Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$30
Hit rate
78.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
215
lifetime
Volume
$1.24K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$6
Open exposure
$162
17 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-21 19:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
43%
Politics
42% 100% +$1
Sports
8% 0% $-3
Tech
4%
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 14 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +34 $17 70¢ $24 +$7 06-03 17:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +19 $12 86¢ $17 +$5 06-03 21:16
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $8 87¢ $14 +$6 07-09 19:12
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? Yes +46 $13 26¢ $12 $-1 07-14 23:23
SHEIN IPO before 2027? Yes +13 $8 88¢ $11 +$3 07-10 22:15
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +31 $9 33¢ $10 +$1 06-03 17:20
SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027? Yes +17 $8 55¢ $9 +$1 06-16 16:20
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? Yes +9 $8 94¢ $9 +$1 07-17 17:27
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +13 $8 64¢ $8 +$0 07-06 22:06
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +13 $6 62¢ $8 +$2 07-10 00:39
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +7 $5 99¢ $7 +$2 06-04 16:41
Weed rescheduled by December 31? Yes +29 $6 23¢ $7 +$1 07-18 03:15
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +9 $5 68¢ $6 +$1 06-05 15:44
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +7 $5 78¢ $6 +$1 06-05 15:53
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +10 $5 54¢ $5 +$0 06-07 15:29
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes +36 $5 15¢ $5 +$0 06-23 21:53
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No -8 $-2 36¢ $-3 $-0 07-11 18:39