Violent-Cascade — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$126

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

4.2%

Resolved

Trades

166

lifetime

Volume

$31.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$192

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-01

last 11-04 06:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Politics

42% 10% +$168

Other

32% 17% -$290

Sports

21% 0% -$4

Crypto

5% 40% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$2.6K	1,300	1,300	+0	open	—	06-14 05:45
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$2.5K	1,253	1,253	+0	open	—	06-14 06:13
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	3	$2.5K	1,259	1,259	+0	No	-$2	06-15 04:31
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	3	$2.5K	1,234	1,234	+0	No	-$1	06-14 05:13
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	3	$2.4K	1,211	1,211	+0	open	—	06-15 03:22
Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$2.4K	1,194	1,194	+0	No	-$1	06-13 12:59
Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$2.4K	1,186	1,186	+0	open	—	06-13 13:59
Will Matt Sahr win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	3	$1.5K	765	765	+0	No	-$1	05-09 07:50
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.5K	765	765	+0	open	—	05-05 23:31
Will Serbia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	3	$1.5K	732	732	+0	No	-$1	05-06 00:03
Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026?	3	$1.4K	721	721	+0	open	—	05-05 05:22
Will Rick Caruso win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	4	$1.4K	709	709	+0	No	-$1	05-05 06:35
Will Won Hee-ryong win the 2026 Gyeonggi Province Gubernatorial Election?	3	$1.4K	694	694	+0	No	-$1	05-06 00:41
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	3	$1.4K	703	703	+0	No	-$1	05-09 07:08
Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	2	$563	1,060	91	+969	No	-$476	09-14 15:53
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$325	163	163	+0	No	$0	04-01 17:16
Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	2	$260	427	21	+406	No	+$170	09-17 09:12
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-12?	2	$255	442	13	+428	No	+$188	09-11 08:23
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$199	101	101	+0	No	+$0	04-06 01:11
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	6	$192	96	96	+0	open	—	11-04 06:15
Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	3	$154	77	77	+0	open	—	11-04 06:43
Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	4	$147	74	74	+0	open	—	10-26 02:02
Will François Asselineau win the 2027 French presidential election?	4	$143	72	72	+0	open	—	05-06 00:32
Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	4	$135	68	68	+0	No	$0	06-13 14:12
Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	3	$128	64	64	+0	No	$0	10-28 08:13
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?	3	$121	60	60	+0	No	$0	06-18 01:40
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	4	$120	60	60	+0	open	—	06-14 06:23
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?	3	$112	57	57	+0	No	$0	05-10 01:37
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	3	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	04-06 01:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	4	$110	55	55	+0	No	$0	10-20 02:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 06:43:51	Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	SELL	77	100¢	$77	0xab2d18…
11-04 06:36:16	Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x6b45b7…
11-04 06:25:55	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xf1c04f…
11-04 06:15:39	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xac95c8…
11-04 06:05:13	Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x58c144…
11-04 05:57:12	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x58729d…
11-04 05:39:27	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa56a31…
11-04 05:32:33	Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x1faf02…
11-01 16:57:55	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	SELL	68	100¢	$67	0xe3637d…
11-01 16:51:24	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xc85d3f…
11-01 16:45:24	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x478483…
11-01 16:39:57	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	No	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x9caa9a…
11-01 16:33:43	Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia before 2027?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x5c873c…
11-01 16:26:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xcab65b…
11-01 16:16:01	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x82d805…
11-01 16:06:37	Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Kansas, and Ohio?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb4c6a5…
10-28 08:13:44	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	No	SELL	64	100¢	$64	0x79b580…
10-28 08:04:20	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x493e58…
10-28 07:58:08	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x1ef7f9…
10-28 07:47:46	Republican House odds hit 15% by October 31?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xbefb48…
10-28 07:39:26	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0xb2988c…
10-28 07:31:20	Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xd1c6e3…
10-28 07:22:52	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on October 28?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x2269af…
10-26 02:02:35	Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	74	100¢	$74	0x40a6ce…
10-26 01:56:35	Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	57	100¢	$56	0x575661…
10-26 01:46:29	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	98¢	$14	0x967c5d…
10-26 01:38:48	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$27	0xcbeefd…
10-26 01:29:00	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0x1e1784…
10-26 01:21:15	Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbe17ca…
10-26 01:11:06	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xdcc82d…
10-25 23:34:18	Will Mitch Landrieu win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xcf13e5…
