Aching-Rite — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

75.3%

Resolved

Trades

167

lifetime

Volume

$397

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 07-16 05:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 67% $-1

Other

15% — —

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No		+2	$2	94¢	$2	$-0	07-16 05:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down february 18 4am et	16	$66	50	50	+0	open	—	02-18 09:51
bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	9	$46	45	35	+9	open	—	06-09 23:15
bitcoin up or down february 6 8pm et	8	$32	17	17	+0	open	—	02-07 01:50
bitcoin up or down february 21 7pm et	16	$24	34	34	+0	open	—	02-22 00:39
bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	6	$22	30	30	+0	open	—	02-28 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	3	$20	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-07 12:43
bitcoin up or down january 23 8pm et	8	$13	14	14	+0	open	—	01-24 01:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 08:45
bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	10	$10	9	9	+0	open	—	03-15 01:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-11 02:59
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	06-09 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	05-14 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	2	$9	9	9	+0	Up	$-1	05-11 04:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-02 01:59
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	05-11 02:42
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$8	6	2	+4	open	—	05-26 08:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	4	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-20 07:56
bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	8	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	02-24 14:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	2	$8	24	24	+0	open	—	05-16 01:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	05-20 07:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 08:22
bitcoin up or down february 22 12am et	4	$4	6	6	+0	open	—	02-22 05:25
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	3	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 08:23
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-04 08:23
bitcoin up or down january 10 1am et	4	$4	5	5	+0	open	—	01-10 06:14
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	07-16 05:14
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	1	$3	0	3	-3	open	—	06-01 08:49
bitcoin up or down january 11 3am et	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	01-11 08:17
Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 05:14
Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-16 05:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-16 05:14:58	Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?	No	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x701e98…
07-16 05:14:49	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x6353d5…
07-16 05:14:13	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x117042…
07-16 05:14:02	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6fac1b…
07-04 08:27:25	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x0128a6…
07-04 08:25:26	bitcoin up or down july 4 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2b0fc1…
07-04 08:24:08	Will Xi Jinping purge Cai Qi in 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1275b3…
07-04 08:23:47	Will Xi Jinping purge Li Xi in 2026?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x81d677…
07-04 08:23:16	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xcf645b…
07-04 08:23:07	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	2	93¢	$2	0xba06b6…
07-04 08:22:55	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xf8204c…
06-13 03:27:10	Will Meta acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3c4495…
06-13 03:26:49	Will Elon Musk / X (Twitter) acquire TikTok?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x209ccd…
06-13 03:26:28	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x9047ab…
06-09 23:15:51	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	8	63¢	$5	0x70177e…
06-09 23:14:07	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf5f4ff…
06-09 23:11:22	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Down	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0x4291e7…
06-09 23:11:00	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xc5e809…
06-09 23:06:30	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xd5125a…
06-09 23:05:03	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0xab7f91…
06-09 23:03:57	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x0c9b68…
06-09 23:03:04	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	SELL	9	58¢	$5	0x2dba3e…
06-09 23:02:43	bitcoin up or down june 9 2026 7pm et	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x5a43b4…
06-09 23:01:03	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xb6ba18…
06-09 23:00:07	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xb12b44…
06-09 22:59:55	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xca9b89…
06-06 02:12:43	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x70791c…
06-01 08:51:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x41c7e6…
06-01 08:50:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2ea138…
06-01 08:50:33	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x869ae9…
06-01 08:49:49	Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026?	No	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0x85c9e7…
06-01 08:49:41	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa90a95…
06-01 08:49:30	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x918098…
05-26 08:05:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf18182…
05-20 07:57:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x30cbc8…
05-20 07:56:47	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x25b6bf…
05-20 07:56:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xc02823…
05-20 07:56:21	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5e7b2d…
05-16 01:38:35	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd7d961…
05-16 01:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x1e88f0…
05-16 01:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x9b7c1f…
05-16 01:35:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x161ccd…
05-16 01:34:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0x209d49…
05-14 07:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Up	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0x22dc55…
05-14 07:38:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x89798a…
05-14 07:38:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x95ab03…
05-14 07:37:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x7118ab…
05-14 07:36:53	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1aa668…
05-14 07:35:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xdda5b9…
05-11 04:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Up	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0x5ac1c1…
05-11 04:07:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x301ff4…
05-11 02:59:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xfba371…
05-11 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b012c…
05-11 02:43:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xa101a1…
05-11 02:43:13	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x838f55…
05-11 02:42:50	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xe61141…
05-07 12:43:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$10	0x48bc2a…
05-07 12:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x4039d2…
05-07 12:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8AM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0a986e…
05-07 12:41:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc05a1e…
05-04 08:46:32	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0x4b256d…
05-04 08:45:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	SELL	8	62¢	$5	0xf670e3…
05-04 08:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x95eabd…
05-02 01:59:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Down	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x4d530c…
05-02 01:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9PM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x0d3749…
05-02 01:47:14	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	3	92¢	$3	0xa9d749…
05-02 01:46:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x540d72…
04-30 02:15:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x5da587…
03-15 01:11:31	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Down	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x26df78…
03-15 01:10:47	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Down	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x1a5b28…
03-15 01:10:11	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xccb746…
03-15 01:09:51	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xbacb16…
03-15 01:09:27	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Down	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x83661c…
03-15 01:08:33	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x73178a…
03-15 01:05:17	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x81923c…
03-15 01:04:59	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6e40be…
03-15 01:04:09	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x1d2956…
03-15 01:02:11	bitcoin up or down march 14 9pm et	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x545aed…
03-15 01:01:43	bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	Down	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe6ee00…
03-15 00:57:45	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7d5c39…
03-15 00:55:41	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xf6ab27…
03-15 00:53:47	bitcoin up or down march 14 8pm et	Down	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9db6c…
02-28 00:40:09	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	SELL	12	36¢	$4	0xbc3347…
02-28 00:35:49	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd0e785…
02-28 00:34:53	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	SELL	15	34¢	$5	0x884733…
02-28 00:34:27	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0xc8ba38…
02-28 00:33:13	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x925929…
02-28 00:32:39	bitcoin up or down february 27 7pm et	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xec8804…
02-28 00:27:09	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xc11882…
02-24 14:16:18	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf48480…
02-24 14:14:54	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb39325…
02-24 14:12:38	bitcoin up or down february 24 9am et	Up	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xb512cc…
02-24 14:08:46	bitcoin up or down february 24 9am et	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x48d099…
02-24 14:00:10	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xab7662…
02-24 13:59:36	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe50fea…
02-24 13:46:08	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Up	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xc52993…
02-24 13:42:36	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x8f76c5…
02-24 13:38:40	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0x1911f3…
02-24 13:34:02	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x9ad3a3…
02-24 13:31:58	bitcoin up or down february 24 8am et	Up	SELL	3	41¢	$1	0xe54c12…