Arctic-Thesis 0x8c7ccf…711439
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$6
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
54.2%
Resolved
15
Trades
10,776
lifetime
Volume
$46.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$689
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-12
last 06-01 13:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Other
50% 8% +$4
Crypto
31% — —
Politics
10% 0% $-0
Sports
8% 100% +$3
Tech
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 165 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -618 $-577 96¢ $-595 $-18 06-01 13:01
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -44 $-41 96¢ $-42 $-1 06-01 13:01
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -378 $-30 4¢ $-15 +$16 06-01 13:02
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No -13 $-11 94¢ $-12 $-1 06-01 13:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -9 $-9 95¢ $-9 $-0 06-01 13:04
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? No -10 $-3 76¢ $-7 $-5 06-01 13:06
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-2 63¢ $-3 $-1 06-01 13:06
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No -11 $-3 20¢ $-2 +$0 06-01 13:06
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch? Yes -20 $-1 6¢ $-1 $-0 06-01 13:06
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -27 $-1 4¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 13:06
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes -11 $-1 6¢ $-1 +$0 06-01 13:06
Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? Yes -1 $-0 6¢ $-0 $-0 06-01 13:06