10-25 23:27:39	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$10	0x90ba7c…
10-25 23:19:03	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0x3d868e…
10-20 02:56:48	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0x27bb06…
10-20 02:47:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	36	100¢	$35	0xe81543…
10-20 02:37:44	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x14db52…
10-20 02:29:30	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x83be79…
10-20 02:19:39	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf1b3a2…
10-20 02:09:20	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x972554…
10-20 02:01:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$10	0xe49679…
10-19 15:36:03	Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xabb345…
09-17 09:12:04	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x703e63…
09-17 08:41:34	Will United Russia win between 325 and 339 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?	No	BUY	427	58¢	$248	0x4f65c3…
09-14 15:53:15	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	SELL	91	48¢	$44	0x6c163d…
09-14 14:57:49	Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-09-08?	Yes	BUY	1,060	49¢	$519	0x432193…
09-11 08:23:33	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-12?	No	SELL	13	55¢	$7	0x70f631…
09-11 07:30:42	Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-09-12?	No	BUY	442	56¢	$247	0xbad9ab…
06-18 01:40:49	Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?	No	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0xf1150c…
06-18 01:31:46	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0xeb54ff…
06-18 01:22:07	Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xb21e82…
06-18 01:12:37	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0xd84622…
06-18 00:21:31	Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0a95dd…
06-18 00:12:11	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xec09a4…
06-18 00:02:55	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x170d00…
06-17 23:55:01	Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x695629…
06-17 23:48:07	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x67b986…
06-15 23:44:52	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0x869845…
06-15 23:37:27	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc29976…
06-15 23:30:03	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$10	0xba8e4c…
06-15 23:20:40	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x3e75bb…
06-15 23:12:21	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$32	0x0c3af9…
06-15 23:01:31	Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xeb3ac1…
06-15 04:40:27	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	44	99¢	$44	0x466b39…
06-15 04:31:46	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	SELL	1,259	99¢	$1,243	0x212d3a…
06-15 04:23:06	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xd9b33d…
06-15 04:14:45	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	1,233	99¢	$1,220	0x039953…
06-15 04:04:30	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x409654…
06-15 03:56:31	Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x9e79e6…
06-15 03:48:34	Will Carole Delga win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x139b40…
06-15 03:29:16	Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x9c8d08…
06-15 03:22:31	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	909	99¢	$903	0x7ed1b0…
06-15 03:14:34	Will Ivan Perišić be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa275f9…
06-15 03:08:22	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	302	99¢	$300	0xde8990…
06-15 03:00:48	Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,211	99¢	$1,204	0xe996a4…
06-14 06:23:04	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	SELL	60	99¢	$60	0x07b572…
06-14 06:13:37	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	1,253	99¢	$1,244	0x4b6398…
06-14 06:07:34	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x6f6642…
06-14 05:59:12	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,237	99¢	$1,229	0x865eb3…
06-14 05:53:25	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$24	0x311aeb…
06-14 05:45:52	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	SELL	1,300	100¢	$1,294	0x1669f4…
06-14 05:38:19	Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb4e049…
06-14 05:29:36	Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x9f3053…
06-14 05:22:37	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	1,274	100¢	$1,269	0x18260f…
06-14 05:13:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	875	100¢	$874	0xc8f6d2…
06-14 05:02:51	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	359	100¢	$358	0x6df4e8…
06-14 04:55:04	Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x11421c…
06-14 04:48:16	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,234	100¢	$1,233	0x9ae1f1…
06-13 14:12:33	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	SELL	68	99¢	$68	0x23e91e…
06-13 13:59:01	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,186	99¢	$1,177	0x23f93e…
06-13 13:52:48	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x52ae22…
06-13 13:45:06	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,126	99¢	$1,119	0x1998c9…
06-13 13:35:40	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf19d90…
06-13 13:29:34	XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	24	100¢	$23	0xccd547…
06-13 13:20:13	Will Jack Draper be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0xac5b28…
06-13 13:11:12	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x90dbd1…
06-13 12:59:46	Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	879	100¢	$878	0xe607fa…
06-13 12:46:25	Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	SELL	314	100¢	$314	0x0532b2…
06-13 12:38:15	XRP all time high by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$23	0x504475…
06-13 12:30:39	Will Graham Platner win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x307af2…
06-13 12:22:45	Will Noah Okafor be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	1,194	100¢	$1,193	0xd7d078…