Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$4.09K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

52.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$647

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 08-07 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

96% 31% $-4,236

Other

4% 100% +$171

Crypto

0% 0% $-20

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	2	$3.6K	3,603	10,880	-7,277	Yes	$-2,555	06-15 12:33
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$3.0K	3,687	0	+3,687	No	+$700	04-19 17:21
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.5K	3,862	0	+3,862	No	+$1,352	05-25 20:34
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$2.5K	5,228	0	+5,228	Yes	$-2,510	03-27 21:20
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	1	$1.9K	2,216	0	+2,216	No	+$266	07-18 18:23
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	2	$1.2K	754	754	+0	Yes	+$218	08-02 10:04
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	2	$675	1,711	1,711	+0	No	$-503	07-25 09:05
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	1	$320	1,030	0	+1,030	open	—	08-01 16:08
will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	1	$317	488	0	+488	Yes	+$171	08-01 16:10
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	1	$300	2,143	0	+2,143	Yes	$-300	04-09 20:17
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	1	$300	667	0	+667	Yes	$-300	08-02 10:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	1	$295	0	2,679	-2,679	open	—	06-15 12:33
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	1	$250	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	$-250	04-09 20:17
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	1	$250	6,203	0	+6,203	open	—	08-01 16:06
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$201	495	0	+495	Yes	$-201	04-09 20:20
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	2	$187	195	195	+0	Yes	$-5	08-01 15:42
us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	1	$149	1,607	0	+1,607	Yes	$-149	04-09 20:18
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	1	$100	312	0	+312	open	—	08-02 10:12
israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	1	$100	526	0	+526	open	—	08-02 10:12
will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	1	$100	1,429	0	+1,429	open	—	08-01 15:57
will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	1	$100	2,944	0	+2,944	open	—	08-02 10:11
US military draft authorized in 2026?	1	$100	1,832	0	+1,832	open	—	08-01 15:53
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	1	$100	769	0	+769	open	—	08-07 08:10
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$97	359	0	+359	open	—	08-02 10:29
btc updown 5m 1785666000	1	$20	110	0	+110	Down	$-20	08-02 10:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-07 08:10:21	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	BUY	769	13¢	$100	0x5b7d05…
08-02 10:29:41	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	359	27¢	$97	0x7d5608…
08-02 10:20:50	btc updown 5m 1785666000	Up	BUY	110	18¢	$20	0xa8fa66…
08-02 10:12:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	526	19¢	$100	0xddf8ea…
08-02 10:12:30	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 31 20260716224448970 754 896 823	No	BUY	312	32¢	$100	0x0c4d92…
08-02 10:11:53	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	667	45¢	$300	0xf848c8…
08-02 10:11:12	will a european country take military action on iran by august 31 20260720005529606	Yes	BUY	2,944	3¢	$100	0x38f7a5…
08-02 10:04:17	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	SELL	754	95¢	$718	0x8e5697…
08-01 16:10:38	will russia capture kostyantynivka by august 31 1 893	Yes	BUY	488	65¢	$317	0x67b580…
08-01 16:08:08	iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674	Yes	BUY	1,030	31¢	$320	0x535915…
08-01 16:06:29	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,203	4¢	$250	0x6b96b4…
08-01 16:02:47	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 4	Yes	BUY	754	66¢	$500	0x993a29…
08-01 15:57:12	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	Yes	BUY	1,429	7¢	$100	0xc425ba…
08-01 15:53:17	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,832	5¢	$100	0xbfb072…
08-01 15:42:57	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	SELL	195	47¢	$91	0xd06c05…
07-25 09:11:01	israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 15 20260716224448969 246 815 987 693	No	BUY	195	49¢	$96	0x84094f…
07-25 09:05:25	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829 787	Yes	SELL	1,711	5¢	$86	0xd64cb3…
07-18 18:23:07	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 24 20260715194822044	No	BUY	2,216	88¢	$1,950	0x8bed14…
07-08 20:39:28	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586 829	Yes	BUY	1,711	34¢	$589	0xbe2690…
06-15 12:33:09	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,880	5¢	$544	0x31df6f…
06-15 12:33:01	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	2,679	11¢	$295	0x49ef0d…
06-08 08:42:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	3,603	86¢	$3,099	0x899742…
05-25 20:34:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,862	65¢	$2,510	0x2b7187…
04-19 17:21:04	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	3,687	81¢	$2,986	0x356688…
04-09 20:20:25	Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	495	41¢	$201	0x4d75fa…
04-09 20:18:23	us x iran meeting by april 15 2026 533 583	No	BUY	1,607	9¢	$149	0x03dbd9…
04-09 20:17:41	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?	No	BUY	5,000	5¢	$250	0x5d1afc…
04-09 20:17:21	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	No	BUY	2,143	14¢	$300	0xa4d6bb…
03-27 21:20:47	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	5,228	48¢	$2,510	0x45cb10…