Prudent-Status — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

95.0%

Resolved

538

Trades

621

lifetime

Volume

$3.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

5 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-12 16:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 119 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 97% +$11

Other

18% 94% -$1

Politics

1% 96% +$0

Tech

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+20	$20	100¢	$20	+$0	09-27 13:12
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	09-01 14:24
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	97¢	$-1	$0	09-01 14:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	-1	-$1	99¢	$-1	$0	09-01 14:23
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	-1	-$1	98¢	$-1	$0	09-01 14:23

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	29	$276	77,811	117,811	-40,000	No	+$40	02-28 16:38
will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	6	$158	106	53	+53	No	+$0	04-12 00:35
will bitcoin dip to 78k january 12 18	2	$115	115	0	+115	No	+$0	01-15 11:21
will xrp reach 3pt2 in february 2026	1	$84	84	0	+84	No	+$0	02-28 16:41
solana above 120 on july 3 2026	1	$60	60	0	+60	No	+$0	06-30 15:37
bitcoin above 60k on april 13	2	$60	30	30	+0	Yes	+$0	04-12 01:36
tyler robinson convicted of homicide	2	$52	50	50	+0	open	—	06-28 06:39
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-31 13:51
will bitcoin reach 100k january 19 25	1	$50	50	0	+50	No	+$0	01-24 09:36
will solana reach 150 february 9 15	2	$48	48	0	+48	No	+$0	02-12 16:24
solana above 130 on march 1	1	$42	42	0	+42	No	+$0	02-27 03:20
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	4	$40	40	40	+0	No	-$1	10-12 01:18
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-12 14:17
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of October 12 2026?	2	$37	20	20	+0	No	+$0	10-12 15:24
will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	2	$36	20	20	+0	No	-$1	09-28 05:53
will the price of bitcoin be greater than 102000 on january 26	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	01-24 09:35
aapl above 330 on june 26 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-26 07:36
ethereum above 2500 on june 5 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-04 12:28
bitcoin above 98k on january 27	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-26 16:14
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 7?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	06-04 12:33
will the price of solana be less than 80 on january 8	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-05 18:53
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-29 12:39
will ethereum reach 3500 january 26 1	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	01-31 13:52
will bitcoin reach 88k march 16 22	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	03-20 05:37
bitcoin above 62k on april 12	2	$20	10	10	+0	Yes	+$0	04-11 18:41
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	09-27 13:12
will solana reach 100 april 6 12	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	04-11 13:50
solana above 100 on july 1 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	06-30 15:37
solana above 110 on june 14 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-12 15:25
bitcoin above 76k on june 6 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	No	+$0	06-04 12:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-12 16:10:20	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x9c0a63…
10-12 15:24:20	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0x3e09cb…
10-12 14:17:54	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x54dc60…
10-12 01:18:17	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x4e53b4…
10-12 01:16:05	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x4cb94e…
10-12 01:10:08	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $585 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x35aba8…
10-12 01:05:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	2¢	$0	0x41cd2c…
10-12 01:02:23	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $236 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xdcc266…
10-11 23:38:11	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xf757d1…
10-11 23:17:27	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xa9e9d2…
09-28 05:53:44	will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	SELL	20	89¢	$18	0xdbb6ef…
09-28 05:31:23	will rklb dip to 62 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0xd64785…
09-27 13:12:42	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x5c0082…
09-07 04:25:25	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	5¢	$1	0xed50fc…
09-07 04:23:58	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	8¢	$0	0x284f23…
09-07 04:23:45	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,650 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x64c079…
09-01 14:26:21	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0ee45e…
09-01 14:26:00	Will Chainlink dip to $4 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x1a8608…
09-01 14:25:49	Will BNB dip to $200 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0xdd00dc…
09-01 14:24:43	Will XRP dip to $0.20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x949c07…
09-01 14:24:06	Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc8c3c2…
09-01 14:23:48	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.02 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xbc2673…
09-01 14:23:31	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x966838…
09-01 14:23:15	Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xa4071f…
09-01 14:23:00	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xf15122…
09-01 14:22:48	Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0x4b2736…
08-19 11:27:55	bitcoin above 72k on august 22 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x39d02b…
08-19 11:27:39	bitcoin above 72k on august 21 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x60fc66…
08-19 11:27:22	bitcoin above 70k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcb09c7…
08-06 11:54:45	bitcoin above 74k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeaafec…
08-06 11:54:15	bitcoin above 74k on august 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd9d4ca…
08-06 11:53:27	bitcoin above 70k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9da43c…
08-06 11:53:06	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x500ee0…
07-31 16:13:45	will solana reach 90 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71eb4b…
