Lori Chavez-DeRemer be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	3	$41	36	36	+0	open	—	03-24 12:16
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	1	$40	49	0	+49	open	—	05-19 17:03
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	3	$39	61	44	+17	open	—	05-19 18:11
will trump say crypto or bitcoin during tech signing event on wednesday	1	$37	45	0	+45	open	—	03-04 19:39
will melissa conyears ervin be the democratic nominee for il 07 576	2	$32	47	0	+47	open	—	03-17 17:52
will donna miller be the democratic nominee for il 02 628	2	$31	22	22	+0	open	—	03-17 06:34
trump announces attorney general pick by april 17 2026	1	$30	40	0	+40	open	—	04-06 22:16
will trump say hormuz during address to the nation	2	$29	120	0	+120	open	—	04-01 19:16
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$29	49	0	+49	open	—	04-04 03:56
Will Tulsi Gabbard be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?	2	$26	52	0	+52	open	—	04-24 20:35
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	3	$20	16	5	+11	open	—	05-18 02:30
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in April?	5	$20	50	0	+50	open	—	04-06 17:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 21:35:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x6deca7…
05-20 21:20:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x136c17…
05-20 16:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	200	94¢	$187	0x13434d…
05-20 16:29:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x742452…
05-19 20:56:05	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9f90c6…
05-19 18:11:45	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	SELL	44	20¢	$9	0x03e1c0…
05-19 17:03:58	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $105 on May 19?	No	BUY	49	80¢	$40	0x5b72c5…
05-18 22:04:27	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x7a6f84…
05-18 22:02:06	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	1¢	$0	0x374751…
05-18 21:53:54	Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?	No	BUY	44	47¢	$21	0x3818db…
05-18 02:30:56	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x19acfc…
05-17 21:15:54	Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x241538…
05-17 21:15:49	Will Trump post "ICE" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0655cb…
05-17 21:15:12	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x7ad8c9…
05-17 21:15:05	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3ce265…
05-17 21:14:53	Will Trump say "Hantavirus" this week?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x007616…
05-17 21:14:44	Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x66b619…
05-17 21:14:13	Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xe8c29e…
05-17 21:14:08	Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x3b2c65…
05-17 21:14:04	Will Trump say "Uncle" or "Unc" this week?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0043f4…
05-17 21:13:47	Will Trump say "Traitor" this week?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x269cd1…
05-17 21:13:01	Will Trump say "Rare earth" or "Mineral" this week?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x505c15…
05-17 18:24:19	Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x54e3f9…
05-17 15:20:15	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x93f0c1…
05-17 15:19:40	Will Trump post "Ceasefire" or "Cease-fire" or "Cease fire" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0xdababa…
05-17 15:19:21	Will Trump post "Football" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x5e7b96…
05-17 15:03:34	Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0xff1aee…
05-17 08:50:35	Starmer out by May 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x2d7812…
05-16 18:11:33	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0x4e953f…
05-16 17:55:26	Will Italy be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbeb2d8…
05-16 13:37:06	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb3a675…
05-16 13:35:10	Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	189	88¢	$166	0xcade26…
05-16 06:53:03	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xe87c24…
05-15 23:59:53	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xf84440…
05-15 22:50:08	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x8e9dae…
05-15 22:45:00	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x2d290c…
05-15 22:44:50	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa841ac…
05-15 22:44:39	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x25f5b0…
05-15 22:44:24	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x29830a…
05-15 21:41:55	Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" or "Gasoline" during Bret Baier interview?	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfd1d5c…
05-15 02:18:12	Will Drake feature Sexyy Red on ICEMAN?	Yes	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x08b68f…
05-15 02:13:06	Will Drake feature Pimmie on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x31cb4d…
05-15 02:06:20	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x92195f…
05-15 02:05:48	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0xecfe06…
05-15 02:03:56	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	16	89¢	$14	0xf3d9f5…
05-15 02:03:23	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x8442ef…
05-15 02:01:22	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x159c62…
05-15 01:58:06	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	51	89¢	$46	0xd2b267…
05-15 01:56:00	Will Drake feature SZA on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	116	89¢	$103	0x522b0d…
05-15 01:52:44	Will Drake feature Pimmie on ICEMAN?	No	BUY	12	87¢	$11	0x3b18c5…
05-15 01:09:59	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x96bc25…
05-14 20:56:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0x57b025…
05-14 16:30:07	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa68055…
05-14 16:20:03	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xecfa67…
05-14 16:19:52	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0xfdcfde…
05-13 17:16:49	Will Trump's remarks not air?	No	BUY	70	89¢	$62	0xb52ea5…
05-13 16:06:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$54	0xd72656…
05-11 21:24:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	31¢	$0	0xbadc50…
05-11 20:51:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0xca98c8…
05-10 15:34:53	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	31	79¢	$24	0xd2d3e4…
05-06 17:02:08	Will Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0xcae63f…
05-06 17:02:03	Will Trump or Melania say "Darling" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x4ab24a…
05-06 17:01:26	Will Trump or Melania say "Darling" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xdc8fdd…
05-06 17:01:14	Will Trump or Melania say "School" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	3	70¢	$2	0x8cc7ab…
05-06 15:45:52	Will Trump or Melania say "Biden" at the Military Mothers event?	No	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x8ba7a5…
05-05 16:24:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x8721b6…
05-04 20:14:18	Will Trump say "Loan" during Small Business Summit?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2b6fd5…
05-03 14:08:04	Will Trump say "Peacemaker" this week? (April 27 - May 3)	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xe0fbb9…
04-30 20:53:36	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x594646…
04-27 16:57:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x41be78…
04-27 16:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xafc491…
04-27 16:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xeb7d5f…
04-27 16:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc990b9…
04-27 16:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0xa8d07d…
04-27 11:36:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xe73de1…
04-27 11:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x44c120…
04-27 11:34:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x16170a…
04-27 11:30:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5b01e4…
04-27 11:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb323cf…
04-27 11:28:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x8673fa…
04-27 11:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x8e4b87…
04-27 11:21:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x9bf3cf…
04-27 11:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x08db59…
04-27 11:21:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x3a25df…
04-27 10:38:48	Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in April?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0xecf3c2…
04-27 09:24:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x56cc2b…
04-27 09:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xe37791…
04-27 09:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3a10f0…
04-27 09:16:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x51cdcd…
04-27 09:15:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x3a6699…
04-27 09:15:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xf9a6ce…
04-27 09:13:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x3d7c51…
04-27 09:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7f76cc…
04-27 09:12:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x282882…
04-27 09:12:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xc811ae…
04-27 09:07:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa1d816…
04-27 09:07:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x757741…
04-27 09:01:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0ab15a…
04-27 09:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7f5663…
04-27 09:00:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xa214fa…