(anonymous) 0x88c984…f27e55
cold
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$3.83K
Unrealized P&L
-$286
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
31
Trades
58
lifetime
Volume
$26.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$457
Open exposure
$2.27K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 10-11 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 30 days
Categories
Politics
74% 24% -$4,636
Sports
18% 20% +$712
Other
8% 38% +$112
Crypto
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,679 -$295 18¢ $-469 -$174 06-15 12:33
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +426 $325 82¢ $347 +$22 10-11 18:33
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 Yes +1,030 $320 32¢ $330 +$10 08-01 16:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,554 $300 17¢ $262 -$38 08-01 16:06
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House No +661 $231 34¢ $221 -$10 09-22 19:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +263 $100 62¢ $164 +$64 10-01 18:51
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +500 $100 32¢ $162 +$62 08-23 11:10
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,676 $147 2¢ $113 -$33 08-07 08:13
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +359 $97 16¢ $56 -$41 08-02 10:29
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,832 $100 3¢ $55 -$45 08-01 15:53
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +533 $96 9¢ $48 -$48 08-23 11:21
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +469 $100 10¢ $45 -$55 10-01 18:43