Realized P&L
+$837
Unrealized P&L
+$23
Hit rate
80.8%
Resolved
267
Trades
707
lifetime
Volume
$9.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$13
Open exposure
$287
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 11-05 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Politics
47% 69% +$750
Other
45% 60% +$60
Sports
4% 60% +$39
Pop-Culture
2% 75% +$21
Crypto
1% 62% -$33
Tech
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +177 $50 45¢ $80 +$30 07-08 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +64 $60 97¢ $62 +$2 10-31 05:30
Will Beni Rae Harmony be the next White House Press Secretary? No +46 $45 97¢ $45 $0 10-31 05:26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -25 -$21 98¢ $-24 -$3 05-15 02:03
US x China Military clash before 2027? No -12 -$11 98¢ $-12 $0 07-12 01:39
Trump out as President before 2027? No -9 -$8 97¢ $-9 -$1 05-16 00:08
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? No -9 -$8 94¢ $-8 $0 05-15 02:13
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? No -8 -$8 97¢ $-7 +$0 05-06 15:49
Natural Disaster in 2026? No -7 -$5 95¢ $-7 -$2 05-15 02:06
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -6 -$5 98¢ $-6 -$1 07-12 01:39
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No -5 -$5 99¢ $-5 $0 05-06 15:43
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -5 -$5 98¢ $-5 $0 05-15 02:05
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -11 -$3 36¢ $-4 -$1 05-21 20:13
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No -4 -$3 98¢ $-4 $0 07-12 01:39
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -3 -$4 98¢ $-3 +$0 07-12 01:47
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No -3 -$3 98¢ $-3 $0 05-15 02:05
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $2 8¢ $-1 -$3 08-02 17:23
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No -10 -$1 7¢ $-1 +$1 07-12 01:40
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 8¢ $-0 +$1 07-15 14:11
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026? No -5 -$2 5¢ $-0 +$2 05-15 02:04