Vague-Speech 0x88e2b1…b07489
whale hot 10W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$91.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$32.4K
Hit rate
67.3%
Resolved
210
Trades
6,143
lifetime
Volume
$4.02M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$655
Open exposure
$186.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 10-28 19:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 96 days
Categories
Politics
75% 45% +$76,601
Other
24% 51% +$28,105
Sports
1% 20% -$12,969
Crypto
0% 100% +$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +32,041 $26,514 96¢ $30.9K +$4,405 10-26 00:10
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +25,998 $23,089 96¢ $25.0K +$1,869 10-27 13:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +24,592 $20,514 99¢ $24.3K +$3,808 10-28 00:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +19,862 $13,838 92¢ $18.2K +$4,356 10-20 06:01
Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? No +15,518 $12,439 100¢ $15.5K +$3,025 10-28 07:04
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +14,994 $5,555 82¢ $12.2K +$6,665 10-14 09:23
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +10,695 $9,596 99¢ $10.6K +$954 10-10 02:05
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +10,015 $3,300 100¢ $10.0K +$6,665 10-27 19:49
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +9,848 $5,871 98¢ $9.6K +$3,730 10-19 10:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +7,164 $5,725 96¢ $6.9K +$1,152 10-27 13:15
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? No +4,858 $4,274 96¢ $4.6K +$365 09-04 02:59
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? Yes +4,806 $3,727 93¢ $4.5K +$728 10-19 10:45
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +4,000 $2,200 80¢ $3.2K +$980 10-05 13:26
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +3,106 $2,914 94¢ $2.9K +$21 10-05 16:15
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? No -3,026 -$2,771 90¢ $-2708 +$62 10-06 06:43
iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by october 31 No +714 -$55 100¢ $712 +$767 09-28 16:34
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +701 $624 100¢ $701 +$77 10-25 23:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +2,011 $3,434 34¢ $694 -$2,740 10-28 19:18
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? Yes +5,000 $600 14¢ $675 +$75 09-18 05:40
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +1,601 $527 35¢ $560 +$33 10-28 09:00
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +7,434 $520 6¢ $409 -$112 10-20 17:51
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31? Yes +2,358 $315 16¢ $377 +$63 10-19 11:59
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? Yes +14,818 $2,698 2¢ $370 -$2,328 10-19 06:36
Will there be no Hormuz agreement? No +4,806 $450 7¢ $351 -$99 10-19 06:45
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +7,164 $1,075 4¢ $287 -$788 10-22 02:20
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by december 31 No +245 $223 97¢ $237 +$14 07-24 09:43
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +2,964 $475 8¢ $222 -$253 10-28 08:37
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +10,695 $1,203 1¢ $144 -$1,059 10-19 00:08
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +86 $41 56¢ $48 +$6 05-11 03:28
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 93¢ $29 +$5 06-29 05:26