Realized P&L
-$5
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
65.6%
Resolved
9
Trades
113
lifetime
Volume
$502
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$22
6 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 06-11 17:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 8 days
Categories
Politics
64% 43% $-7
Other
29% 100% +$1
Crypto
6% 100% +$1
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-11 17:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $5 44¢ $5 $-0 06-07 08:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +18 $5 22¢ $4 $-1 06-11 13:13
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +20 $5 18¢ $4 $-2 06-11 13:14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +9 $5 30¢ $3 $-2 06-04 18:39
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? Yes +60 $5 $2 $-3 06-11 13:10