Realized P&L
-$4.81K
Unrealized P&L
+$5.50K
Hit rate
62.4%
Resolved
5
Trades
3,668
lifetime
Volume
$2.35M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$642
Open exposure
$20.4K
6 positions
First seen
2026-03-09
last 07-21 17:09
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
87% 100% +$5,372
Other
12% 50% $-180
Sports
1% 0% $-10,000
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -21,989 $-20,286 72¢ $-15942 +$4,344 07-17 21:51
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +5,145 $2,588 66¢ $3.4K +$784 06-30 07:16
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +3,868 $658 26¢ $1.0K +$367 07-13 19:46
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +31 $24 86¢ $27 +$3 06-29 05:26
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +5 $3 68¢ $3 +$0 07-01 15:19
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No -0 $-0 86¢ $-0 $-0 05-30 14:04