Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$183

Unrealized P&L

-$164

Hit rate

67.3%

Resolved

565

Trades

2,551

lifetime

Volume

$26.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

$2.02K

17 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-28 02:36

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 89 days

Categories

Other

47% 19% +$6

Politics

35% 40% +$52

Sports

11% 14% +$85

Crypto

6% 14% +$46

Pop-Culture

1% 12% -$3

Tech

0% 0% -$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (17) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	No	-776	-$714	98¢	$-758	-$44	05-27 11:28
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	No	-422	-$389	99¢	$-416	-$27	05-27 11:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	-353	-$321	98¢	$-347	-$26	05-27 11:28
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	-209	-$165	97¢	$-202	-$37	05-31 13:13
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	-158	-$135	96¢	$-151	-$17	05-31 13:13
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?	No	-100	-$82	95¢	$-95	-$13	05-29 05:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	-53	-$50	98¢	$-52	-$3	05-31 12:01
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	-280	-$3	1¢	$-3	+$1	06-07 09:50
Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	Yes	-22	-$1	4¢	$-1	+$0	05-29 11:21
Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-295	-$1	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-31 12:04
Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-60	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	05-31 12:04
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?	Yes	-2	$0	3¢	$-0	+$0	05-28 09:22
Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes	-9	$0	1¢	$-0	+$0	06-01 09:54
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-25	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-07 11:42
Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	-5	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-02 21:14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	-5	$0	0¢	$-0	$0	07-31 08:29
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	-5	$0	0¢	$-0	+$0	06-01 08:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.0K	355	777	-422	open	—	05-27 11:27
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	11	$897	609	421	+188	No	+$119	04-24 21:02
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House	1	$724	0	893	-893	No	-$170	05-28 09:21
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	13	$714	0	776	-776	open	—	05-27 11:28
Will Manchester United finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?	5	$636	692	0	+692	Yes	+$55	05-03 09:05
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?	9	$630	349	349	+0	No	-$20	05-29 00:50
bitboy convicted	41	$592	782	0	+782	No	+$190	03-21 13:53
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$488	0	610	-610	No	-$122	05-28 09:21
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$416	212	212	+0	Yes	+$3	04-25 01:54
Will Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$416	300	150	+150	No	+$26	03-11 21:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?	2	$409	209	209	+0	No	+$7	05-27 11:28
will trump deport less than 250000	13	$387	400	0	+400	No	+$13	01-27 01:30
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	7	$370	450	0	+450	No	+$80	02-08 02:53
will trump deport 750000 or more people in 2025	22	$361	389	0	+389	No	+$29	02-13 14:31
will elon cut the budget by at least 5 in 2025	6	$343	258	100	+158	No	+$15	02-12 13:14
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	5	$339	0	350	-350	No	-$11	05-31 13:13
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	1	$337	0	421	-421	Yes	-$84	05-28 09:22
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$326	178	178	-0	No	+$8	05-31 13:13
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	4	$322	178	178	+0	open	—	05-27 12:34
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$321	0	353	-353	open	—	05-27 11:28
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	4	$320	166	166	+0	No	+$3	05-31 13:13
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?	5	$319	166	166	+0	No	+$1	05-27 11:28
will elon cut the budget by at least 10 in 2025	7	$318	175	150	+25	No	+$4	02-07 00:51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?	2	$317	164	164	+0	No	+$3	05-30 15:07
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?	2	$316	169	169	+0	No	+$2	05-30 01:01
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	5	$312	172	172	+0	No	-$4	05-31 13:13
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	2	$311	180	180	+0	open	—	05-31 13:13
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	4	$300	0	441	-441	No	+$300	05-27 13:28
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	3	$299	166	166	+0	No	-$7	05-31 09:04
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	4	$299	0	303	-303	No	-$4	05-31 13:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-28 02:36:36	Will Vitalik Buterin appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?	Yes	SELL	1	11¢	$0	0x4ac69a…
07-31 08:29:45	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be 9% or higher?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x8a11f0…
07-10 14:50:58	Will LeBron James announce a Presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xa8e972…
07-05 10:37:17	Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xce1734…
06-19 19:39:34	Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	342	0¢	$1	0x70de54…
06-17 06:04:25	Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0x98cd9b…
06-15 19:37:42	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	17	1¢	$0	0xd29232…
06-09 14:33:09	Will Andy Levin win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	SELL	785	0¢	$2	0x59beaf…
06-07 22:39:07	Will Anthony Jones win Top Chef Season 23?	Yes	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0xdd7682…
06-07 11:42:04	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	0¢	$0	0x6b9df8…
06-07 11:25:07	Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xf84b27…
06-07 11:09:45	Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x0a960b…
06-07 09:50:12	Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	280	1¢	$3	0xc8e0cc…
06-06 03:45:51	Will Maxx Crosby play for Cleveland Browns next?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xa58f84…
06-05 10:03:03	Canva IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xcba0ad…
06-05 04:27:48	Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	56	0¢	$0	0x90a03d…
06-04 18:44:31	Will Maxx Crosby play for Pittsburgh Steelers next?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3ad195…
06-04 12:04:18	Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0x4f09b5…
06-04 01:00:37	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x58be4a…
06-04 00:58:52	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x000c45…
06-03 20:44:57	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x567dd6…
06-03 20:30:51	Will Gold (GC) settle over $6,200 on the final trading day of June 2026?	Yes	SELL	15	2¢	$0	0xf7b8a2…
06-03 19:38:28	Will Trump and Putin meet next in Finland?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd9b661…
