Pungent-Airplane 0x9b0865…4c4632
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Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$10
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
158
lifetime
Volume
$916
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$106
15 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-28 21:12
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
44% 100% +$1
Other
40% — —
Sports
9% 0% $-3
Tech
4% — —
Crypto
3% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
48 active days in 12wk • peak 16 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +34 $17 60¢ $20 +$3 06-03 17:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +19 $12 82¢ $16 +$4 06-03 21:16
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +13 $10 99¢ $13 +$3 06-03 00:41
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +17 $8 48¢ $8 +$0 06-16 16:20
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10 $5 60¢ $6 +$1 06-07 15:29
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +6 $5 99¢ $6 +$1 06-01 16:31
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $5 74¢ $5 +$0 06-05 15:53
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +9 $5 58¢ $5 +$0 06-05 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +7 $5 70¢ $5 +$0 06-04 16:41
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? Yes +25 $5 20¢ $5 $-0 06-24 18:40
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +31 $9 16¢ $5 $-4 06-03 17:20
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $5 14¢ $5 $-0 06-23 21:53
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No +4 $3 100¢ $4 +$1 06-09 19:56
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $5 18¢ $3 $-2 06-16 00:48
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes -68 $-3 0¢ $-0 +$3 06-16 00:56