Deep-Academics — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$43

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

85.3%

Resolved

3,727

Trades

10,715

lifetime

Volume

$394.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$37

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-26 10:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 88 days

Categories

Crypto

81% 95% +$161

Sports

9% 0% -$17

Politics

9% 31% -$10

Other

2% 43% -$92

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	No		+0	$2	100¢	$0	-$2	05-08 15:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$6.3K	3,186	3,186	+0	No	-$3	05-08 14:49
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	16	$5.6K	2,866	2,866	+0	open	—	05-08 14:36
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	18	$4.7K	2,357	2,357	+0	open	—	05-08 16:00
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election?	20	$4.4K	2,226	2,226	+0	open	—	05-08 15:28
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	20	$4.4K	2,205	2,205	+0	open	—	05-08 15:30
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	48	$4.1K	2,098	2,098	+0	No	-$2	05-09 05:19
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	16	$3.7K	1,874	1,874	+0	No	-$2	05-08 15:15
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	16	$3.6K	1,837	1,837	+0	No	-$2	05-08 15:51
Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	30	$3.4K	1,697	1,697	+0	open	—	05-09 06:33
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	68	$2.8K	1,391	1,391	+0	No	-$1	05-09 07:11
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	56	$2.4K	1,233	1,233	+0	No	-$1	05-09 07:20
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	10	$2.3K	1,171	1,171	+0	open	—	05-09 01:11
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	38	$2.3K	2,399	2,399	+0	Yes	-$21	05-07 17:33
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	15	$2.3K	1,145	1,145	+0	No	-$1	05-08 14:11
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	32	$1.9K	948	948	+0	No	-$1	05-09 06:20
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	54	$1.7K	859	859	+0	No	-$1	05-09 05:47
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	32	$1.6K	793	793	+0	No	-$1	05-07 09:33
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	42	$1.4K	694	694	-0	No	-$1	05-09 06:40
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	28	$1.3K	668	668	+0	No	-$1	05-07 08:37
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$1.2K	700	700	+0	No	+$2	03-29 20:19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	16	$1.1K	1,542	1,542	+0	No	+$13	05-06 11:40
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$983	497	497	+0	No	$0	05-09 02:06
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	20	$937	472	472	-0	No	$0	05-07 07:30
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	26	$836	422	422	+0	No	$0	05-09 03:35
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	14	$798	404	404	+0	No	$0	05-09 08:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	3	$776	586	586	+0	Yes	+$3	05-05 09:49
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	4	$763	393	393	+0	No	$0	05-08 12:11
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	20	$575	580	580	+0	No	-$1	05-07 17:58
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	2	$556	280	280	+0	open	—	05-08 15:56
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	18	$521	262	262	+0	No	$0	05-09 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-26 10:41:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x29897c…
08-26 10:38:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-26 10:35 UTC	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x9c44b4…
06-19 19:33:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x2d8467…
06-19 19:30:44	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 19:30 UTC	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x58676f…
06-14 09:03:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC	Down	SELL	12	68¢	$8	0x9c88a7…
06-14 09:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-14 09:00 UTC	Down	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0x42d0db…
05-21 11:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	12	56¢	$7	0xbcef49…
05-19 18:57:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xad6244…
05-19 09:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x95f84e…
05-19 09:23:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	67¢	$4	0x0ea9b2…
05-10 12:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x44f258…
05-10 12:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xecdf66…
05-10 12:04:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	315	62¢	$195	0xe86475…
05-10 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0xac9217…
05-10 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	31	96¢	$30	0x6cc347…
05-10 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0x1c5725…
05-10 12:04:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	74	96¢	$71	0x193203…
05-10 12:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	118	84¢	$99	0xeb9c56…
05-10 12:02:18	Will Frontier Airlines announce bankruptcy by December 31?	Yes	SELL	19	14¢	$3	0xdcd39c…
05-10 12:02:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	38¢	$6	0x3af69a…
05-10 12:02:18	Will John Kennedy vote to confirm Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0x012a89…
05-10 12:02:16	Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?	No	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xd9ced2…
05-10 12:02:16	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	Yes	SELL	47	1¢	$1	0x7fb32f…
05-10 12:02:16	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0x68c4f6…
05-10 12:02:16	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	87	1¢	$1	0x46cf89…