06-03 17:50:49	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x0f452e…
06-03 10:35:44	Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	105	0¢	$0	0x35cb5c…
06-03 03:32:24	Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xb9540f…
06-03 03:32:10	Will Naleraq be part of the next Government of Denmark?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0x7eeb67…
06-03 03:02:08	Will Mark Stewart Greenstein be the Democratic nominee for CT-01?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x961d17…
06-02 21:14:03	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	8¢	$0	0x7f6f91…
06-02 17:04:18	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0x6490ba…
06-02 13:47:12	Will Armenian Revolutionary Federation win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	285	0¢	$1	0xb6b1cc…
06-02 10:24:19	Tom Holland announced as next James Bond?	Yes	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0x144d92…
06-02 09:32:32	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x438a59…
06-02 09:25:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x5e0515…
06-02 09:20:59	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x6a0b04…
06-02 09:18:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xa45b11…
06-02 08:49:15	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	156	0¢	$0	0xc5d553…
06-02 08:45:54	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x416bd2…
06-02 08:44:09	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xe69a04…
06-02 08:27:19	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x03e2d7…
06-02 08:19:41	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x178159…
06-02 08:04:03	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x50cbf5…
06-02 07:56:54	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x2bdd83…
06-02 07:50:13	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x62f5e0…
06-02 07:48:58	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xccf85c…
06-02 07:44:18	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0xd56bea…
06-02 07:41:55	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0xaa9cd3…
06-02 07:41:49	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	36	0¢	$0	0x842531…
06-02 07:12:10	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x2e7965…
06-02 07:06:42	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x3a5f8e…
06-02 06:55:36	Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?	Yes	SELL	82	0¢	$0	0x76f31b…
06-02 04:39:07	Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x3f158a…
06-01 12:42:50	Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x76b7a1…
06-01 10:25:36	Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0xe03890…
06-01 09:54:29	Brex IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0xeae4c5…
06-01 08:12:03	Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xe4b71c…
06-01 05:01:53	Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xe968bf…
06-01 04:18:59	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x9f8855…
06-01 04:11:24	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x1474cb…
05-31 15:57:48	Probable FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	15	5¢	$1	0xdefb07…
05-31 15:04:38	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	SELL	2	26¢	$1	0x1b5035…
05-31 15:04:36	Will Derrick Gallego be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x46099e…
05-31 15:04:31	Will Scott Jensen win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xcb0148…
05-31 13:13:13	Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?	Yes	SELL	27	28¢	$8	0xbb91ed…
05-31 13:13:11	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$11	0x8c18b5…
05-31 13:13:11	Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?	No	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0x4393a7…
05-31 13:13:09	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xe92224…
05-31 13:13:09	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	20	91¢	$18	0xdb6b30…
05-31 13:13:09	Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$45	0x5f49bc…
05-31 13:13:09	Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	22	97¢	$22	0x56e606…
05-31 13:13:07	Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	50	91¢	$46	0xeabecb…
05-31 13:13:07	Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?	No	SELL	63	96¢	$60	0xa7213e…
05-31 13:13:07	Will the next UK election be called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	59	95¢	$56	0xa032ca…
05-31 13:13:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$126	0xe78bbb…
05-31 13:13:06	Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	101	97¢	$98	0x998a9e…
05-31 13:13:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,700 by end of June?	No	SELL	64	98¢	$63	0x67be11…
05-31 13:13:04	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	158	85¢	$135	0x166f59…
05-31 13:13:02	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	SELL	180	85¢	$153	0xeab92c…
05-31 13:13:02	Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?	No	SELL	172	90¢	$154	0xcdf1af…
05-31 13:13:02	EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?	No	SELL	209	79¢	$165	0xb17676…
05-31 13:13:02	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to less than 5 years in prison?	No	SELL	168	95¢	$160	0x7dc0f0…
05-31 13:13:00	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?	No	SELL	209	98¢	$206	0xd28335…
05-31 13:13:00	Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to more than 30 years in prison?	No	SELL	252	96¢	$241	0xb8c032…
05-31 13:13:00	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	188	99¢	$186	0x10ac30…
05-31 13:00:33	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?	No	SELL	200	98¢	$196	0x91bcfa…
05-31 12:37:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of June?	No	SELL	84	99¢	$83	0xcd9e4b…
05-31 12:07:35	Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	355	0¢	$1	0xef77f1…
05-31 12:04:52	Will Paula Badosa win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x37f62b…
05-31 12:04:51	Will Markwayne Mullin be the Republican nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x4ac9a5…
05-31 12:04:42	Will Camilo Santana finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xd059f5…
05-31 12:04:28	Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0x733b9e…
05-31 12:04:19	Will Saeed Jalili be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	295	0¢	$1	0xa9bec6…
05-31 12:04:16	Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	SELL	383	0¢	$1	0xa2d82a…
05-31 12:04:14	Will Morten Messerschmidt be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?	Yes	SELL	145	0¢	$0	0xe52500…
05-31 12:01:07	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	SELL	43	84¢	$36	0xd0ec46…
05-31 12:01:05	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	53	93¢	$50	0xda35f0…
05-31 12:01:05	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,300 by end of June?	No	SELL	26	96¢	$25	0x6d8ad3…
05-31 12:01:01	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?	No	SELL	209	99¢	$206	0x0cead5…
05-31 09:04:18	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	166	88¢	$146	0xd173d4…
05-31 08:10:33	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?	No	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xb322b8…