Stingy-Antiquity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

+$76

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$6.57K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 06-08 17:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Other

38% 0% $-0

Sports

9% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No		+1	$1	98¢	$1	$-0	06-08 02:14
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No		-98	$-77	0¢	$-0	+$77	06-03 04:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	14	$570	522	522	+0	open	—	06-06 12:02
Will Lorenzo Musetti win the 2026 Men's French Open?	8	$523	267	267	+0	open	—	04-27 10:26
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	9	$471	243	242	+1	open	—	06-08 02:14
US strike on Cuba by December 31?	10	$389	389	389	+0	open	—	06-08 17:23
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	5	$379	194	194	+0	open	—	05-15 02:39
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?	8	$368	379	379	+0	open	—	04-26 05:57
Will Alberta join the US?	7	$348	182	182	+0	open	—	06-06 02:57
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	5	$339	178	178	+0	open	—	05-29 10:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	7	$294	226	226	+0	open	—	05-19 03:26
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	5	$268	145	145	+0	open	—	05-21 15:39
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	5	$225	95	193	-98	open	—	06-03 04:27
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	4	$197	184	184	+0	open	—	05-16 17:47
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	2	$176	92	92	+0	open	—	04-22 06:02
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	4	$174	89	88	+1	No	$-0	04-17 10:01
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$173	91	91	+0	open	—	04-17 01:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$172	90	90	+0	open	—	05-18 04:21
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$171	87	87	+0	open	—	04-22 12:46
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$163	89	89	+0	open	—	05-28 17:39
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$156	81	81	+0	No	+$0	04-25 15:53
us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	3	$155	127	127	+0	open	—	06-04 14:18
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	4	$155	80	80	+0	open	—	06-07 10:32
Iran leadership change by June 30?	4	$151	81	81	+0	open	—	05-30 19:10
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	2	$139	142	142	+0	open	—	06-05 10:08
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	5	$97	132	132	+0	open	—	05-29 22:01
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	2	$85	54	54	+0	open	—	06-03 12:59
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$78	46	46	+0	open	—	04-21 23:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	3	$44	188	188	+0	open	—	05-27 18:11
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$37	159	159	+0	open	—	05-25 03:01
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	8	$36	372	372	+0	open	—	04-19 06:44
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$12	128	128	+0	open	—	04-20 18:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 17:23:21	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	104	39¢	$41	0xa70235…
06-08 15:20:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	69	39¢	$27	0xfcc144…
06-08 15:20:07	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	35	39¢	$14	0xcc4971…
06-08 02:14:33	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0xc40da7…
06-08 02:13:48	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	38	98¢	$37	0x6bc56d…
06-07 10:32:13	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0x78ff82…
06-07 10:32:13	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x19c6e5…
06-07 08:18:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	28	96¢	$27	0xaa1ca1…
06-07 08:18:37	Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x77e9d1…
06-06 12:02:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	114	28¢	$32	0xe3a041…
06-06 12:02:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	SELL	76	28¢	$21	0x2d48e1…
06-06 09:36:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	145	28¢	$41	0xc47eff…
06-06 09:36:00	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x1f19a9…
06-06 07:25:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	113	55¢	$62	0xdbc650…
06-06 07:25:30	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	SELL	28	55¢	$15	0xd82993…
06-06 03:04:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	43	55¢	$24	0xfed8de…
06-06 03:04:18	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	No	BUY	98	55¢	$54	0x041579…
06-06 02:57:33	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	89	95¢	$85	0x6c68d9…
06-06 00:58:42	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	89	95¢	$85	0x2c6819…
06-05 10:08:27	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	142	49¢	$70	0x100fa6…
06-05 10:07:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	142	49¢	$70	0x12e02b…
06-05 05:12:42	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	79	98¢	$78	0xc2ab9b…
06-05 01:35:03	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	79	98¢	$78	0x3121ff…
06-05 00:29:00	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	14	96¢	$13	0xaaed04…
06-04 22:20:10	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x60261b…
06-04 14:18:12	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	122	61¢	$74	0x7fbe38…
06-04 14:18:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0xb954e7…
06-04 12:34:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026 831 252	No	BUY	127	61¢	$77	0xe19db2…
06-03 20:25:42	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	14	70¢	$10	0x7a3859…
06-03 20:24:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	29	70¢	$20	0xd30c0c…
06-03 20:24:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	44	70¢	$31	0x614713…
06-03 20:24:58	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	20	70¢	$14	0x5db1ec…
06-03 16:12:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	107	69¢	$74	0x37ebb4…
06-03 12:59:16	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	54	79¢	$43	0xdd5ced…
06-03 11:05:41	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	BUY	54	79¢	$43	0x0e9ea9…