05-10 12:02:16	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	283	63¢	$178	0x02720f…
05-10 11:32:05	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x332b98…
05-10 11:30:21	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x048f35…
05-10 11:29:24	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 5-11?	No	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xc3b6f5…
05-10 09:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	21	68¢	$14	0xb69379…
05-10 09:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0x90ed89…
05-10 09:49:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	16	68¢	$11	0x4d6d7f…
05-10 09:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	20	9¢	$2	0x011dcc…
05-10 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0xb61eae…
05-10 09:49:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	SELL	136	19¢	$26	0x3f86e8…
05-10 09:47:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x99b547…
05-10 09:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x41acda…
05-10 09:46:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x43258b…
05-10 09:46:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xebb906…
05-10 09:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x97d67d…
05-10 09:46:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	0	49¢	$0	0x0306a6…
05-10 09:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	58	43¢	$25	0x20079c…
05-10 09:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	43¢	$14	0x7f262d…
05-10 09:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x34fc60…
05-10 09:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x87d72d…
05-10 09:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xba53eb…
05-10 09:29:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0xb27d46…
05-10 09:29:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	23	76¢	$17	0x3e2086…
05-10 09:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	91	50¢	$45	0xf51723…
05-10 09:29:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x729f7b…
05-10 09:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xab48b8…
05-10 09:28:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x89fa91…
05-10 09:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xee6f10…
05-10 09:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xc7c9ef…
05-10 09:27:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	51¢	$18	0x793e9f…
05-10 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0x50ecdf…
05-10 09:20:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$9	0x1161be…
05-10 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xaff48d…
05-10 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x64b40f…
05-10 09:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x61092a…
05-10 09:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	62¢	$11	0x298e3c…
05-10 09:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	60¢	$12	0xe29852…
05-10 09:15:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x83264f…
05-10 09:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x27f801…
05-10 09:14:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0x4bb01a…
05-10 09:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x8b9663…
05-10 09:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x7d5d56…
05-10 09:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$2	0x346b1a…
05-10 01:53:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	971	5¢	$47	0xd99673…
05-09 23:09:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	15	9¢	$1	0xd0b29f…
05-09 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	10¢	$1	0x7d55ef…
05-09 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	10¢	$0	0x5fe513…
05-09 23:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x41941b…
05-09 23:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb97af0…
05-09 23:08:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xf1887a…
05-09 23:07:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	31¢	$4	0x52fd99…
05-09 23:07:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	14	34¢	$5	0x5209a9…
05-09 23:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf29023…
05-09 23:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xe6dd7f…
05-09 23:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	80¢	$17	0xabfc66…
05-09 23:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x3da50d…
05-09 23:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	104	82¢	$85	0xe7bb2f…
05-09 23:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	25	85¢	$21	0xf6042f…
05-09 23:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x4d313a…
05-09 23:04:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	38	64¢	$24	0x134abc…
05-09 23:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	21	87¢	$18	0x955193…
05-09 23:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x1a1be7…
05-09 23:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	11	85¢	$9	0xd3799c…
05-09 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xf6b44f…
05-09 23:04:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	35¢	$2	0x04b0ed…
05-09 23:03:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x51c306…
05-09 23:03:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	83	40¢	$33	0x71692b…
05-09 23:03:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	9	63¢	$5	0x6574b9…
05-09 23:02:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x601241…
05-09 23:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x39a3b4…
05-09 23:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0xb71039…
05-09 23:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x78f4d6…
05-09 23:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x0a152f…
05-09 23:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x09b0b0…
05-09 23:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xce732b…