Realized P&L
-$4.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.02K
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,285
lifetime
Volume
$2.15M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$656
Open exposure
$58.8K
12 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 06-30 07:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
90% 100% +$5,372
Other
9% 50% $-180
Sports
1% 0% $-10,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
73 active days in 12wk • peak 189 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +28,022 $27,472 100¢ $28.0K +$522 06-21 00:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -24,896 $-23,634 86¢ $-21535 +$2,099 06-15 15:58
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by June 30? No +4,249 $3,537 99¢ $4.2K +$687 05-31 04:06
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5,145 $2,588 66¢ $3.4K +$784 06-30 07:16
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +1,596 $1,587 100¢ $1.6K +$8 06-15 09:30
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 82¢ $26 +$2 06-29 05:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -5,155 $-876 $-21 +$856 05-30 15:21
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -5,000 $-63 $-12 +$51 06-09 16:47
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30? Yes -535 $-5 $-2 +$3 06-25 10:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -182 $-36 $-0 +$36 06-22 16:01
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? Yes +280 $28 $0 $-28 05-27 21:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -0 $-0 88¢ $-0 $-0 05-30 14:04