07-31 16:13:30	will ethereum reach 2200 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfe183e…
07-31 16:13:12	will bitcoin dip to 55k in july 2026 381	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ce237…
07-31 16:12:50	will ethereum dip to 1300 july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x42b750…
07-31 16:12:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k july 27 august 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd059b7…
07-31 16:11:56	bitcoin above 68k on august 1 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xae72ae…
07-15 14:08:14	ethereum above 2300 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa28d96…
07-15 12:09:40	ethereum above 2300 on july 20 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xeeaf9e…
07-15 12:09:25	ethereum above 2300 on july 17 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaf9986…
07-15 12:09:14	ethereum above 2100 on july 16 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10b30c…
07-15 12:08:59	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9238a1…
07-15 12:08:32	bitcoin above 72k on july 20 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x62bd59…
07-15 12:08:13	bitcoin above 72k on july 17 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa74dfb…
07-15 12:08:02	bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xb988cb…
07-15 12:07:38	bitcoin above 62k on july 15 2026	Yes	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a2856…
06-30 15:37:46	solana above 120 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x047c9a…
06-30 15:37:34	solana above 100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdc766b…
06-30 15:37:22	solana above 100 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xbde8fe…
06-30 15:36:49	ethereum above 2100 on july 3 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb4ef4…
06-30 15:36:37	ethereum above 2100 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ddd16…
06-30 15:36:20	ethereum above 1900 on july 1 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xacab47…
06-30 15:36:01	bitcoin above 70k on july 3 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x15dbb7…
06-30 15:35:49	bitcoin above 68k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4ab0a3…
06-30 15:35:31	bitcoin above 66k on july 1 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4bfc79…
06-30 15:34:20	Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xcb0ae0…
06-30 15:32:49	will wti reach 85 in june 2026 from june 16	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x053fdf…
06-28 06:39:02	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	SELL	50	52¢	$26	0xf6a5ab…
06-28 06:38:41	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0x2b39e8…
06-26 07:36:40	will pltr reach 144 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xe87aae…
06-26 07:36:22	will googl reach 400 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe2f9cd…
06-26 07:36:02	aapl above 330 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x255610…
06-26 07:35:47	tsla above 430 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xa78128…
06-26 07:35:32	nvda above 240 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4fa49a…
06-26 07:35:16	will tsla reach 450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x580651…
06-26 07:35:02	amzn above 275 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x52471c…
06-26 07:34:43	meta above 640 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1baed0…
06-26 07:34:11	open above 7pt5 on june 26 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x71527c…
06-26 07:33:46	will meta reach 630 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xc15c0a…
06-26 07:33:28	will amzn reach 268 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x30e266…
06-26 07:32:59	will xauusd reach 4450 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x71d257…
06-26 07:32:38	will nvda reach 228 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x7cc1f9…
06-26 07:32:08	will spy reach 765 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa8a831…
06-26 07:31:50	will aapl reach 308 by june 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x396eb3…
06-20 05:07:01	will solana reach 90 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7968b4…
06-20 05:06:41	will ethereum reach 2000 june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x21e161…
06-20 05:06:20	will bitcoin reach 70k june 15 21 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaadd2b…
06-12 15:33:43	Will Apple (AAPL) close at $320-$325 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb0b1ed…
06-12 15:33:19	nvda above 190 on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaab3c3…
06-12 15:33:01	meta above 690 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfff530…
06-12 15:32:27	will tsla reach 442 50 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3c7dee…
06-12 15:31:58	Will Google (GOOGL) close at $380-$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Jun 8 – Jun 12?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x78b084…
06-12 15:31:28	aapl above 325 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9aee87…
06-12 15:27:30	will wti reach 115 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x12617c…
06-12 15:27:07	will spy reach 765 by june 8 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0c3414…
06-12 15:26:31	will ethereum reach 2400 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc12054…
06-12 15:26:03	will bitcoin reach 72k june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbe0380…
06-12 15:25:42	solana above 120 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xaaf8aa…
06-12 15:25:27	solana above 110 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xdebf32…
06-12 15:25:00	ethereum above 2200 on june 15 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x962690…
06-12 15:24:48	ethereum above 2000 on june 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xeb8153…
06-12 15:24:18	bitcoin above 74k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12a792…
06-12 15:24:06	bitcoin above 70k on june 14 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xee3d31…
06-10 14:44:52	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on June 13?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xfb9200…
06-10 14:44:36	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe9667e…
06-10 14:43:58	will solana reach 110 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0e861…
06-10 14:43:30	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 13?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x703539…
06-10 14:43:18	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xce2909…