06-03 04:27:16	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	98	77¢	$75	0xdb2522…
06-02 22:51:23	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0xd22aa4…
06-02 22:51:23	Will Alberta join the US?	No	SELL	6	96¢	$6	0x9569a2…
06-02 19:01:45	Will Alberta join the US?	No	BUY	79	96¢	$76	0x1068e0…
06-02 05:23:59	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	8	53¢	$4	0x09f110…
06-02 05:22:35	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	SELL	136	53¢	$72	0xc5081d…
06-02 03:18:51	US strike on Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	144	53¢	$76	0x51d3c8…
06-01 20:41:26	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	69	1¢	$1	0x72020a…
06-01 20:41:10	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	79	1¢	$1	0x8a8de0…
06-01 18:59:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	55	1¢	$1	0xad22ba…
06-01 18:59:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	26	1¢	$0	0x77fbc5…
06-01 18:59:33	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x0dc66c…
06-01 14:13:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	151	4¢	$6	0x1996bb…
06-01 12:45:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	64	3¢	$2	0xbf8f07…
06-01 12:45:03	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	87	3¢	$3	0x5718cb…
05-31 17:34:59	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	107	70¢	$75	0xeaba7b…
05-31 13:24:09	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	107	70¢	$75	0x943b3b…
05-31 10:50:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	110	70¢	$77	0x4bc262…
05-31 10:50:23	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	8	70¢	$6	0x22a28f…
05-31 10:49:39	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	118	70¢	$83	0x76ffd4…
05-30 19:10:41	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	31	93¢	$29	0x678253…
05-30 19:10:41	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	42	93¢	$39	0x5226dd…
05-30 19:10:41	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x01469b…
05-30 17:36:22	Iran leadership change by June 30?	No	BUY	81	93¢	$75	0x1ff972…
05-30 14:27:50	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	28	79¢	$22	0x4db701…
05-30 14:27:03	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	SELL	67	80¢	$53	0x0d2664…
05-30 11:25:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x413f3f…
05-30 11:25:27	Iran closes its airspace by June 30?	No	BUY	89	78¢	$70	0x175251…
05-29 22:01:18	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	8	46¢	$4	0x21c90f…
05-29 18:12:12	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf354a9…
05-29 10:37:57	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	75	98¢	$74	0x0a4ec2…
05-29 09:14:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	70	99¢	$70	0xe38a86…
05-29 09:14:43	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x613164…
05-29 01:48:07	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	48	96¢	$46	0xb8509f…
05-28 23:59:19	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	48	96¢	$46	0x35727f…
05-28 17:39:25	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	89	92¢	$82	0xde9e0a…
05-28 17:38:40	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	89	92¢	$81	0x8a7b15…
05-28 07:50:38	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	78	95¢	$74	0xf43231…
05-28 06:17:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	43	96¢	$41	0x743e20…
05-28 06:17:16	Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x2427cb…
05-28 04:00:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	60	33¢	$20	0x5c2a22…
05-28 04:00:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	SELL	64	33¢	$21	0x5f70dc…
05-28 01:43:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	Yes	BUY	124	39¢	$48	0x6cd9c4…
05-27 18:11:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	SELL	188	11¢	$20	0xccb793…
05-27 16:57:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0xef1aed…
05-27 16:57:07	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	Yes	BUY	34	13¢	$4	0x76e04b…
05-25 03:01:34	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	159	11¢	$17	0x253c8f…
05-25 01:44:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xf0379e…
05-25 01:44:44	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xcdc192…
05-25 01:44:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	135	12¢	$16	0x2c7330…
05-24 18:17:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	83	4¢	$3	0xebcb82…
05-24 18:17:05	Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xd48a94…
05-21 15:39:43	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	53	90¢	$48	0x545b78…
05-21 14:00:54	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	53	92¢	$49	0x9fe11d…
05-19 17:17:13	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	93¢	$82	0x1b4f16…
05-19 17:16:27	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0x5d8aaf…
05-19 13:48:52	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	92	94¢	$86	0x5b7270…
05-19 03:26:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	88	98¢	$86	0x5c3eaa…
05-19 00:29:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	88	98¢	$86	0x1bd1f5…
05-18 04:21:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	90	96¢	$86	0xf15fc2…
05-17 22:45:06	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0xd47a5f…
05-17 20:13:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5caa23…
05-17 20:13:35	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	59	97¢	$57	0xa9d31d…
05-17 17:28:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	61	97¢	$59	0xa440c2…
05-17 07:21:41	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	77	3¢	$2	0x4c8066…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	35	$499.4K	7,143	06-10 04:57
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	35	$143.5K	13,017	06-10 05:26
Worthwhile-Sock 0x682c…17ae	32	$86.2K	25,741	06-10 05:04
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	30	$41.9K	576	06-08 20:34
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	29	$1.40M	20,609	06-10 04:32
Shocking-Closet 0x29ba…528b	28	$2.93K	108	06-07 23:07
Bony-Dashboard 0xf17b…572e	28	$2.06K	120	06-09 11:50
Babyish-Thesis 0x7fa4…30eb	28	$2.05K	125	06-08 17:49