Realized P&L (24h)
-$231
Unrealized P&L
-$258
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved (24h)
1
Trades (24h)
0
58 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$26.5K lifetime
Avg / trade
$457
Open exposure
$1.80K
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-27
last 10-11 18:33
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 31 days
Categories
Politics
74% 22% -$4,867
Sports
18% 20% +$712
Other
8% 38% +$112
Crypto
0% 0% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +426 $325 86¢ $369 +$44 10-11 18:33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -2,679 -$295 12¢ $-335 -$40 06-15 12:33
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? Yes +500 $100 50¢ $252 +$152 08-23 11:10
iran leadership change by june 30 2027 674 Yes +1,030 $320 24¢ $242 -$78 08-01 16:08
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +1,554 $300 14¢ $218 -$82 08-01 16:06
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +263 $100 56¢ $149 +$49 10-01 18:51
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +6,676 $147 1¢ $97 -$50 08-07 08:13
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +469 $100 10¢ $45 -$55 10-01 18:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +359 $97 12¢ $41 -$56 08-02 10:29
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,832 $100 2¢ $35 -$65 08-01 15:53
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes +533 $96 4¢ $19 -$77 08-23 11:21